{"id":37330,"date":"2025-03-10T17:44:57","date_gmt":"2025-03-10T17:44:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/?p=37330"},"modified":"2025-03-10T17:45:31","modified_gmt":"2025-03-10T17:45:31","slug":"arkle-novices-chase-trends-cheltenham-festival-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/arkle-novices-chase-trends-cheltenham-festival-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"What Is The 18-Year-Old Arkle Novices&#8217; Chase Trend AGAINST Majborough?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>One of the highlights on day one of the Cheltenham Festival is the Arkle Challenge Trophy Novices\u2019 Chase as horse racing fans get to see some of the potential future stars strutting their stuff. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>One of these possible superstars in the making is the Willie Mullins-trained 5 year-old Majborough. However, if he is to win &#8211; he&#8217;ll have to defy one of the Arkle Novices&#8217; Chase trends that dates back to 2006.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>You can also see <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/andy-newtons-best-cheltenham-bets-for-day-1-2025\/\">Andy Newton&#8217;s best Cheltenham bets and hot stats<\/a> for ALL the <strong>DAY ONE<\/strong> Festival races.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>The Last Winning Arkle Novices&#8217; Chase 5 Year-Old Was In 2006<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>One of the key <strong>Arkle Novices&#8217; Chase trends<\/strong> tells us that horses aged 5 (Majborough&#8217;s age) haven&#8217;t won this Grade One Chase for 18 years.<\/p>\n<p>Okay, there hasn&#8217;t been stacks of 5 year-old over this period &#8211; but there has still been 16 losing horses and some beaten favourites with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/betting-sites\/horse-racing\/\">the best horse racing betting sites in the UK<\/a> too.<\/p>\n<p>Riviere D&#8217;Etel and Haut En Couleurs were both well-fancied in 2022 but finished unplaced.<\/p>\n<p>While Allmankind (2021), Fakir d&#8217; Oudairies (2020), Saint Calvados (2018) and Tatenen (2009) were other big name 5 year-olds coming into the race to lose.<\/p>\n<p>In short, you have to go back to 2006 to find the last 5 year-old to win the Arkle Novices&#8217; Chase &#8211; <strong>Voy Por Ustedes<\/strong>, who was trained by Alan King.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>The Arkle Chase Trends Tell Us &#8211; Since 1958 We&#8217;ve Only Had SIX Winning 5 Year-olds<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Prior to 2006, the classy Well Chief flew the flag for the youngsters in 2004 &#8211; while the only other winning 5 year-olds since 1971 were Champleve (1998) and Flagship Uberalles (1999.<\/p>\n<p>Since 1958 &#8211; there have been only SIX winning 5 year-old winners of the Arkle Novices&#8217; Chase.<\/p>\n<p>Therefore, despite being one of the big 2025 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/cheltenham-festival-bankers-2025-favourites\/\">Cheltenham Festival bankers<\/a>, those against Majborough might be happy knowing this key Arkle Novices&#8217; Chase trend.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>The 16 Arkle Novices&#8217; Chase 5 Year-Olds To ALL Lose Since 2007<\/strong><\/h3>\n<div class=\"su-list\" style=\"margin-left:0px\"><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2024 &#8211; No 5 year-olds<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2023 &#8211; No 5 year-olds<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2022\u00a0 <strong>&#8211; Riviere D&#8217;Etel (5th) Haut En Couleurs (6th), Saint Sam (UR)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2021 &#8211;<strong> Allmankind (4th)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2020 &#8211;<strong> Fakir d&#8217;Oudairies (2nd)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2019 &#8211; No 5 year-olds<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2018 &#8211; <strong>Saint Calvados (4th)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2017 &#8211; No 5 year-olds<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2016 &#8211; No 5 year-olds<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2015 <strong>&#8211; Clarcam (8th)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2014\u00a0 &#8211; No 5 year-olds<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2013 &#8211;<strong> His Excellency (3rd)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2012 &#8211; No 5 year-olds<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2011 &#8211; No 5 year-olds<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2010\u00a0 &#8211; No 5 year-olds<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2009 &#8211;<strong> Tatenen (F)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2008 &#8211;<strong> Kruguyrova (2nd), Marodima (9th)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2007 &#8211; <strong>Fair Along (2nd), Jack The Giant (3rd), Good Spirit (8th), Tidal Fury (9th), Twist Magic (F)<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/div>\n<h2><strong>16 Of The Last 18 (89%) Arkle Novices&#8217; Chase Winners Were Aged 6 or 7 years-old<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>So, what is the best age of recent Arkle Novices&#8217; Chase winners?<\/p>\n<p>Step forward <strong>horses aged 6 or 7<\/strong>, who has been responsible for 89% of the last 18 winners &#8211; including last year&#8217;s hero 6 year-old hero Gaelic Warrior.<\/p>\n<p>The only two horses that defied this age Arkle Novices&#8217; Chase trend since 2007 were Edwardstone and Sizing Europe &#8211; who both took the prize as 8 year-olds.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Arkle Novices&#8217; Chase 2025 Race Details<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>\ud83d\udcc5Date: Tuesday 11th March 2025<br \/>\n<span class=\"JCzEY tNxQIb\"><span class=\"CSkcDe\">\u231aTime: 2:00pm <\/span><\/span><br \/>\n\ud83c\udfc7Racecourse: Cheltenham<br \/>\n\ud83d\udd04Trip: 2m<br \/>\n\ud83d\udcb7Winning Purse: <span class=\"NA6bn BxUVEf ILfuVd\" lang=\"en\"><span class=\"hgKElc\">\u00a3<\/span><\/span>112,540<br \/>\n\ud83d\udcfa TV: ITV \/ Racing TV<\/p>\n<p>See the full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/cheltenham-festival-2025-dates-race-times-tv-and-new-running-order\/\">2025 Cheltenham Festival running order<\/a> and race times here<\/p>\n<h2><strong>On A Plus For Majborough Wille Mullins Has Won SIX Of The Last 10 Runnings<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Of course, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/horse-racing\">horse racing<\/a> trends are certainly not the holy grail in finding the winner all the time &#8211; but they can help build up a picture of what has happened in recent years.<\/p>\n<p>In contrast to the key Arkle Novices&#8217; Chase trend regarding the age that Majborough needs to overcome &#8211; the good news for his backers is there are many other positive stats for him.<\/p>\n<p>One of these is simply being trained by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/how-many-cheltenham-festival-winners-has-willie-mullins-had\/\">Willie Mullins<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Mullins is the winning-most Cheltenham Festival trainer with 103 winners heading into 2025 and he&#8217;s also got a top Arkle record.<\/p>\n<p>The Closutton handler has mopped up the last two runnings with Gaelic Warrior and El Fabiolo, plus has won six of the last 10 overall.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>8 Of The Last 10 Arkle Novices&#8217; Chase Favourites Have Also Won<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Another plus for Majborough is that the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/best-2025-cheltenham-festival-races-for-favourites\/\">Cheltenham Festival favourites<\/a> in the Arkle Novices&#8217; Chase have a terrific record.<\/p>\n<p>The last four market leaders have ALL won, while 80% of the last 10 jollies have also entered the winners&#8217; enclosure.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>WATCH: Majborough Winning The Irish Arkle At Leopardstown<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><iframe title=\"Worried Sir Gino fans? MAJBOROUGH lands Irish Arkle in a romp\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/P1XmliVQqKE?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Other Key Arkle Novices&#8217; Chase Trends 2025<\/strong><\/h2>\n<div class=\"su-list\" style=\"margin-left:0px\"><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 15 of the last 19 won at least twice over fences<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 16 of the last 18 aged 6 or 7 years-old<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 15 of the last 20 winners won (or been placed) at Cheltenham previously<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 19 of the last 25 winners won a Grade 1 or 2 chase<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 14 of the last 15 winners won their last race (plus 18 of the last 23)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 23 of the last 25 9\/1 or shorter<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 16 of the last 22 raced 3 or 4 times over fences<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 15 of the last 21 raced at the previous year\u2019s Cheltenham Festival<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 9 of the last 13 unbeaten over fences<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Nicky Henderson has 7 wins<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Willie Mullins has won 6 of the last 10 runnings<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 10 of the last 13 trained by Willie Mullins (6) or Nicky Henderson (4)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 10 of the last 13 favourites won<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/div>\n<h2><strong>Majborough Looking To Give JP McManus His First Arkle Chase Win<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-37121 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/02\/JP-McManus-NEW.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"696\" height=\"440\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/02\/JP-McManus-NEW.jpg 696w, https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/02\/JP-McManus-NEW-560x354.jpg 560w, https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/02\/JP-McManus-NEW-350x221.jpg 350w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 696px) 100vw, 696px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>There are also just FIVE Cheltenham Festival races that top owner<strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/jp-mcmanus-cheltenham-festival-winners\/\">JP McManus<\/a><\/strong> is yet to win &#8211; one of which is the Arkle Challenge Trophy Novices\u2019 Chase.<\/p>\n<p>He&#8217;s gone close in recent years with Fakir d\u2019Oudairies (2nd, 2020) and Jonbon (2nd, 2023) &#8211; but to date, this has been one of the few Cheltenham Festival races that&#8217;s eluded the famous green and gold silks.<\/p>\n<p>Majborough will be hoping to become his first on day one of the 2025 Cheltenham Festival.<\/p>\n<p>The horse will also be looking for another first. He landed the Triumph Hurdle at the Festival last season and no horse has EVER won that race and the Arkle &#8211; ever.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Recent Arkle Novices&#8217; Chase Winners<\/strong><\/h2>\n<div class=\"su-list\" style=\"margin-left:0px\"><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2024 &#8211; Gaelic Warrior (2\/1 fav)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2023 &#8211; El Fabolio (11\/10 fav)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2022 &#8211; Edwardstone (5\/2 fav)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2021 &#8211; Shishkin (4\/9 fav)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2020 &#8211; Put The Kettle On (16\/1)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2019 &#8211; Duc Des Genievres (5\/1)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2018 &#8211; Footpad (5\/6 fav)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2017 &#8211; Altior (1\/4 fav)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2016 &#8211; Douvan (1\/4 fav)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2015 &#8211; Un De Sceaux (4\/6 fav)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/div>\n<h2><strong>WATCH: Gaelic Warrior Winning The 2024 Arkle Novices&#8217; Chase<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><iframe title=\"GAELIC WARRIOR sparkles in the 2024 Arkle Challenge Trophy\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/gMuH0MP4FPE?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>One of the highlights on day one of the Cheltenham Festival is the Arkle Challenge Trophy Novices\u2019 Chase as horse racing fans get to see some of the potential future stars strutting their stuff. One of these possible superstars in the making is the Willie Mullins-trained 5 year-old Majborough. However, if he is to win [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":355,"featured_media":37331,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-37330","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-horse-racing"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Majborough Must Defy 18 Year-old Arkle Novices&#039; Chase Trend<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"See our key Arkle Novices&#039; Chase trends for the big Cheltenham Festival race - including an 18 year-old stat against hot favourite Majborough\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37330\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Majborough Must Defy 18 Year-old Arkle Novices&#039; 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