{"id":19041,"date":"2024-11-18T07:39:02","date_gmt":"2024-11-18T07:39:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/?p=19041"},"modified":"2024-11-18T07:39:02","modified_gmt":"2024-11-18T07:39:02","slug":"racing-tips-andrew-mounts-monday-picks-november-18th","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/racing-tips-andrew-mounts-monday-picks-november-18th\/","title":{"rendered":"Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Monday Picks – November 18th"},"content":{"rendered":"

Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Andrew found well backed Cheltenham winner PEAKY BOY on Sunday and has three stats-based selections on Monday, November 18th…<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

LEICESTER 2.40<\/h2>\n

SUITABLY SURPRISED (system \u2013 hurdle winners, quick return in a handicap hurdle, speed adjusted)<\/h3>\n

Last-time out hurdle winners do well when bidding to follow up in a handicap hurdle within a week of their victory and, since the start of 2012, those who were ranked in the top two on Proform\u2019s last time out speed ratings were 230 from 491 (46.8% strike-rate) for a profit of \u00a376.94 to a \u00a31 level stake at SP (expected winners = 192.33, A\/E = 1.20). SUITABLY SURPRISED<\/strong> clocked a useful time for her narrow Sedgefield win just four days ago and can follow up.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.00<\/h2>\n

SUN KEEPER (system \u2013 Alice Haynes, Wolverhampton, colts and fillies)<\/h3>\n

Alice Haynes has a solid record at Wolverhampton, especially with here colts and fillies. Backing all 74 qualifiers would have found 17 winners for a profit of \u00a385.58 to a \u00a31 level stake at SP (expected winners = 7.10, A\/E = 2.39). The in-form handler had a 22-1 winner in the Middleham Park colours here on Saturday and perhaps newcomer SUN KEEPER<\/strong> can follow suit.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.30<\/h2>\n

TAN RAPIDO (system \u2013 Charlie Fellowes, second run since gelded)<\/h3>\n

Charlie Fellowes has a good record with his runners who were having their second start after a gelding operation, scoring with 16 of the 75 qualifiers (21.3% strike-rate) for a profit of \u00a395.75 to a \u00a31 level stake at SP (expected winners = 11.51, A\/E = 1.39). Those who finished in the top three last time out were ten from 27 for a profit of \u00a355.18 (expected winners = 5.64, A\/E = 1.77). TAN RAPIDO<\/strong> fared best of the closers when a close-up 10-1 third in a 6f Chelmsford handicap last time \u2013 his first run at the trip, first since a gelding operation and first for 169 days \u2013 and can go well again.<\/p>\n

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