{"id":28054,"date":"2025-01-02T14:02:31","date_gmt":"2025-01-02T14:02:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/?p=28054"},"modified":"2025-01-02T14:02:31","modified_gmt":"2025-01-02T14:02:31","slug":"horse-racing-trends-sandown-park-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/horse-racing-trends-sandown-park-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Key Horse Racing Trends For ITV Racing at Sandown Park (Sat 4th Jan 2025)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Weather permitting, the ITV Racing cameras will be heading to Sandown Park on Saturday to take on four races LIVE &#8211; on what is the first weekend of horse racing action in 2025. To help find the best profiles, Andy Newton is on hand with his key horse racing trends and stats &#8211; which you can use to apply to the final runners.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2>Sandown Park To Stage Seven-Race Card On First Saturday in 2025<\/h2>\n<p>12 months ago, this Saturday&#8217;s<strong> Sandown Park<\/strong> meeting was called off due to the weather and with a cold spell sweeping the country the Esher track will be hoping to avoid a repeat.<\/p>\n<p>You can keep up-to-date with the latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/horse-racing-cancelled-today\/\">horse racing cancellations here<\/a>, plus which tracks are looking to hold inspections.<\/p>\n<p>Sandown will be looking to stage a seven-race <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/horse-racing\">horse racing<\/a> card &#8211; with four of the races LIVE on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/itv-racing-schedule-today\/\">ITV Racing<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Fingers crossed Sandown can beat the freeze as we head into the worst few months of horse racing meetings being called off.<\/p>\n<div class=\"su-list\" style=\"margin-left:0px\"><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 12:05 &#8211; Watch Unibet Racing Post Postcast Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+) 2m RTV<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 12:40 &#8211; Unibet More Extra Places Than Ever Handicap Chase Cl3 (5yo+ 0-140) 1m7\u00bdf RTV<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 1:15 &#8211; Try Unibet&#8217;s New Acca Boosts Seniors&#8217; Handicap Hurdle Cl3 (8yo+ 0-135) 2m4f RTV<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 1:50 &#8211; Read Nicky Henderson&#8217;s Weekly Unibet Blog Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+ 0-145) 2m4f ITV<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2:25 &#8211; Try Unibet&#8217;s New Smartview Racecards Mares&#8217; Hurdle (Listed Race) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 3:00 &#8211; Unibet Veterans&#8217; Handicap Chase (2024 Veterans&#8217; Chase Series Final) Cl2 (10yo+) 3m ITV<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 3:35 &#8211; Free Bet With Unibet&#8217;s Betbuilder Rebound Handicap Hurdle (Challenger 2m Hurdle Series Qualifier) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-140) 2m ITV<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/div>\n<h2>Sandown Horse Racing Trends For Saturday 4th January 2025<\/h2>\n<h3>1.50 \u2013 Read Nicky Henderson\u2019s Weekly Unibet Blog Handicap Chase Cl3 2m4f ITV<\/h3>\n<div class=\"su-list\" style=\"margin-left:0px\"><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 9\/9 \u2013 Carried 11-0 or more in weight<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 8\/9 \u2013 Priced 9\/1 or shorter<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 6\/9 \u2013 Aged 8 or younger<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 6\/9 \u2013 Carried 11-8 or more in weight<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 3\/9 \u2013 Aged 6 years-old<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2\/9 \u2013 Favourites<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 5 of the last 8 winners carried 11-11 or more in weight<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/div>\n<h3><strong>Comment:<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>With ALL of the last nine winners of this race carrying 11st+, this leaves us with three &#8211; <strong>Unexpected Party, Etalon <\/strong>and<strong> Hubrisko<\/strong> that fit the bill.<\/p>\n<p>Trainer Harry Derham also has his horses in good form at the moment &#8211; with a 38% strike-rate at the time of writing, which is a further plus for his runner <strong>Hubrisko<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>While the Dan Skelton yard have the best stats at the track with their chasers (23%) and run<strong> Etalon <\/strong>and<strong> Unexpected Party<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h3>2.25 &#8211; Try Unibet\u2019s New Smartview Racecards Mares\u2019 Hurdle (Listed Race) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV<\/h3>\n<div class=\"su-list\" style=\"margin-left:0px\"><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 9\/9 \u2013 Placed in the top 3 in last race<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 8\/9 \u2013 Raced in the last 6 weeks<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 8\/9 \u2013 Aged between 6-8 years-old<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 8\/9 \u2013 Priced 11\/4 or shorter<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 7\/9 \u2013 Favourites placed in the top 3<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 7\/9 \u2013 Won between 2-4 times<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 5\/9 \u2013 Favourites<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 5\/9 \u2013 Raced at Sandown before<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 4\/9 \u2013 Won their last race<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7\/4<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> The last 5 winners were aged 6 or 7<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/div>\n<h3><strong>Comment:<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>ALL of the last five winners were aged 6 or 7, so this is a plus for <strong>Della Casa Lunga, Aston Martini, Georgi Girl <\/strong>and <strong>The Lord Maid.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A top three finish last time out is another positive &#8211; with again all of the last nine winners ticking this horse racing trend.<\/p>\n<p>While it&#8217;s also been a solid race for the market leader in recent years &#8211; with five of the last 9 favourites obliging &#8211; <strong>Della Casa Lunga<\/strong> looks the likely jolly with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/betting-sites\/horse-racing\/\">the best horse racing betting sites in the UK<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h3>3.00 &#8211; Unibet Veterans\u00b4 Handicap Chase Final (2024 Veterans\u00b4 Chase Series Final) Cl2 3m37y ITV<\/h3>\n<div class=\"su-list\" style=\"margin-left:0px\"><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Only 8 previous runnings<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Trainers Anthony Honeyball, Venetia Williams, Evan Williams (2), Charlie Longsdon, David Pipe, Sandy Thomson and Mel Rowley are past winners<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 8\/8 \u2013 Raced in last 5 weeks<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 8\/8 \u2013 Aged 10-13<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 7\/8 \u2013 Unplaced in their last race<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 6\/8 \u2013 4+ wins over fence<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 6\/8 \u2013 Carried 11-3 or less in weight<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 5\/8 \u2013 Priced in double-figures<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 5\/8 \u2013 Winners aged 11 or 12 years-old<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 5\/8 \u2013 Officially rated between 135-145<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 4\/8 \u2013 Favourites unplaced<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2\/8 \u2013 Favourite (joint)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2\/8 &#8211; Trained by Anthony Honeyball (2 of the last 5)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Two of the last 5 winners ridden by claimers<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Sam Brown won the race in 2024<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> The 2024 running was staged at Warwick<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/div>\n<h3><strong>Comment:<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Some old-timers in attendance here for this veteran&#8217;s race &#8211; including last year&#8217;s winner <strong>Sam Brown<\/strong>, when this contest was staged at Warwick.<\/p>\n<p>He&#8217;s back for more aged 13 and despite his advancing years, this race has seen three 13 year-olds win since 2017.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s also a race that trainer Anthony Honeyball, who trains Sam Brown, likes to target as he also won the 2020 running with Jepeck.<\/p>\n<p>The other key horse racing trends to note here are that ALL of the last eight winners raced in the last five weeks &#8211; <strong>Ask Me Early <\/strong>and<strong> Fortescue<\/strong> fall down here.<\/p>\n<p>While six of the last eight winners carried 11-3 or less in weight &#8211; something the top three on the card &#8211; <strong>Sam Brown, Eldordo Allen <\/strong>and<strong> Remastered<\/strong> will need to overcome.<\/p>\n<h3>3.35 \u2013 Free Bet With Unibet\u2019s Betbuilder Rebound Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV<\/h3>\n<div class=\"su-list\" style=\"margin-left:0px\"><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 16\/18 \u2013 Won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 15\/18 \u2013 Aged between 5-7 years-old<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 15\/18 \u2013 Raced within the last 8 weeks<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 12\/18 \u2013 Unplaced in last race<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 12\/18 \u2013 Carried 10-12 or less in weight<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 9\/18 \u2013 Went onto run at that season\u2019s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 8\/18 \u2013 Priced a double-figure price in the betting<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 8\/18 \u2013 Came from the top 3 in the betting<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 8\/18 \u2013 Went onto finish unplaced in a Cheltenham Festival race that season<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 7\/18 \u2013 Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 7\/18 \u2013 Officially rated between 127 and 132<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 5\/18 \u2013 Won their last race<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 5\/18 \u2013 Irish bred<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2\/18 \u2013 Favourites (2 of the last 6)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 4 of the last 10 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 7 of the last 10 winners returned 10\/1 or shorter<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Hardy Du Seuil won this in 2023<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/div>\n<h3><strong>Comment:<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>The 2023 winner<strong> Hardy Du Seuil<\/strong> is back for more for the Jamie Snowden yard &#8211; but he&#8217;s rated 6lbs higher this time and hasn&#8217;t won a race since (7 races).<\/p>\n<p>15 of the last 18 winners were aged between 5-7 years-old and also ran in the last 8 weeks &#8211; the horses aged 8+ in the race this year are <strong>Hardy Du Seuil, Aurigny Mill, Spirits Bay, Zambezi Fix <\/strong>and<strong> Joyeux Machin<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Finally, with 12 of the last 18 winners carrying 10-12 or less, this is a plus for just three &#8211; <strong>Honky Tonk Highway, Jour d&#8217;Evasion<\/strong> and <strong>Oh My Johnny<\/strong> from the in-form Philip Hobbs and Johnson White yard.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Weather permitting, the ITV Racing cameras will be heading to Sandown Park on Saturday to take on four races LIVE &#8211; on what is the first weekend of horse racing action in 2025. To help find the best profiles, Andy Newton is on hand with his key horse racing trends and stats &#8211; which you [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":355,"featured_media":9682,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-28054","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-horse-racing"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Horse Racing Trends For ITV Racing at Sandown (4th Jan 25)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Help find the winners with Andy Newton&#039;s horse racing trends from Sandown Park on Saturday 4th January 2025 - ITV Racing.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28054\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Horse Racing Trends For ITV Racing at Sandown (4th Jan 25)\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Help find the winners with Andy Newton&#039;s horse racing trends from Sandown Park on Saturday 4th January 2025 - 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With his long association with FromTheStables, Andy has also built up solid contacts with some of the best stables in the UK. Has written for GeeGeez and bookmakers Matchbook and BetBright in the past too, plus was the former sports betting editor of odds comparison site Easyodds and Juicestorm. Has also appeared on betting podcasts for MatchBook and has featured in the popular Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Guide in the past. Andy's also ghost written for former top jockey Richard Dunwoody and continues to have a monthly column in the Racing Ahead horse racing magazine. Now a regular on Sportscasting giving his views, trends and tips mainly on horse racing - if there's a stat to be explored and it's a sport, Andy is sure to find a betting angle to use. 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