{"id":32417,"date":"2025-01-24T16:12:11","date_gmt":"2025-01-24T16:12:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/?p=32417"},"modified":"2025-01-24T16:13:00","modified_gmt":"2025-01-24T16:13:00","slug":"cheltenham-trends-festival-trials-day-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/cheltenham-trends-festival-trials-day-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Cheltenham Trends For ALL Seven Races At Festival Trials Day 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"

It’s the last meeting at Prestbury Park this Saturday before the Festival in March, so we’ve more pointers and clues to take in as punters start to firm-up their main fancies. To help along the way, Andy Newton has got the Cheltenham trends for ALL this weekend’s Festival Trial races – with the action getting going at 12:40pm.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Cheltenham Trends and Stats: Put History On Your Side At Festival Trials Day 2025<\/h2>\n

Seven races on Festival Trials day<\/a> and hopefully by using the Cheltenham trends below this will help rule out some and point you in the direction of others.<\/p>\n

We get going at 12:40pm with the Timeform Novices’ Handicap Chase<\/strong>. Where all eyes will be on the JP McManus-trained Jagwar.<\/p>\n

The Triumph Trial Juvenile Hurdle<\/strong> is the first ITV race now – a contest a certain Sir Gino won and is now the big fancy for the 2025 Arkle Novices’ Chase with the best horse racing betting sites in the UK<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Just Two Winning Cotswold Chase Favourites In The Last 21 – Can L’Homme Presse Defy That?<\/strong><\/h3>\n

The action moves on through the afternoon with the Cotswold Chase<\/strong><\/a> at 2:25pm, which is deemed a Gold Cup Trial – but the last horse to win this and the ‘big one’ at the Festival was Looks Like Trouble in 2000. King George VI Chase third L’Homme Presse heads the market.<\/p>\n

However, the Cheltenham trends highlight that we’ve only seen two winning market leaders in the last 21 renewals.<\/p>\n

No Lossiemouth<\/a> unfortunately to take on Constitution Hill in the Unibet Hurdle<\/strong> at 3:00pm – that clash might have to wait till the Champion Hurdle (fingers crossed) on March 11th.<\/p>\n

If (sorry, when) Constitution Hill wins on Saturday – he’ll be looking to become the first Unibet Hurdle winner since Rooster Booster to follow-up that same season in the Champion Hurdle.<\/p>\n

Then at 3:35pm the Staying Hurdlers strut their stuff in the Cleeve Hurdle<\/strong> – a race former Grand National winner Noble Yeats won last year.<\/p>\n

The key Cheltenham trends here tell us eight of the last 19 favourites have won here.<\/p>\n

Five of the Saturday Cheltenham races will also be shown LIVE on ITV Racing<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Plus, you can also listen to SportsCasting’s Andy Newton<\/a> on this week’s Final Furlong podcast<\/a> with TalkSport host Emmet Kennedy and Peter Michael.<\/p>\n

Let’s get going.<\/p>\n

Cheltenham Trends – Key Stats For ALL The Festival Trials Day Races (Sat 25th Jan 2025)<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Read on as we showcase the main stats and Cheltenham trends for each Festival Trials Day race this weekend. Hopefully there will be a few more pointers towards March.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

12:40 \u2013 Timeform Novices\u00b4 Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f RTV<\/strong><\/h3>\n
<\/p>\n
    \n
  • <\/i> 20\/20 \u2013 Aged 8 or younger<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 19\/20 \u2013 Winners that went onto run at that season\u2019s Cheltenham Festival (4 winners, La Landiere Cathcart 2003, Close Brothers Novices\u2019 Chase, Mister Whitaker 2018, Simply The Betts 2020, Brown Advisory and Merribelle Stable Plate Handicap Chase, 2023 Stage Star, Turners\u2019 Novices Chase)<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 18\/20 \u2013 Raced within the last 6 weeks<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 18\/20 \u2013 Won between 0-2 races over fences in the UK previously<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 17\/20 \u2013 Won over at least 2m4f (fences) in the UK previously<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 17\/20 \u2013 Finished either 1st<\/sup> or 2nd<\/sup> last time out<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 16\/20 \u2013 Rated 128+<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 15\/20 \u2013 Priced 13\/2 or shorter<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 14\/20 \u2013 Irish bred<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 13\/20 \u2013 From top 3 in the betting<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 12\/20 \u2013 Carried 11-2 or more<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 10\/20 \u2013 Winning distance \u2013 5 lengths or more<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 9\/20 \u2013 Won last time out<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 7\/20 \u2013 Ran at Kempton last time out<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 5\/20 \u2013 French bred<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 4\/20 \u2013 Won with 11-12 in weight<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 4\/20 \u2013 Raced at Cheltenham last time out<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 3\/20 \u2013 Winning favourites (2 in the last 14 runnings, but last 2)<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 9 of the last 11 winners aged 7 or 8<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    <\/div>\n

    2024 Winner: GINNY\u2019S DESTINY (Paul Nicholls) 4\/1 fav<\/em><\/strong><\/h4>\n

    1.15 \u2013 JCB Triumph Trial Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m1f RTV<\/strong><\/h3>\n
    <\/p>\n
      \n
    • <\/i> 18\/20 \u2013 1st<\/sup> or 2nd<\/sup> in last race<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> 17\/20 \u2013 Raced in the last 7 weeks<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> 16\/20 \u2013 Placed favourites<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> 15\/20 \u2013 Top 3 in the market<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> 13\/20 \u2013 Winners that went onto run in that season\u2019s Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> 13\/20 \u2013 Won last time out<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> 12\/20 \u2013 2\/1 or shorter<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> 12\/20 \u2013 Won at least once over hurdles in the UK<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> 11\/20 \u2013 French bred (8 of last 9 winners)<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> 10\/20 \u2013 Winning Favourites (1 joint)<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> 8\/20 \u2013 Went onto be placed in that season\u2019s Triumph Hurdle (3 winners, Defi Du Seuil 2017, Peace & Co 2015, Katchit 2007)<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> 5\/20 \u2013 Raced at Cheltenham previously<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> 4\/20 \u2013 Trained by Alan King<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> 4\/20 \u2013 Priced 25\/1, 50\/1 or 100\/1<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> 4\/20 \u2013 Won by an Irish bred horse<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> 3\/20 \u2013 Won by a German bred horse<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> 4 of the last 7 been owned by JP McManus<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      <\/div>\n

      2024 Winner: SIR GINO (N Henderson) 5\/4<\/strong><\/h4>\n

      1.50 \u2013 Betfair Exchange Handicap Chase (A Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m 41\/2f ITV<\/strong><\/h3>\n
      <\/p>\n
        \n
      • <\/i> 18\/20 \u2013 9\/1 or shorter<\/li>\n
      • <\/i> 18\/20 \u2013 Rated 130 or higher<\/li>\n
      • <\/i> 17\/20 \u2013 Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously<\/li>\n
      • <\/i> 17\/20 \u2013 Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously<\/li>\n
      • <\/i> 16\/20 \u2013 Raced within the last 7 weeks<\/li>\n
      • <\/i> 15\/20 \u2013 Top 4 last time out<\/li>\n
      • <\/i> 15\/20 \u2013 Raced over fences at Cheltenham before (8 won)<\/li>\n
      • <\/i> 14\/20 \u2013 Aged 8 or older<\/li>\n
      • <\/i> 14\/20 \u2013 Winners that went onto run at that season\u2019s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner \u2013 Siruh Du Lac)<\/li>\n
      • <\/i> 12\/20 \u2013 1st<\/sup> or 2nd<\/sup> last time out<\/li>\n
      • <\/i> 12\/20 \u2013 From the top 3 in the betting<\/li>\n
      • <\/i> 12\/20 \u2013 Aged 8 or 9 years-old<\/li>\n
      • <\/i> 9\/20 \u2013 Carried 10-7 or less<\/li>\n
      • <\/i> 7\/20 \u2013 Raced at Cheltenham last time out<\/li>\n
      • <\/i> 7\/20 \u2013 Won last race<\/li>\n
      • <\/i> 5\/20 \u2013 Raced at Newbury last time out<\/li>\n
      • <\/i> 4\/20 \u2013 Favourites (just 1 joint-fav in the last 10 runnings)<\/li>\n
      • <\/i> 3\/20 \u2013 Won by a previous winner of the race<\/li>\n
      • <\/i> 2\/20 \u2013 Won by the Hobbs yard<\/li>\n
      • <\/i> 2\/20 – Paul Nicholls yard (2 of the last 6)<\/li>\n
      • <\/i> 2\/20 – Venetia Williams yard (2 of the last 11)<\/li>\n
      • <\/i> 2\/20 – Nigel Twiston-Davies yard (2 of the last 7)<\/li>\n
      • <\/i> 3 of the last 7 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey<\/li>\n
      • <\/i> Last 9 winners aged 8 or younger<\/li>\n
      • <\/i> Jockey Gavin Sheehan has ridden 2 of the last 10 winners<\/li>\n
      • <\/i> Il Ridoto won this in 2023<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

        <\/div>\n

        2024 Winner: GA LAW <\/em><\/strong>(Jamie Snowden) 8\/1<\/strong><\/h4>\n

        WATCH: All The Finishes From Cheltenham Festival Trials Day 2024<\/strong><\/h2>\n