Bengals vs. Dolphins Odds, Spread, and Prediction: Best Bets for Thursday Night Football

Week 4 of the 2022-23 NFL season kicks off Thursday night, and we’ve got a good one in store with the Miami Dolphins visiting the Cincinnati Bengals. The Dolphins could become the first team to reach four wins with a victory on Thursday Night Football, whereas the Bengals need a win just to get back to .500.

It should be a fun start to Week 4, but it could be even more fun if we found a way to make some money ahead of the weekend. So, let’s dive into the matchup and try to find some winners for Thursday night’s AFC clash.

Bengals vs. Dolphins odds, spread, prediction

The Bengals and Dolphins line up for a play.
The Cincinnati Bengals and Miami Dolphins line up for a play | Ian Johnson/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Spread: Bengals -3.5
Total: 48.5
Moneyline: Bengals -190, Dolphins +158

The Dolphins enter Thursday night’s matchup as one of only two teams in the NFL still undefeated at 3-0, but they find themselves as short underdogs against the reigning AFC champions. Cincinnati currently holds as a 3.5-point favorite in the game, with the total sitting at 48.5.

You might be surprised to see the undefeated Dolphins set as more than a field-goal underdog, but I think the spread is priced correctly. Home teams always have a major advantage on Thursday Night Football because of the short week. Miami could also be missing several key contributors for the game, as Tua Tagovailoa, Jaylen Waddle, Xavien Howard, Terron Armstead, Brandon Jones, and Raekwon Davis are all listed as questionable. Even if all six players suit up, the Dolphins won’t enter the game at 100%.

I think both the spread and the total are spot on, so I don’t want to get involved in either. If I have to pick a winner, though, I’ll go with the healthier and more desperate Bengals to squeak one out at home.

Prediction: Bengals 23, Dolphins 20

Bengals vs. Dolphins best bets

Chase Edmonds under 32.5 rushing yards (-110)

Chase Edmonds entered the season as Miami’s No. 1 running back, but that didn’t last very long. After rushing 12 times for 23 yards in Week 1, Edmonds has received just 11 carries over the past two games. Raheem Mostert has rushed 19 times for 62 yards during that same span.

The Dolphins are starting to use Edmonds as more of a pass-catching option instead of an early-down back, and he hasn’t been effective with the few carries he’s received. Going up against a Bengals defense that’s allowing just 3.7 yards per carry this season, I don’t see Edmonds producing enough big plays in limited touches to go over his rushing prop. Take the under.

Joe Mixon to score two touchdowns (+410)

Joe Mixon currently leads the NFL in touches (71) through three weeks, but he somehow hasn’t found the end zone yet this season. I think that changes Thursday night, and I think it changes in a big way.

We’ve seen Mixon be able to stack up touchdowns in the past. Just last season, the star running back ripped off three straight games in which he scored two touchdowns. In a game I think Cincinnati will be winning from the jump, I’ll take a chance on Mixon to find the end zone twice.

All betting odds courtesy of FanDuel as of 9/29.

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