{"id":22656,"date":"2024-12-05T07:11:37","date_gmt":"2024-12-05T07:11:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/?p=22656"},"modified":"2024-12-11T12:09:58","modified_gmt":"2024-12-11T12:09:58","slug":"racing-tips-andrew-mounts-thursday-picks-december-5th","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/racing-tips-andrew-mounts-thursday-picks-december-5th\/","title":{"rendered":"Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Thursday Picks – December 5th"},"content":{"rendered":"

Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Andrew found Ludlow winner DESPEREAUX on Wednesday and has three stats-based picks on Thursday, December 5th…<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

WINCANTON 12.35<\/h2>\n

NO NO TANGO (system \u2013 Harry Derham, stable switchers in handicaps)<\/h3>\n

Harry Derham has an amazing record at the first time of asking with horses he takes over from other trainers, especially in handicap company. He\u2019s scored with 15 of the 31 qualifiers for a profit of \u00a341.60 to a \u00a31 level stake at SP (expected winners = 7.65, A\/E = 1.96). NO NO TANGO<\/strong>, ex-Charlie Longsdon, has leading rider Paddy Mullins booked for this amateur riders\u2019 handicap chase and can defy a 395-day absence.<\/p>\n

LEICESTER 12.55<\/h2>\n

JUKALA (system \u2013 Venetia Williams, handicap chasers in December)<\/h3>\n

Last month I frequently used the \u2018Venetia Williams handicap chasers in November\u2019 angle in this column and this is a system that can be followed into the current month. Backing the yard\u2019s handicap chasers in December this century (prior to yesterday\u2019s double) would have found 148 winners from 715 bets (20.7% strike-rate) for a profit of \u00a388.55 to a \u00a31 level stake at SP (expected winners = 115.55, A\/E = 1.28). JUKALA<\/strong> fits the bill.<\/p>\n

WINCANTON 2.05<\/h2>\n

GOLDEN MOVE (system \u2013 Golden Horn, first run after a wind operation, hurdles)<\/h3>\n

Progeny of the sire Golden Horn have a good record on their first start after a wind operation (albeit from a small sample size), landing four of their 11 starts for a profit of \u00a320.50 to a \u00a31 level stake at SP. Those running in Class 2 or lower company were four from eight (+\u00a323.50) and the Paul Nicholls-trained GOLDEN MOVE<\/strong>, beaten at short odds (8-15f and 11-10f) in his two previous runs over hurdles, could be worth one more chance now that he\u2019s undergone wind surgery. He also sports cheekpieces for the first time.<\/p>\n

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Check out the best horse racing betting sites<\/a> in the UK right now.<\/p>\n

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