The 2022 MLB season is almost upon us, and baseball bettors are almost certainly studying the over/unders. Although not all of the league’s 30 teams are exactly title contenders, all of them have the opportunity to make bettors money — and in the end, isn’t that what matters?
Ahead of Opening Day, let’s look at the best win total over/unders for the 2022 season. All of the numbers were current as of publication on Friday, April 1, 2022.
Honorable mention: Los Angeles Dodgers (97.5)
The Dodgers have won at least 100 games in three of the last four 162-game seasons. That should likely be enough for many to feel comfortable taking the over here. However, DraftKings‘ projected 97.5 wins is an extremely high total, and all it takes is one extended losing streak to greatly affect the pace.
Although taking the over on 97.5 feels tempting, the under feels like a much safer choice. If this was, say, 93.5, we’d feel far more comfortable taking the over.
Over: Boston Red Sox (85.5)
Although the Red Sox aren’t as loaded as the rival Tampa Bay Rays or Toronto Blue Jays, don’t rule Rafael Devers and friends out just yet. An 85.5 win total feels extremely low considering the team’s talent and the fact Boston made the American League Championship Series last year. The Red Sox recently added All-Star infielder Trevor Story to the mix, and let’s not forget Boston has 19 games against the miserable Baltimore Orioles.
There is no guaranteed money in betting, nor is there even easy money. With that said, we believe taking the over on the Red Sox’s 85.5 win total would be a wise decision.
Under: New York Yankees (91.5)
To be clear, the Yankees should not finish the year with a losing record. However, there is no reason to believe the team as currently constructed will win 92 games, even after a 92-70 finish last year. The current Yankees are built of players with severe injury histories (Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, and Luis Severino all come to mind) and players who might not have the mental makeup (Gerrit Cole and Joey Gallo) to thrive in New York.
Personally, I believe these Yankees will total between 86-89 wins, which could still be enough to sneak into the postseason. Take the under here, even if you’re a devoted WFAN caller who saw Reggie Jackson and Thurman Munson play at the old stadium.
Over: St. Louis Cardinals (84.5)
It feels like people are underrating the Cardinals again, and we’re not sure why. Is it the age factor? Yes, Adam Wainwright and Yadier Molina are among the league’s oldest players, but both have continued performing steadily. Is it doubt about All-Star third baseman Nolan Arenado? Don’t let his .255 average from last year fool you into making a decision you’ll regret, especially when he’s still playing exceptional defense.
Oh, and don’t forget the Cardinals have 19 games against the Pittsburgh Pirates this season. Yes, please. If you’re reading this and the Cardinals’ win total is still 84.5, go cash that one in.
Under: Philadelphia Phillies (85.5)
The Phillies haven’t won more than 82 games in a season since 2011, when they went 102-60 and last reached the playoffs. I don’t care if Bryce Harper is the reigning NL MVP or what Nick Castellanos will bring to the lineup. There is no reason at this point to trust the Phillies to win 86 games in a division where the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets are legitimate World Series contenders.
This year’s Phillies team strikes me as one that will barely eke out a winning record after an inconsistent summer. Stay far away from the over here.
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