{"id":39439,"date":"2025-03-13T12:20:51","date_gmt":"2025-03-13T12:20:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/?p=39439"},"modified":"2025-03-13T12:26:37","modified_gmt":"2025-03-13T12:26:37","slug":"ryanair-chase-trend-cheltenham-festival-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/ryanair-chase-trend-cheltenham-festival-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"HUGE 100% Ryanair Chase Trend That Il Est Francais Has To Overcome at Cheltenham"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Il Est Francais is a big fancy for one of the day three Cheltenham feature races &#8211; however, if he is to win this year&#8217;s Festival, he&#8217;ll need to overcome a MASSIVE 100% Ryanair Chase trend that stretches back since the race was upgraded to Grade One status in 2008.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Plus, see <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/andy-newtons-best-cheltenham-bets-for-day-3-2025\/\">Andy Newton&#8217;s best Cheltenham bets and hot STATS for day 3 here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>ALL Of The Last 17 Ryanair Chases Winners Had Run At The Cheltenham Festival The Previous Season<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The popular <em>&#8216;horses for courses&#8217;<\/em> saying in the world of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/horse-racing\">horse racing<\/a> gets reeled off a lot at the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/cheltenham-festival-2025-dates-race-times-tv-and-new-running-order\/\">Cheltenham Festival<\/a> &#8211; but when it comes to the <strong>Ryanair Chase<\/strong>, this steps up several notches.<\/p>\n<p>This is because since 2008, when the Ryanair Chase was upgraded to Grade One status &#8211; <strong>EVERY WINNER OF THE RACE HAD RUN AT THE FESTIVAL THE PREVIOUS YEAR.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Something the Noel George and Amanda Zetterholm-trained <strong>IL EST FRANCAIS<\/strong> can&#8217;t claim.<\/p>\n<p>In fact, the 7 year-old, who we last saw running an excellent second in the King George VI Chase at Kempton on Boxing Day, has also NEVER even run at Cheltenham full stop &#8211; let alone just the Festival.<\/p>\n<p>His only two races outside France have come at Kempton, when he also landed the 2023 Kauto Star Novices&#8217; Chase.<\/p>\n<p>All this means Il Est Francais, who is the general second favourite with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/betting-sites\/horse-racing\/\">the best horse racing betting sites in the UK<\/a> behind Fact To File, will have a monster 100% Ryanair Chase trend to overcome if he&#8217;s to win the big Thursday Cheltenham race.<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"FULL RACE &amp; REACTION: Ladbrokes King George VI Chase\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/esLacCfOQi4?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><strong>82% Of The Last 17 Winners Had Won Or Placed At The Festival Before<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>In addition &#8211; of the last 17 Ryanair Chase winners to have raced at the Festival the previous season &#8211; 14 of these also won or were placed.<\/p>\n<p>See below the possible 2025 Ryanair Chase runners and how they fared at the 2024 Festival. With <strong>Djelo, Envoi Allen, Fact To File, Gaelic Warrior<\/strong> and last year&#8217;s winner of the race &#8211; <strong>Protektorat<\/strong> &#8211; the five horses that tick this stat.<\/p>\n<div class=\"su-list\" style=\"margin-left:0px\"><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Djelo &#8211; 3rd Turners Novices&#8217; Chase<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Energumene &#8211; Didn&#8217;t run at the 2024 Festival<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Envoi Allen &#8211; 2nd Ryanair Chase<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Fact To File &#8211; 1st Brown Advisory Novices&#8217; Chase<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Gaelic Warrior &#8211; 1st Arkle Novices&#8217; Chase<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Hang In There &#8211; Didn&#8217;t run at the 2024 Festival<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Heart Wood &#8211; Didn&#8217;t run at the 2024 Festival<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Hitman &#8211; 8th Ryanair Chase<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Il Est Francais &#8211; Didn&#8217;t run at the 2024 Festival<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Jungle Boogie &#8211; 6th Cheltenham Gold Cup<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Master Chewy &#8211; Fell Arkle Novices&#8217; Chase<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Protektorat &#8211; 1st Ryanair Chase<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/div>\n<h2><strong>Ryanair Chase 2025 Race Details<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>\ud83d\udcc5Date: Thursday 13th March 2025<br \/>\n<span class=\"JCzEY tNxQIb\"><span class=\"CSkcDe\">\u231aTime: 3:20pm <\/span><\/span><br \/>\n\ud83c\udfc7Racecourse: Cheltenham<br \/>\n\ud83d\udd04Trip: 2m 4 1\/2f<br \/>\n\ud83d\udcb7Winning Purse: <span class=\"NA6bn BxUVEf ILfuVd\" lang=\"en\"><span class=\"hgKElc\">\u00a3<\/span><\/span>211,013<br \/>\n\ud83d\udcfa TV: ITV \/ Racing TV<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Ryanair Chase Trends and Stats\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n<div class=\"su-list\" style=\"margin-left:0px\"><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Since the race was upgraded (2008) all 17 winners ran at previous season&#8217;s Festival<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 16 of the 20 won at Cheltenham before<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 7 of the last 12 were 2<sup>nd<\/sup> season chasers<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> All 17 winners (since getting G1 status) had won over 2m4f<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 13 of the last 17 had won a Grade 1 Chase<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 14 of the last 17 had won or placed at the Festival<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> The King George VI Chase is a good guide (8 from 31)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> The previous year\u2019s renewal is a good guide<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 16 of the last 20 priced 13\/2 or shorter<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 9 of the last 13 aged 7 or 8 years-old<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 16 of the last 17 rated 161+<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Horse rated 170+ won 4 of the last 7<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 4 of the last 20 placed in the top 3 in the Ascot Chase last time out<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 14 of last 20 fav or 2<sup>nd<\/sup> fav<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 11 of the last 17 finished 1<sup>st<\/sup> or 2<sup>nd<\/sup> in last race<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 16 of the last 20 from the top 3 in the betting<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 9 of the last 13 had 11 (or less) runs over fences<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Trainers Jonjo O\u2019Neill, Paul Nicholls, Henry de Bromhead, David Pipe &amp; Nicky Henderson are respected<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Respect first time headgear (3 from 13)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 11 of the last 17 winners DIDN\u2019T win last time out<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Last 11 winners were French-bred<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> All winners ran 5 or less times that season<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 5 of the last 9 winners trained by Willie Mullins<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Last 13 winners aged 9 or younger<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Irish have won 7 of the last 9 runnings<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Avoid horses priced 7\/1 or bigger<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> No winner aged 11 or older<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Just 1 of the last 15 winners aged 10<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Only one winner rated 160 or below<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Only 6 of the last 17 won last time out<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> No winner was having their Festival debut<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/div>\n<h2><strong>Willie Mullins Has Won The Ryanair Chase FIVE Times<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-34577 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/02\/Willie-Mullins-924x539.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"373\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/02\/Willie-Mullins-924x539.jpg 924w, https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/02\/Willie-Mullins-560x327.jpg 560w, https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/02\/Willie-Mullins-350x204.jpg 350w, https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/02\/Willie-Mullins-768x448.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/02\/Willie-Mullins.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Since the Ryanair Chase was first run in 2005, no trainer has won the prize more times than<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/how-many-cheltenham-festival-winners-has-willie-mullins-had\/\"><strong> Willie Mullins.<\/strong> <\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Closutton handler took a bit of time to grab his first win in the race, which came in 2016 with Vautour &#8211; but since then has won four more.<\/p>\n<p>Taking his overall tally to five Ryanair Chase wins &#8211; Nicky Henderson, Jonjo O&#8217;Neill, Henry de Bromhead and David Pipe all have two each. While Paul Nicholls has fired in three winners.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Willie Mullins Ryanair Chase Winners<\/strong><\/h4>\n<div class=\"su-list\" style=\"margin-left:0px\"><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Vautour (2016)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Un de Sceaux (2017)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Min (2020)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Allaho (2021, 2022)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/div>\n<h2><strong>Recent Ryanair Chase Winners (Last 10 Years)<\/strong><\/h2>\n<div class=\"su-list\" style=\"margin-left:0px\"><\/p>\n<p>2024 &#8211; Protektorat (17\/2)<br \/>\n2023 &#8211; Envoi Allen (13\/2)<br \/>\n2022 &#8211; Allaho (4\/7 fav)<br \/>\n2021 &#8211; Allaho (3\/1 fav)<br \/>\n2020 &#8211; Min (2\/1)<br \/>\n2019 &#8211; Frodon (9\/2)<br \/>\n2018 &#8211; Balko Des Flos (8\/1)<br \/>\n2017 &#8211; Un De Sceaux (7\/4 fav)<br \/>\n2016 &#8211; Vautour (Evs fav)<br \/>\n2015 &#8211; Uxizandre (16\/1)<\/p>\n<p><\/div>\n<h2><strong>WATCH: Protektorat Winning The 2024 Ryanair Chase<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Protektorat will be bidding to become the first <em>&#8216;back-to-back&#8217;<\/em> Ryanair Chase winner since Albertas Run, who won in 2010 and 2011.<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"Full Race: Protektorat Wins The Ryanair Chase At Cheltenham | ITV Racing\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/RIxF-JU6ga0?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Il Est Francais is a big fancy for one of the day three Cheltenham feature races &#8211; however, if he is to win this year&#8217;s Festival, he&#8217;ll need to overcome a MASSIVE 100% Ryanair Chase trend that stretches back since the race was upgraded to Grade One status in 2008. Plus, see Andy Newton&#8217;s best [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":355,"featured_media":39442,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39439","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-horse-racing"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>100% Ryanair Chase Trend That Il Est Francais Has To Overcome<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"There is a 100% Ryanair Chase trend that leading French hope Il Est Francais must overcome to win the 2025 Cheltenham Festival race.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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With his long association with FromTheStables, Andy has also built up solid contacts with some of the best stables in the UK. Has written for GeeGeez and bookmakers Matchbook and BetBright in the past too, plus was the former sports betting editor of odds comparison site Easyodds and Juicestorm. Has also appeared on betting podcasts for MatchBook and has featured in the popular Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Guide in the past. Andy's also ghost written for former top jockey Richard Dunwoody and continues to have a monthly column in the Racing Ahead horse racing magazine. Now a regular on Sportscasting giving his views, trends and tips mainly on horse racing - if there's a stat to be explored and it's a sport, Andy is sure to find a betting angle to use. 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