{"id":18177,"date":"2024-11-15T14:17:29","date_gmt":"2024-11-15T14:17:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/?p=18177"},"modified":"2024-11-15T14:17:50","modified_gmt":"2024-11-15T14:17:50","slug":"paddy-power-gold-cup-trends","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/paddy-power-gold-cup-trends\/","title":{"rendered":"Paddy Power Gold Cup Trends Highlight 71% Weight Stat You Can&#8217;t Ignore"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Top racing at Cheltenham this weekend and to help find the winner of one of the main races we&#8217;ve got the key Paddy Power Gold Cup trends &#8211; one of which is a 71% weight stat that could rule some of the runners out.<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><strong>The Paddy Power Gold Cup Trends Point To Horses With 11st Or Less<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>See below the standout <strong>Paddy Power Gold Cup trends<\/strong> to help find the best profile of past winners &#8211; which you can use to apply to this year&#8217;s runners for the main <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/cheltenham-november-meeting-2024-race-times-and-itv-racing-coverage\/\">Cheltenham November Meeting<\/a> contest.<\/p>\n<p>There are several decent stats to look out for, including the fact that 71% of the last 21 winners carried 11st or LESS in weight.<\/p>\n<p>According to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/betting-sites\/horse-racing\/\">best horse racing betting sites in the UK<\/a> the Paul Nicholls-trained Ginny&#8217;s Destiny will go off favourite &#8211; but with 11st-2lbs to carry this 8 year-old will have this key weight Paddy Power Gold Cup trend to overcome.<\/p>\n<p>Here are the horses expected to run that will carry MORE than 11st.<\/p>\n<div class=\"su-list\" style=\"margin-left:0px\"><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Protektorat (12st)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> GA Law (11st 2lbs)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Ginny&#8217;s Destiny (11st 2lbs)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Editeur Du Gite (11st 1lb)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/div>\n<h2><strong>Look For Horses Aged 6-9 Years-Old To Win This Cheltenham Race<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Next up is to look for horses aged between 6-9.<\/p>\n<p>Why, well a massive 24 of the last 25 winners ticked this Cheltenham trend.<\/p>\n<p>Yes, of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/2024-paddy-power-gold-cup-runners\/\">2024 Paddy Power Gold Cup runners<\/a>, most will fit the bill, but we could still have a 5 year-old entry in Madara and two 10 year-olds in Editeur Du Gite and Janidil that you can put a line through.<\/p>\n<p>We can also take this age stat further by knowing that 10 of the last 22 winners were aged 7 years-old, while 64% of the last 22 were aged 6 or 7.<\/p>\n<p>With Ginny&#8217;s Destiny aged 8, some might cling to his age being too old &#8211; we&#8217;ve only seen four winning 8 year-olds since 1998, which to equates to just a 15% return over this 26-year period.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Paddy Power Gold Cup Trends and Stats For 2024 Renewal<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Find the best profiles based on past <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/horse-racing\">horse racing<\/a> winners of the 2024 Paddy Power Gold Cup.<\/p>\n<div class=\"su-list\" style=\"margin-left:0px\"><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 21\/22 \u2013 Won over at least 2m4f over fences<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 21\/22 \u2013 Won by a UK-based trainer<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 21\/22 \u2013 Raced at Cheltenham in the past<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 18\/22 \u2013 Priced 14\/1 or shorter in the betting<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 15\/22 \u2013 Placed in the top 4 last time out<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 15\/22 \u2013 Won at Cheltenham before<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 15\/22 \u2013 Carried 11st or less in weight<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 14\/22 \u2013 Aged 6 or 7 years-old<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 13\/22 \u2013 Won just 2 or 3 times over fences before<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 12\/22 \u2013 Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O\u2019Neill (3), Nicholls (3) or Twiston-Davies (3)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 11\/22 \u2013 Favourites placed<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 11\/22 \u2013 Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 10\/22 \u2013 Aged 7 years-old<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 9\/22 \u2013 Won this on their seasonal reappearance<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 5\/22 \u2013 Won last time out<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 5\/22 \u2013 Raced at Cheltenham last time out<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 4\/22 \u2013 Trained by the Pipe stable<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 4\/22 \u2013 Favourites<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 3\/22 \u2013 Raced at Carlisle last time out<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2\/22 \u2013 Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 1\/22 \u2013 Irish-trained winners<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 24 of the last 25 winners aged between 6-9<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Just 4 winning 8 year-olds since 1998<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 15 of the last 21 winners carried 11-0 or less in weight<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Paul Nicholls has had 13 placed horses (three winners, Stage Star, Al Ferof &amp; Caid Du Berlais) from his last 47 runners<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 10\/1<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/div>\n<h2><strong>Paddy Power Gold Cup Race Details 2024<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>\ud83d\udcc5Date: Saturday 16th November 2024<br \/>\n<span class=\"JCzEY tNxQIb\"><span class=\"CSkcDe\">\u231aTime: 2:20pm <\/span><\/span><br \/>\n\ud83c\udfc7Racecourse: Cheltenham<br \/>\n\ud83d\udd04Trip: 2m4f<br \/>\n\ud83d\udcb7Winning Purse: <span class=\"NA6bn BxUVEf ILfuVd\" lang=\"en\"><span class=\"hgKElc\">\u00a3<\/span><\/span>84,405<br \/>\n\ud83d\udcfa TV: ITV \/ Racing TV<\/p>\n<p>You can also watch SportsCasting&#8217;s Andy Newton on this week&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/final-furlong-podcast-horse-racing-previews\/\">Final Furlong podcast<\/a> &#8211; previewing the best of the weekend horse racing.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Just FOUR Winning Paddy Power Gold Cup Favourites Since 2002<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>As mentioned, likely Paddy Power Gold Cup favourite with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/betting-sites\/\">the best betting sites in the UK<\/a> will be Ginny&#8217;s Destiny &#8211; but with only four winning market leaders in the last 22 runnings, this is only a fair return (18%).<\/p>\n<p>However, if you do like punting the jollies &#8211; this race saw a winning favourite 12 months ago when Stage Star returned 4\/1.<\/p>\n<p>But that horse was the first market leader to win since 2009 (Tranquil Sea).<\/p>\n<p>On a plus though 50% of the last 22 favourites have been placed.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Trainer Paul Nicholls Has Won The Paddy Power Gold Cup Three Times<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-1298 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/07\/paul-nicholls.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"696\" height=\"668\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/07\/paul-nicholls.jpg 696w, https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/07\/paul-nicholls-560x537.jpg 560w, https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/07\/paul-nicholls-350x336.jpg 350w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 696px) 100vw, 696px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Trainer Paul Nicholl has won this prize last year with Stage Star and in total has landed the race three times &#8211; with Caid Du Berlais (2014) and Al Ferof (2012) his other two winners.<\/p>\n<p>The Ditcheat handler also has a nice recent with his horses being placed &#8211; he&#8217;s seen 13 horses hit the frame from his last 47 (28%) runners in the Paddy Power Gold Cup.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>The Irish Have A Poor Record In The Race<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>If you are thinking of siding with any of the Irish runners in the race &#8211; then you might want to think again.<\/p>\n<p>Unlike the bulk of the Cheltenham Festival races run in March, the Paddy Power Gold Cup hasn&#8217;t been that good a return for them.<\/p>\n<p>Ireland-based trainers have saddled just one winner in the last 22 &#8211; which was the already mentioned Tranquil Sea in 2009 &#8211; who was trained by Edward O&#8217;Grady.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Potential Irish-Trained Paddy Power Gold Cup Runners<\/strong><\/h4>\n<div class=\"su-list\" style=\"margin-left:0px\"><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Janidil (Willie Mullins)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Lets Go Champ (Henry De Bromhead)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Hartur D&#8217;arc (Gavin Cromwell)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/div>\n<h2><strong>Look Out For Horses That Finished In The Top 4 Last Time Out<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Heading into the Paddy Power Gold Cup off the back of a win is also a positive to note.<\/p>\n<p>This is supported with 15 of the last 22 winners having finished in the top four in their last race.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Previous Cheltenham Course Experience A Big Plus<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Cheltenham is famous for being one of the best &#8216;horses for courses&#8217; tracks and that is backed up again in the Paddy Power Gold Cup.<\/p>\n<p>A massive 21 of the last 22 winners of this race had run at Prestbury Park before &#8211; while 15 of those 22 (68%) had also won at the course.<\/p>\n<p>Backed up again in 2023 with Stage Star having won at the track twice before over fences.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>ITV Racing To Show The 2024 Paddy Power Gold Cup LIVE<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>There is a huge <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/itv-racing-schedule-today\/\">ITV Racing<\/a> coverage this week too &#8211; with the cameras at Prestbury Park to take in 12 races in total across the three days (4 on each afternoon).<\/p>\n<p>One of these races is the Paddy Power Gold Cup, which will be shown LIVE at 2:20 on Saturday.<\/p>\n<div class=\"su-list\" style=\"margin-left:0px\"><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 1:45 Cheltenham &#8211; Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices&#8217; Chase (Grade 2) (Registered As The November) (Gbb Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2:20 Cheltenham &#8211; Paddy Power Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2:55 Cheltenham &#8211; Paddy Power Games Handicap Hurdle (Gbb Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 3m ITV<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 3:30 Cheltenham &#8211; Paddy Power Intermediate Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (3yo+ 0-140) 2m5f ITV<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/div>\n<h2><strong>Paddy Power Gold Cup Past Winners (Last 10 Years)<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/h2>\n<div class=\"su-list\" style=\"margin-left:0px\"><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2023 &#8211; Stage Star (4\/1 fav)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2022 \u2013 GA Law (5\/1)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2021 \u2013 Midnight Shadow (9\/1)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2020 &#8211; Coole Cody (10\/1)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2019 &#8211; Happy Diva (14\/1)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2018 &#8211; Baron Alco (8\/1)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2017 &#8211; Splash Of Ginge (25\/1)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2016 &#8211; Taquin Du Seuill (8\/1)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2015 \u2013 Annacotty (12\/1)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2014 \u2013 Caid Du Berlais (10\/1)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/div>\n<h2><strong>WATCH: Stage Star Winning The 2023 Paddy Power Gold Cup<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><iframe title=\"STAGE STAR overcomes final fence drama to win Paddy Power Gold Cup\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/d3xB0mQ8Akg?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>You can also get top daily horse racing picks from industry expert <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/author\/andrewmount\/\">Andrew Mount<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Top racing at Cheltenham this weekend and to help find the winner of one of the main races we&#8217;ve got the key Paddy Power Gold Cup trends &#8211; one of which is a 71% weight stat that could rule some of the runners out. The Paddy Power Gold Cup Trends Point To Horses With 11st [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":355,"featured_media":18180,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18177","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-horse-racing"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Paddy Power Gold Cup Trends Highlight Key 71% Weight Stat<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Use our Paddy Power Gold Cup trends and stats to help find the winner of Saturday&#039;s big Cheltenham November Meeting race (16th Nov 2024).\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link 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