{"id":15778,"date":"2024-10-30T13:07:23","date_gmt":"2024-10-30T13:07:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/?p=15778"},"modified":"2024-10-30T13:07:23","modified_gmt":"2024-10-30T13:07:23","slug":"racing-tips-andrew-mounts-thursday-picks-october-31st","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/racing-tips-andrew-mounts-thursday-picks-october-31st\/","title":{"rendered":"Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Thursday Picks – October 31st"},"content":{"rendered":"

Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Andrew heads to the meetings at Newcastle (jumps) and Bath (Flat) for his two stats-based selections on Thursday, October 31st…<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

NEWCASTLE 1.45<\/h2>\n

SKYKACK HIJACK (system \u2013 LTO hurdler winner, quick return in handicap company, speed adjusted)<\/h3>\n

Since the beginning of 2012, backing last-time out hurdle winners who were returned to the track within seven days to contest a handicap hurdle (Class 2 or lower) would have found 378 winners from 936 bets (40.4% strike-rate) for a profit of \u00a344.82 to a \u00a31 level stake at SP. Those who had one of the two highest last-time out speed ratings (according to Proform\u2019s figures) were 227 from 486 (46.7%) for a profit of \u00a375.21 (expected winners = 189.43, A\/E = 1.20). SKYJACK HIJACK<\/strong> arrives here on a four-timer and could again prove hard to beat.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

BATH 2.58<\/h2>\n

TAP DANCER (system \u2013 Marcus Tregoning, nurseries)<\/h3>\n

This century, Marcus Tregoning has a 16 from 79 record with his runners in nurseries (20.3% strike-rate) and backing them all would have returned a profit of \u00a323.21 to a \u00a31 level stake at SP (expected winners = 10.43, A\/E = 1.53). Since the beginning of all year his qualifiers have recorded form figures of 113111 (5-6) and recent wide-margin 1m2f course winner TAP DANCER<\/strong> is taken to make a winning handicap debut, despite cutting back in trip to 1m.<\/p>\n

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