{"id":34318,"date":"2025-02-15T07:27:28","date_gmt":"2025-02-15T07:27:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/?p=34318"},"modified":"2025-02-15T08:47:00","modified_gmt":"2025-02-15T08:47:00","slug":"haydock-grand-national-trial-trends-and-runners-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/haydock-grand-national-trial-trends-and-runners-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Haydock Grand National Trial Trends Suggest We Should Respect Welsh National Form"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>See below Andy Newton&#8217;s key Haydock Grand National Trial trends that can be applied to the final runners of the gruelling 3m 4 1\/2f race on Saturday. However, if you are hoping to find some clues towards the Aintree Grand National in April &#8211; you might be disappointed.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><strong>No Horse Has Ever Won The Grand National Trial And Followed-up In The Grand National<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The <strong>Haydock Grand National Trial<\/strong> is really only a prep race in name &#8211; as since 1980 we\u2019ve not seen a winner of the Grand National Trial follow-up that season in the Aintree marathon.<\/p>\n<p>Suny Bay, the 1997 Trial winner, did go onto finish second at Liverpool in the National. While the 2005 winner, Forest Gunner, went onto run a respectable fifth.<\/p>\n<p>Then more recently, in 2017 we saw the David Pipe-trained Vieux Lion Rouge winning this trial before going onto finish a respectable sixth in the Grand National a few months later.<\/p>\n<p>Prior to that the mighty Red Rum &#8211; who won three Aintree Nationals between 1973 and 1977 also won the National Trial at Haydock in 1975 &#8211; just not in the same season as one of his Liverpool wins.<\/p>\n<p>Sundew is the only other horse to have won both races &#8211; he took the Trial in 1956 and the Aintree National the following <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/horse-racing\">horse racing<\/a> season in 1957.<\/p>\n<p>But, in the week the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/aintree-grand-national-weights-2025\/\">2025 Grand National weights<\/a> were also announced &#8211; NONE have won both races in the same season.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Grand National Trial Trends and Stats For 2025 Haydock Renewal<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>You can see below the main Grand National Trial trends &#8211; which can be applied to the final 2025 runners to find the best profiles based on past winners.<\/p>\n<p>These include only three winning favourites since 2003 &#8211; but we did see a joint market leader take the prize 12 months ago.<\/p>\n<p>91% of the last 22 winners had also won between 2-4 times over fences. While 15 of the last 22 winners came from outside the top 3 in the betting.<\/p>\n<p>If you are looking for the best trainers, then you should certainly have Venetia Williams and Lucinda Russell on your radar. These top female handlers have won the Grand National Trial three times each since 2010.<\/p>\n<div class=\"su-list\" style=\"margin-left:0px\"><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 21\/22 \u2013 UK-based winners<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 20\/22 \u2013 Won between 2-4 times over fences (rules)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 19\/22\u2013 Won over at least 3m (fences)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 18\/22 \u2013 Ran within the last 7 weeks<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 17\/22 \u2013 Aged 10 or younger<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 17\/22 \u2013 Rated 135+<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 16\/22 \u2013 Placed in the top three in last run<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 15\/22 \u2013 Won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 15\/22 \u2013 Outside the top 3 in the betting<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 14\/22 \u2013 Aged 9 or younger<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 13\/22 \u2013 Finished in the top two in last race<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 12\/22 \u2013 Carried 11-0 or less<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 11\/22 \u2013 Returned a double-figure price<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 11\/22 \u2013 Favourites unplaced<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 8\/22 \u2013 Irish-bred winners<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 8\/22 \u2013 Won last race<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 8\/21 \u2013 Winners that went onto run in that season\u2019s Grand National (all unplaced)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 6\/22 \u2013 Raced in the Welsh Grand National last time out<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 4\/22 \u2013 Carried 11-12 in weight<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 3\/22 \u2013 Finished 1<sup>st<\/sup> or 2<sup>nd<\/sup> in the Welsh Grand National last time out<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 3\/22 \u2013 Trained by Lucinda Russell<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 3\/22 \u2013 Trained by Venetia Williams<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 3\/22 \u2013 Favourites<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 8 of the last 10 winners returned 8\/1 or shorter in the betting<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 16 of the last 17 winners were aged between 8-11 years-old<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/div>\n<h2><strong>Girl Power: Trainers Lucinda Russell and Venetia Williams Have Won The Grand National Trial Three Time Each Since 2010<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>12 months ago, we saw a rare Irish-trained winner of the Grand National Trial, when the Gavin Cromwell-trained Yeah Man landed the spoils.<\/p>\n<p>Nigel Twiston-Davies has landed the race twice in the past too &#8211; Bristol De Mai in 2022 being his most recent and Frantic Tan in 2001 his other.<\/p>\n<p>However, it&#8217;s two other Aintree Grand National-winning trainers in Lucinda Russell and Venetia Williams who have the best record in the Haydock Trial &#8211; with three wins each.<\/p>\n<p>Russell&#8217;s wins were with Silver By Nature (2010 and 2011) and Lie Forrit (2015). While the Venetia Williams winners in the Haydock race came with Rigadin De Beauchene (2014), Yala Enki (2018) and Quick Wave (2023).<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Just Three Winning Grand National Trial Favourites In The Last 22 Runnings<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Since 2003, the Haydock Grand National Trial has only seen three winning favourites &#8211; Giles Cross (2012), Well Refreshed (2013) and Yeah Man (2024).<\/p>\n<p>The likely market leader with the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/betting-sites\/horse-racing\/\">best horse racing betting sites<\/a> is the Sam Thomas-trained Jubilee Express.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>80% Of The Last 10 Winners Returned 8\/1 or Shorter<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Despite the lower strike-rate of the favorites in the Grand National Trial &#8211; it&#8217;s still been a race where the winners have come nearer the top of the market.<\/p>\n<p>This is backed up with eight of the last 10 winners returning 8\/1 or less in the betting.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Grand National Trial 2025 Race Details<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>\ud83d\udcc5Date: Saturday 15th February 2025<br \/>\n<span class=\"JCzEY tNxQIb\"><span class=\"CSkcDe\">\u231aTime: 3:15pm <\/span><\/span><br \/>\n\ud83c\udfc7Racecourse: Haydock<br \/>\n\ud83d\udd04Trip: 3m 4 1\/2f<br \/>\n\ud83d\udcb7Winning Purse: <span class=\"NA6bn BxUVEf ILfuVd\" lang=\"en\"><span class=\"hgKElc\">\u00a3<\/span><\/span>56,950<br \/>\n\ud83d\udcfa TV: ITV \/ Racing TV<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Welsh National Hero Val Dancer An Expected Grand National Trial Runner<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Haydock racegoers could also see the 2024 Welsh Grand National hero <strong>Val Dancer<\/strong> back in action.<\/p>\n<p>He beat Jubilee Express by 1 1\/2 lengths in the Chepstow festive feature back in December and if running to that form again there shouldn&#8217;t be a lot between the pair &#8211; but the second flew home, so many feel the Sam Thomas runner can reverse the form.<\/p>\n<p>The Grand National Trial trends also tell us that six of the last 22 winners ran in the Welsh National that season &#8211; with 3 of the last 22 finishing first or second in that Chepstow race. Top stats for both Val Dancer and Jubilee Express.<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"VAL DANCER grabs Coral Welsh Grand National glory at Chepstow!\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/JR4MHmbV92Y?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2>2024 Grand National Trial Winner Yeah Man Back For More<\/h2>\n<p>The Gavin Cromwell-trained <strong>Yeah Man<\/strong> was a rare Irish winner in the Haydock Grand National Trial in 2024 and he could be back to defend his title.<\/p>\n<p>Now aded 8, the horse is rated 11lbs higher and hasn&#8217;t won in three races since. However, he was a fair 4th (of 18) in the Thyestes Chase at Gowran Park last month and with that coming off a two-month break should strip a lot fitter this time.<\/p>\n<p>The last (and only) <em>&#8216;back-to-back&#8217;<\/em> winner in this race was Silver By Nature in 2010 and 2011.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Grand National Trial Runners 2025<\/strong><\/h2>\n<div class=\"su-list\" style=\"margin-left:0px\"><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Royale Pagaille<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Fontaine Collonges<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Yeah Man<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Galia Des Liteaux<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Apple Away<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Iron Bridge<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Famous Bridge<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Where It All Began<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Sine Nomine<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Git Maker<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Val Dancer<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Gericault Roque<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Jubilee Express<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Fortunate Man<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/div>\n<h2><strong>Grand National Trial<\/strong> Winners (Last 10 Years)<\/h2>\n<div class=\"su-list\" style=\"margin-left:0px\"><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2024 &#8211; YEAH MAN (9\/2 jfav)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2023 \u2013 QUICK WAVE (18\/1)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2022 \u2013 BRISTOL DE MAI (11\/2)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2021 &#8211; LORD DU MESNIL (8\/1)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2020 \u2013 SMOOTH STEPPER (33\/1)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2019 \u2013 ROBINSFIRTH (8\/1)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2018 \u2013 YALA ENKI (8\/1)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2017 \u2013 VIEUX LION ROUGE (8\/1)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2016 \u2013 BISHOPS ROAD (13\/2)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2015 \u2013 LIE FORRIT (8\/1)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>See below Andy Newton&#8217;s key Haydock Grand National Trial trends that can be applied to the final runners of the gruelling 3m 4 1\/2f race on Saturday. However, if you are hoping to find some clues towards the Aintree Grand National in April &#8211; you might be disappointed. No Horse Has Ever Won The Grand [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":355,"featured_media":34477,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-34318","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-horse-racing"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Haydock Grand National Trial Trends Point To Welsh National<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"See our Haydock Grand National Trial trends to apply to the 2025 running on Saturday 15th Feb, with the favourite winning 3 of the last 22.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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With his long association with FromTheStables, Andy has also built up solid contacts with some of the best stables in the UK. Has written for GeeGeez and bookmakers Matchbook and BetBright in the past too, plus was the former sports betting editor of odds comparison site Easyodds and Juicestorm. Has also appeared on betting podcasts for MatchBook and has featured in the popular Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Guide in the past. Andy's also ghost written for former top jockey Richard Dunwoody and continues to have a monthly column in the Racing Ahead horse racing magazine. Now a regular on Sportscasting giving his views, trends and tips mainly on horse racing - if there's a stat to be explored and it's a sport, Andy is sure to find a betting angle to use. 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