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3 Best Bets For Chiefs Fans To Make For Super Bowl LIX

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3 Best Bets For Chiefs Fans To Make For Super Bowl LIX

Here are the best bets for Kansas City Chiefs fans to consider ahead of Super Bowl LIX against the Philadelphia Eagles. NFL sportsbooks show the Chiefs as 1.5-point favorites over the Eagles, and the over/under is set at 49 points.

3 Best Bets For The Kansas City Chiefs In Super Bowl LIX

Super Bowl LIX is scheduled for Sunday, Feb. 9, with a 6:30 p.m. ET kickoff time. The game will be broadcast live on Fox inside the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.

This game is a rematch of Super Bowl LVII from two years earlier. It will be the eighth Super Bowl played in the Superdome and the 11th overall in New Orleans, the most recent being Super Bowl XLVII in 2013.

3. Patrick Mahomes Longest Pass Completion UNDER 35.5 Yards (-110)

Patrick Mahomes could potentially carve up Philadelphia’s defense with short passes, but the three-time Super Bowl MVP might not be able to complete any long bombs against the best secondary in the NFL this season.

In addition to the Eagles’ defense leading the league in most pass-defense metrics, they’ve also allowed just 35 pass plays of 20 or more yards, the fewest in the NFL.

Since Week 10, the Eagles lead the league in defensive EPA by a wide margin. When these two teams previously met in Super Bowl LVII, Philadelphia allowed 38 points and 340 yards of total offense.

The Eagles have the top-ranked defense in the league, and they forced 29 fumbles this season. Philadelphia also came up with four turnovers in clutch moments against the Washington Commanders in the NFC title game.

According to Pro Football Reference, Mahomes’ longest pass completion in Super Bowl LIV against the San Francisco 49ers was for 44 yards, while his longest in Super Bowl LVIII versus the Niners was for 52 yards.

However, Mahomes’ best throw in Super Bowl LV against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers was for 33 yards.

Of course, his backup offensive linemen got destroyed in that game. In Super Bowl LVII, Philadelphia also allowed a 22-yard completion from Mahomes, his longest throw of the game but shortest in career Super Bowls.

Could this game come down to a Hail Mary pass? Unless Mahomes has the best Super Bowl passing performance of his career, this is one of the most logical best bets.

2. Travis Kelce UNDER 6.5 Receptions (-142)

The Eagles have been the best team defending against tight ends this season. The position has been targeted 103 times by opposing quarterbacks, but only 68 of those passes were completed.

That’s a catch rate of just 66%. Then again, Kelce is not like all the other tight ends. Kelce could very well find a hole in the defense for a play or two, but will he be able to haul in at least seven receptions? That’s the ultimate question.

Kelce was held to six receptions in Super Bowls LIV and LVII. The Eagles’ defense did it once already, and they could do it again. When Philadelphia reached the Super Bowl in the 2022 season, the pass defense ranked No. 1 overall, allowing 3,057 passing yards, 22 pass touchdowns, forcing 17 interceptions, and finishing with 85 passes defended.

Philadelphia’s defense looks even better right now. The Eagles’ secondary ended the regular season giving up 2,961 passing yards, 22 pass touchdowns, forcing 13 interceptions, and defending against 90 passes.

For that reason, it will be harder for Kelce to reach the seven-reception mark in this one.

1. UNDER 49 Points (-110)

The point total for Super Bowl LIX opened at 48.5, but it was quickly changed to 49. Kansas City’s last two Super Bowl wins hit the OVER, but what if Philadelphia’s defense shows up? It might be wise for bettors to take the UNDER.

No team in NFL history has ever won three consecutive Super Bowls. That’s why this wager is among the best bets. The Green Bay Packers won three straight NFL championships from 1929-31 and again in 1965-67, including the first two Super Bowls.

A Super Bowl three-peat might not be in the cards, especially if the NFL doesn’t want it. For one key betting trend, although Kansas City is favored by 1.5 points in Las Vegas, underdogs have won three of the last four Super Bowls and are 10-7 outright since 2007.

The Chiefs hadn’t scored over 30 points in a game this season until the AFC Championship against the Bills. This could be a lower-scoring defensive battle. Steve Spagnuolo’s defense will find a way to limit Philadelphia’s offense.

Likewise, the Eagles allowed the fewest points per game at 17.9, while the Chiefs allowed the fourth-fewest points at 19.4. No one is really expecting a lower-scoring game, considering it’s an offensive-driven league nowadays. A lower-scoring contest would surprise a number of gamblers.

Remember this fact before placing a bet: Vegas always wins.