{"id":4792,"date":"2024-09-13T07:01:03","date_gmt":"2024-09-13T07:01:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/?p=4792"},"modified":"2024-09-13T09:35:08","modified_gmt":"2024-09-13T09:35:08","slug":"st-leger-2024-trends","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/st-leger-2024-trends\/","title":{"rendered":"St Leger 2024 Trends: Does Market Leader Illinois Tick The Key Doncaster Stats?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Use our key St Leger 2024 trends ahead of the final British Classic horse race of the season. The Aidan O&#8217;Brien-trained Illinois is one of the big fancies for the race &#8211; but does the talented 3 year-old tick the main Doncaster stats?<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Trainer Aidan O&#8217;Brien Is Looking For His Eighth St Leger Win<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The <strong>St Leger 2024<\/strong> will once again revolve around trainer Aidan O&#8217;Brien as the Ballydoyle handler will be looking for his eighth success in the race.<\/p>\n<p>O&#8217;Brien will have a strong hand once more with his Galileo colt <strong>Illinois<\/strong> the one heading most of the markets with the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/betting-sites\/horse-racing\/\">best horse racing betting sites in the UK<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>It was only last month (Aug 21st) when <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/horse-racing\/\">horse racing<\/a> fans last saw Illinois in action, when a neck second to stablemate Los Angeles in the Great Voltigeur Stakes at the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/2024-york-ebor-festival-dates-race-times-and-schedule-dress-code-and-ticket-options\/\">York Ebor Festival<\/a> (watch below).<\/p>\n<p>That race has often been a good guide ahead of the Doncaster classic &#8211; with 9 of the last 22 St Leger winners also taking in that race and three doing the double over that period.<\/p>\n<p>The good news for his backers too is that his conqueror that day <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/st-leger-market-drift-on-los-angeles-suggests-aidan-obrien-runner-will-bypass-doncaster-classic\/\">Los Angeles is expected to miss the St Leger <\/a>&#8211; with that horse heading to Leopardstown to take in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/aidan-obrien-runners-for-irish-champions-festival-weekend-2024\/\">Irish Champion Stakes<\/a>, before &#8211; maybe &#8211; a tilt at the Arc at Longchamp.<\/p>\n<p>Read on as we look at the St Leger 2024 in more detail and if the big fancy Illinois has any big stats against him landing the race.<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"LOS ANGELES cements St Leger claims with gritty Great Voltigeur win\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/otOX1ohQ3C8?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h2><strong>When Is The St Leger 2024?<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>\ud83d\udcc5Date: Saturday 14th September 2024<br \/>\n<span class=\"JCzEY tNxQIb\"><span class=\"CSkcDe\">\u231aTime: 3:40pm<\/span><\/span><br \/>\n\ud83c\udfc7Racecourse: Doncaster<br \/>\n\ud83d\udcb0Winning Purse: <span class=\"NA6bn BxUVEf ILfuVd\" lang=\"en\"><span class=\"hgKElc\">\u00a3<\/span><\/span>421,355<br \/>\n\ud83d\udcfa TV: ITV and Racing TV<\/p>\n<h2><strong>St Leger 2024 Trends and Stats<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>See below our 22 St Leger trends that you can use to apply to the 2024 runners &#8211; putting history on your side and finding the best profiles based on past winners of the Doncaster classic.<\/p>\n<div class=\"su-list\" style=\"margin-left:0px\"><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 19\/22 \u2013 2 or 3 previous wins<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 19\/22 \u2013 Never raced at Doncaster<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 19\/22 \u2013 Top 3 finish last time out<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 18\/22 \u2013 Priced 8\/1 or shorter<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 18\/22 \u2013 Favourites placed<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 17\/22 \u2013 Won a Group race<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 17\/22 \u2013 Won over at least 1m3f<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 15\/22 \u2013 Had 4 or 5 previous runs that season<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 14\/22 \u2013 Yet to race over 1m6f or further<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 13\/22 \u2013 Won their last race<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 13\/22 \u2013 Officially rated 109 to 115<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 13\/22 \u2013 Drawn in stall 5 or higher<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 9\/22 \u2013 Raced in the Great Voltigeur last time out (3 won it)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 9\/22 \u2013 Favourites (1 joint)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 6\/22 \u2013 Trained by Aidan O\u2019Brien<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 4\/22 \u2013 Trained by John Gosden<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 4\/22 \u2013 Won by a Godolphin-owned horse (7 in total)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 3\/22 \u2013 Raced in the Gordon Stakes last time out (2 won it)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 3\/22 \u2013 Ridden by jockey William Buick<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 3\/22 \u2013 Ridden by jockey Ryan Moore<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2\/22 \u2013 Winners from stall 1<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Godolphin have won the race 7 times<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Aidan O\u2019Brien has trained 7 winners of the race<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 6\/1<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/div>\n<h2><strong>Look For A Top Three Finish Last Time Out<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Most of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/st-leger-runners-2024\/\">St Leger 2024 runners<\/a> will fit the bill here &#8211; including Illinois, who was second last time out &#8211; but this is still a big stat that could rule out the David Menuisier-trained <strong>Sunway<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>This 3 year-old colt was last seen running fourth (of 9) at Ascot in the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes in July and with a massive 86% of the last 22 St Leger winners hitting a top three finish last time out &#8211; this would be a big negative for him.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>59% Of The Last 22 St Leger Winners Won Their Last Race<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Following on from that last St Leger 2024 stat, we can take this a bit further with 13 of the last 22 successful horses also winning last time out.<\/p>\n<p>Again, many Doncaster runners will be fine here &#8211; including Aidan O&#8217;Brien&#8217;s other runners &#8211; Jan Brueghel and Grosvenor Square.<\/p>\n<p>However, this is the first St Leger trend that market leader Illinois falls down on &#8211; having raced second last time out.<\/p>\n<p>In fact, Illinois has only won once this season, which came in the Queen&#8217;s Vase at Royal Ascot in June and despite having an overall consistent profile has been placed (5 times) more than winning (twice) from his seven career outings.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>St Leger Fillies Have A Poor Record<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The Ralph Beckett team supplemented their useful middle-distance runner You Got To Me for <span class=\"NA6bn BxUVEf ILfuVd\" lang=\"en\"><span class=\"hgKElc\">\u00a3<\/span><\/span>50k in the week and with the fourth horse last season getting <span class=\"NA6bn BxUVEf ILfuVd\" lang=\"en\"><span class=\"hgKElc\">\u00a339k, then a top three finish for this filly will see them make a profit. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>She&#8217;s been impressive in winning the Irish Oaks (watch below) in July and was a fine second in the Yorkshire Oaks since.<\/p>\n<p>The longer trip, that she&#8217;ll tackle for the first time, look sure to suit too &#8211; but the niggle is that the St Leger has only seen two winning fillies since 1992 &#8211; User Friendly that year and Simple Verse in 2015.<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"Classic winner! YOU GOT TO ME lands the Juddmonte Irish Oaks under Hector Crouch\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/zp11nteMh7c?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h2><strong>St Leger Favourites Have Won 41% Of The Last 22 Renewals<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Illinois gets back on track in this next Doncaster stat though &#8211; with the favourites having a top record in the St Leger in recent times.<\/p>\n<p>Horse racing punters have enjoyed nine winning market leaders since 2002 &#8211; including five jollies winning in the last 11 renewals.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Respect Aidan O&#8217;Brien, Godolphin and John Gosden<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-4183 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/08\/Aidan-OBRIEN--560x373.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"560\" height=\"373\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/08\/Aidan-OBRIEN--560x373.jpg 560w, https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/08\/Aidan-OBRIEN--350x233.jpg 350w, https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/08\/Aidan-OBRIEN-.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 560px) 100vw, 560px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;ve already mentioned the top record in the St Leger of trainer Aidan O&#8217;Brien with seven past wins &#8211; but he&#8217;s still got some way to go to get near the record haul of handler John Scott, who fired in 16 wins in the 1800&#8217;s.<\/p>\n<p>The first O&#8217;Brien St Leger win came in 2001 Milan, while the most recent was only last year in 2023 with Continuous.<\/p>\n<p>As well as the top O&#8217;Brien record, we&#8217;ve also seen trainer John Gosden do well &#8211; with four successes since 2007 &#8211; while the <em>&#8216;boys in blue&#8217;<\/em> of Godolphin have seven wins in total.<\/p>\n<p>This year, however, Gosden and Godolphin, don&#8217;t have entries in the St Leger, but &#8211; as we know &#8211; Aidan O&#8217;Brien does and is mob-handed.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Aidan O&#8217;Brien &#8211;<\/strong> Illinois, Jan Brueghel, Grosvenor Square and Los Angeles<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>Note: Final St Leger entries are out on Thursday 12th September<\/em><\/p>\n<h2><strong>What Are The Best St Leger Trials?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>With 12 of the last 22 St Leger winners having raced in the Gordon Stakes at Glorious Goodwood or the Great Voltigeur Stakes at York &#8211; these two race are always worth looking back on.<\/p>\n<p>Illinois was runner-up in the Great Voltigeur, while his stablemate Jan Brueghel landed the Gordon Stakes on 1st August (watch below).<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"FULL RACE: John Pearce Racing Gordon Stakes\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/qDvg7PXnaL8?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h2><strong>St Leger 2024 Runners<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/h2>\n<div class=\"su-list\" style=\"margin-left:0px\"><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Illinois (AP O&#8217;Brien)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Jan Brueghel (AP O&#8217;Brien)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Grosvenor Square (AP O&#8217;Brien)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> You Got To Me (Ralph Beckett)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Sunway (David Menuisier)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Deira Mile (Owen Burrows)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> Wild Waves (Andrew Balding)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><strong>Recent St Leger Winners<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><div class=\"su-list\" style=\"margin-left:0px\"><\/div><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2023 - Continuous (3\/1)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2022 \u2013 Eldar Eldarov (9\/2)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2021 \u2013 Hurricane Lane (8\/11 fav)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2020 \u2013 Galileo Chrome (4\/1)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2019 \u2013 Logician (5\/6 fav)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2018 - Kew Gardens (3\/1)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2017 - Capri (3\/1 fav)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2016 \u2013 Harbour Law (22\/1)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2015 \u2013 Simple Verse (8\/1)<\/li>\n<li><i class=\"sui sui-check-circle-o\" style=\"color:#f11d33\"><\/i> 2014 \u2013 Kingston Hill (9\/4 fav)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><\/div>\n<h2><strong>WATCH: Continuous Winning The 2023 St Leger<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><iframe title=\"FULL RACE: Continuous wins Aidan O&#039;Brien a record SEVENTH Betfred St Leger\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/QTts-utV8ws?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Use our key St Leger 2024 trends ahead of the final British Classic horse race of the season. The Aidan O&#8217;Brien-trained Illinois is one of the big fancies for the race &#8211; but does the talented 3 year-old tick the main Doncaster stats? Trainer Aidan O&#8217;Brien Is Looking For His Eighth St Leger Win The [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":355,"featured_media":4803,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4792","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-horse-racing"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>St Leger 2024 Trends &amp; Stats For Doncaster Classic<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"We take a look at the key St Leger 2024 trends and stats ahead of the final British Classic at Doncaster racecourse on Sat 14th September.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link 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