Upsets happen every week in the National Football League. It’s one of the main reasons why the NFL is far and away the most popular professional sports league in the country. With that being the case, here is a look at four potential upsets in Week 11 of the 2015 season.
Note: All upset picks are against the spread (ATS) picks.
1. Denver Broncos (7-2) over Chicago Bears (4-5)
Point Spread: Bears favored by 1.5 points
There are interesting storylines all over the field in this game. Chicago is coming off of their best game of the season, and this game will be personal for several members of the Bears organization including head coach John Fox, offensive coordinator Adam Gase, and quarterback Jay Cutler, who all have deep ties to the Broncos.
For Denver, this will be their first game since the 2011 season without 10-time All-Pro quarterback Peyton Manning under center. Brock Osweiler (pictured above) will fill in for Manning, and in our opinion, will likely only need an average performance to lead the Broncos to an outright victory in this game. When it comes down to it, Denver is hands down the better team in this matchup, and we anticipate another dominant game out of the Denver defense, which in turn, will lead to the Broncos winning this game by at least a touchdown.
2. St. Louis Rams (4-5) over Baltimore Ravens (2-7)
Point Spread: Ravens favored by 1.5 points
Both teams in this game have been disappointing in 2015. For the Ravens, the season began with the team having Super Bowl aspirations, but has since turned into a season where they are one of the top contenders for the No. 1 overall pick in the 2016 NFL Draft. The Rams, on the other hand, have had some positive moments in 2015 and still have an outside chance at making a playoff run. But they will have a new starting quarterback for this game, as head coach Jeff Fisher opted to bench Nick Foles in favor of Case Keenum.
That said, we believe the Rams’ quarterback situation will have very little effect on the outcome of this game. The difference, in our eyes, will be St. Louis running back Todd Gurley (pictured above). The Ravens have been solid against the run in 2015, but the only back they have faced who is on Gurley’s level is Le’Veon Bell of the Pittsburgh Steelers, and he ran for 129 yards and a touchdown against them in Week 4. Expect to see Gurley have another solid performance this week, leading the Rams to an outright road win over the Ravens.
3. Dallas Cowboys (2-7) over Miami Dolphins (4-5)
Point Spread: Dolphins favored by 1.5 points
Despite their records, these are two of the more talented teams in the league. The Dolphins have several Pro Bowl-caliber players on both sides of the ball, and have played better (for the most part) since Dan Campbell took over as the team’s head coach. The Cowboys will finally be at full strength for this game, as quarterback Tony Romo will be back in their lineup for the first time since breaking his collarbone back in Week 2. Thanks to Romo’s return, All-Pro wide receiver Dez Bryant’s ever-improving health, and the fact that the Cowboys have the best offensive line in the league, we predict that the Cowboys will win this game outright.