Celtics-Bucks Game 5: Odds, Predictions and Best Bets

Thanks to a heroic performance by Al Horford in Game 4, the Boston Celtics were able to steal a win on the road and tie up their second-round playoff series against the Milwaukee Bucks at 2-2. The series now shifts back to Beantown for a pivotal Game 5 between two championship hopefuls.

We know you’ll want to have some action on Wednesday night’s marquee matchup, so let’s check out the betting odds for Game 5 and try to find some winners along the way.

Celtics-Bucks Game 5 odds and predictions

Marcus Smart defends Giannis Antetokounmpo.
Marcus Smart of the Boston Celtics tries to strip the ball away from Giannis Antetokounmpo of the Milwaukee Bucks in Game 4 | Jim Davis/The Boston Globe via Getty Images

Spread: Celtics -5.5
Total: 213.5
Moneyline: Celtics -230, Bucks +190

After upsetting the Bucks as 1.5-point underdogs in Game 4, the Celtics return home as pretty sizeable favorites in Game 5. Boston currently sits as 5.5-point favorites over the Bucks on Wednesday night, which would mark the largest spread of the series thus far.

The Celtics were -5 in Game 1 and -4 in Game 2, so it’s a bit surprising to see them set as bigger favorites in Game 5. Boston is -230 on the moneyline, while Milwaukee is +190. The total currently sits at 213.5.

Khris Middleton won’t be able to return from his MCL sprain for Game 5, so the Celtics deserve to be multi-possession favorites in this one. Still, expect Giannis Antetokounmpo to be as ungaurdable as he’s been all series. It’s also fair to assume Milwaukee will break out of its three-point shooting slump (26.5% over the last three games) at some point.

I think we’ll see strong defense from both teams in what could be considered a must-win game, and I’d be surprised if it doesn’t come down to the wire. I’ll take the Celtics to squeak one out on their home court, but I wouldn’t feel comfortable laying 5.5 points against a team with championship pedigree.

Best bets for Celtics-Bucks Game 5

Under 213.5 (-110)

I don’t feel strongly either way in terms of betting the spread of Game 5, so I’m going to target the under instead. The average total in this series through four games is 203.3 points per game, and that includes a 224-point outburst in Game 4. That game also looked like an easy under until Milwaukee fell asleep at the wheel and surrendered 43 points in the fourth quarter.

I’m willing to bet that won’t happen again.

The pace in this series has been extremely slow, and it’ll take another Horford outburst or a three-point barrage to push this one over 213.5.

Brook Lopez over 0.5 threes (-108)

We’re getting a tremendous discount on this prop because of how gun-shy Brook Lopez has been so far in this series. In four games, the center has attempted only three total threes and made none.

But looking at the bigger picture, Lopez averaged 4.1 three-point attempts and 1.5 makes per game in the regular season. He’s played more than 25 minutes in all four games against the Celtics, and I’m willing to bet he starts getting more aggressive on the offensive end at some point soon.

This prop bet could hit on the first possession of the game, so -108 seems like a must-bet in my eyes. All we need is one three. One three!

All betting odds courtesy of FanDuel as of 5/11.

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