{"id":16734,"date":"2024-11-06T10:00:22","date_gmt":"2024-11-06T10:00:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/?p=16734"},"modified":"2024-11-06T10:00:22","modified_gmt":"2024-11-06T10:00:22","slug":"racing-tips-andrew-mounts-wednesday-picks-november-6th","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/racing-tips-andrew-mounts-wednesday-picks-november-6th\/","title":{"rendered":"Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Wednesday Picks – November 6th"},"content":{"rendered":"

Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Andrew heads to Chepstow and Kempton (AW) for his three stats-based selections on Wednesday, November 6th…<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

2.20 CHEPSTOW<\/h2>\n

NOW OR NEVER (system \u2013 Venetia Williams, handicap chasers in November)<\/h3>\n

Venetia Williams does extremely well with her handicap chasers in the month of November, scoring with 127 of the 633 qualifiers this century for a profit of \u00a3206.59 to a \u00a31 level stake at SP (expected winners = 94.18, A\/E = 1.35). NOW OR NEVER<\/strong> struggled in handicap hurdle company last term but would have needed time to acclimatise after leaving France, where he had form over fences. The five-year-old will be suited by the return to the larger obstacles and looks worth changing at odds of around 7-1 or bigger.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

KEMPTON 3.25<\/h2>\n

HELMSLEY (system \u2013 New Bay 2yos, second start)<\/h3>\n

Juvenile progeny of the sire New Bay have a good record on their second start, landing 32 of their 135 starts (23.7%) for a profit of \u00a390.69 to a \u00a31 level stake at SP (expected winners = 23.65, A\/E = 1.35). Ralph Beckett\u2019s HELMSLEY<\/strong> blew the start and ran green when sixth over course and distance on last month\u2019s debut and can take a big step forward this afternoon.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

CHEPSTOW 3.30<\/h2>\n

BALLYDANGAN (system \u2013 Dan Skelton stable switchers, handicap hurdles)<\/h3>\n

Dan Skelton has a good record at the first time of asking with horses he takes over from other trainers, especially in handicap hurdles. He\u2019s won with 46 of the 151 qualifiers (30.5%) for a profit of \u00a320.70 to a \u00a31 level stake at SP (expected winners = 33.99, A\/E = 1.35). BALLYDANGAN<\/strong>, a 15-race maiden in Ireland, changed hands cheaply last September but has had a wind operation since we last saw him and could go well at an each-way price.<\/p>\n

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