{"id":13607,"date":"2024-10-18T07:17:50","date_gmt":"2024-10-18T07:17:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/?p=13607"},"modified":"2024-10-18T07:17:50","modified_gmt":"2024-10-18T07:17:50","slug":"racing-tips-andrew-mounts-friday-picks-october-18th","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/racing-tips-andrew-mounts-friday-picks-october-18th\/","title":{"rendered":"Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Friday Picks – October 18th"},"content":{"rendered":"

Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Andrew heads to Redcar and Fakenham for his three stats-based selections on Friday, October 18th…<\/p>\n

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REDCAR 1.22<\/h2>\n

BAD HABITS (system \u2013 Amo Racing-owned newcomers)<\/h3>\n

First the bad news \u2013 BAD HABITS<\/strong> has the worst of the draw in stall 9 of 9 in this 6f novice stakes. However, on a more positive note, George Boughey\u2019s 78,000gns purchase won\u2019t have to be much to make a winning debut as his rivals have hardly set the world alight on the clock (all bar one of them have previous experience). Backing all Amo Racing-owned newcomers, regardless of age and trainer, would have found 48 winners from 233 bets (20.6% strike-rate) for a profit of \u00a326.23 to a \u00a31 level stake at SP (expected winners = 38.04, A\/E = 1.26). Those who ran at Redcar recorded form figures of 4131 (2-4), with the winners at 6-1 and 7-2.<\/p>\n

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FAKENHAM 2.00<\/h2>\n

THE EXPENSIVE ONE (system \u2013 Nigel Twiston-Davies, chasers and hurdlers in October, conditional jockey)<\/h3>\n

In recent columns, I\u2019ve discussed the fine record of Nigel Twiston-Davies at this time of year and if we had in the proviso that his October runners must have been chasers or hurdlers who were ridden by a conditional jockey claiming at least 3lb his record since 2013 becomes 39 winners from 172 bets (22.7%) for a profit of \u00a356.88 to a \u00a31 level stake at SP. THE EXPENSIVE ONE<\/strong>, runner-up at Newton Abbot last time, qualifies today and can go one better.<\/p>\n

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FAKENHAM 4.55<\/h2>\n

UP FOR APPEAL (system \u2013 Christian William, long travellers)<\/h3>\n

Christian Williams does well with \u2018long travellers\u2019, horses shipped more than 250 miles from his Welsh base, scoring with 45 of the 173 qualifiers (26%) for a profit of \u00a318.58 to a \u00a31 level stake at SP (expected winners = 33.52, A\/E = 1.34). Those who started in the front three in the betting were 40 from 118 (33.9%) for a profit of \u00a326.58. UP FOR APPEAL<\/strong> (12-1 best at the time of writing) is unlikely to fall into the atter category but still looks worth a small interest in the hope that the first-time cheekpieces have a positive impact.<\/p>\n

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Check out the best horse racing betting sites<\/a> in the UK right now.<\/p>\n

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