{"id":53262,"date":"2025-06-20T07:25:44","date_gmt":"2025-06-20T07:25:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/?p=53262"},"modified":"2025-06-21T07:57:35","modified_gmt":"2025-06-21T07:57:35","slug":"royal-ascot-trends-day-five-stats-for-queen-elizabeth-ii-jubilee-stakes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/royal-ascot-trends-day-five-stats-for-queen-elizabeth-ii-jubilee-stakes\/","title":{"rendered":"Royal Ascot Trends Day Five – Including Key Stats For Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes"},"content":{"rendered":"

See our Royal Ascot trends on day five – the final afternoon’s action from the 2025 meeting. You can use these key Royal Ascot stats to help put history on your side – just apply them to the final runners to find the best profiles based on previous winners.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Royal Ascot Trends Day Five (Saturday 21st June 2025): Key Stats To Help You Find The Saturday Winners\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n

The Royal Ascot 2025 action concludes on Saturday, which is day five and the last afternoon of action at the Berkshire track.<\/p>\n

We get going with the Chesham Stakes at 2:30pm – which is a race the Ballydoyle team have won five times in the last nine years.<\/p>\n

They try again with Moments Of Joy, who is one of the main Aidan O’Brien Royal Ascot runners<\/a> on Saturday.<\/p>\n

The Hardwicke Stakes is probably not a vintage renewal so all eyes will be on Godolphin’s Rebel’s Romance – this globetrotter has amassed over \u00a310.5 in total prize money.<\/p>\n

In this race, however, the Royal Ascot trends on day five tell us 12 of the last 14 winners were aged 4, which would be against the 7 year-old Rebel’s Romance.<\/p>\n

It’s then onto the main contest on day five – the Group One Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes – with \u00a3567,100 on offer to the winner.<\/p>\n

The French runner Lazzat is one of the big fancies, while Ryan Moore and Aidan O’Brien team up with the former Aussie-trained sprinter Storm Boy.<\/p>\n

We end the day five action with the Jersey Stakes, the ultra-competitive Wokingham Handicap and the Golden Gates Stakes.<\/p>\n

Then end with the Queen Alexandra Stakes – a race trainer Willie Mullins has won four times. He tries again with the Ryan Moore ridden Sober, who is the Frankie Dettori Royal Ascot best bet<\/a>.<\/p>\n

You can see all the Royal Ascot trends on DAY FIVE below – with stats for all seven contests.<\/p>\n

Royal Ascot Stats On Saturday<\/strong><\/h2>\n

2.30 – Chesham Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 7f ITV<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Chesham Stakes Recent Winners<\/h4>\n
    \n
  • 2024 \u2013 Bedtime Story (11\/8 fav)<\/li>\n
  • 2023 \u2013 Snellen (12\/1)<\/li>\n
  • 2022 \u2013 Holloway Boy (40\/1)<\/li>\n
  • 2021 \u2013 Point Lonsdale (10\/11 fav)<\/li>\n
  • 2020 \u2013 Battleground (11\/4 fav)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Chesham Stakes Trends<\/h4>\n
      \n
    • 21\/22 \u2013 No more than 2 previous career runs<\/li>\n
    • 19\/22 \u2013 Placed in the top 3 in last race<\/li>\n
    • 18\/22 \u2013 Just 1 previous career run<\/li>\n
    • 18\/22 \u2013 Foaled in March or earlier<\/li>\n
    • 16\/22 \u2013 Raced over 6f last time out (10 won)<\/li>\n
    • 15\/22 \u2013 Priced 7\/1 or shorter in the betting<\/li>\n
    • 15\/22 \u2013 Won last time out<\/li>\n
    • 8\/22 \u2013 Favourites (1 joint)<\/li>\n
    • 7\/22 \u2013 Irish trained-winners (Aidan O\u2019Brien, 5 of the last 9 winners)<\/li>\n
    • 2\/22 \u2013 Trained by the Johnston yard<\/li>\n
    • 2\/22 \u2013 Trained by Richard Hannon<\/li>\n
    • Ryan Moore has won the race in 2011, 2016, 2017, 2020, 2021 & 2024<\/li>\n
    • 16 of the last 19 winners came between stalls 1-8<\/li>\n
    • 7 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 7 (4)<\/li>\n
    • 14 of the last 19 winners returned 10\/1 or shorter<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      3.05 – Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m4f ITV<\/strong><\/h3>\n

      Hardwicke Stakes Recent Winners<\/strong><\/h4>\n
        \n
      • 2024 \u2013 Isle Of Jura (16\/1)<\/li>\n
      • 2023 \u2013 Pyledriver (7\/2)<\/li>\n
      • 2022 \u2013 Broome (6\/1)<\/li>\n
      • 2021 \u2013 Wonderful Tonight (5\/1)<\/li>\n
      • 2020 \u2013 Fanny Logan (17\/2)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

        Hardwicke Stakes Trends<\/strong><\/h4>\n
          \n
        • 22\/22 \u2013 Won over at least 1m2f before<\/li>\n
        • 21\/22 \u2013 Won a Group 2 or 3 previously<\/li>\n
        • 19\/22 \u2013 Placed in last race<\/li>\n
        • 19\/22 \u2013 Won over 1m4f<\/li>\n
        • 15\/22 \u2013 Had run at Ascot<\/li>\n
        • 14\/22 \u2013 Priced 6\/1 or shorter in the betting<\/li>\n
        • 14\/22 \u2013 Had at least 2 previous runs that season<\/li>\n
        • 14\/22 \u2013 Aged 4 years-old (inc 12 of last 14 winners)<\/li>\n
        • 12\/22 \u2013 Favourites placed<\/li>\n
        • 11\/22 \u2013 Won their previous race<\/li>\n
        • 7\/22 \u2013 Ran at Epsom last time out (Coronation Cup)<\/li>\n
        • 7\/22 \u2013 Winning favourites<\/li>\n
        • 6\/22 \u2013 Trained by Aidan O\u2019Brien (4) or Johnston yard (2)<\/li>\n
        • 6\/22 \u2013 Ridden by Ryan Moore<\/li>\n
        • 15 of the last 19 winners returned 8\/1 or shorter<\/li>\n
        • 13 of the last 19 winners returned 6\/1 or shorter<\/li>\n
        • No winner from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings<\/li>\n
        • 9 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 2-5 (inc)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

          3.40 \u2013 QEII Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 6f ITV<\/strong><\/h3>\n

          Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes Recent Winners<\/strong><\/h4>\n
            \n
          • 2024 \u2013 Khaadem (14\/1)<\/li>\n
          • 2023 \u2013 Khaadem (80\/1)<\/li>\n
          • 2022 \u2013 Naval Crown (33\/1)<\/li>\n
          • 2021 \u2013 Dream Of Dreams (3\/1 fav)<\/li>\n
          • 2020 \u2013 Hello Youmzain (4\/1)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

            Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes Trends<\/strong><\/h4>\n
              \n
            • 20\/22 \u2013 Won over 6f<\/li>\n
            • 19\/22 \u2013 Won a Group Race<\/li>\n
            • 17\/22 \u2013 Raced at Ascot<\/li>\n
            • 16\/22 \u2013 Aged 5 or younger<\/li>\n
            • 16\/22 \u2013 Didn’t win last race<\/li>\n
            • 15\/22 \u2013 Won by a UK-based yard<\/li>\n
            • 11\/22 \u2013 Returned a double-figure price<\/li>\n
            • 10\/22 \u2013 Favourites unplaced<\/li>\n
            • 6\/22 \u2013 Raced in the King Charles III earlier at the meeting<\/li>\n
            • 5\/22 \u2013 Favourite (joint)<\/li>\n
            • 2\/22 \u2013 Trained by James Fanshawe<\/li>\n
            • 9 of the last 20 winners were Irish-bred<\/li>\n
            • 10 of the last 20 winners came from a low-figure draw<\/li>\n
            • No winner from stall 1 in the last 20 runnings<\/li>\n
            • 9 of the last 20 winners returned a double-figure price<\/li>\n
            • The last 2 winners trained by Charles Hills<\/li>\n
            • 2 of the last 6 winners trained by Charlie Appleby<\/li>\n
            • Ryan Moore has ridden 3 of the last 9<\/li>\n
            • James Doyle has ridden 2 of the last 6<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

              4.20 – Jersey Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 7f ITV<\/strong><\/h3>\n

              Recent Jersey Stakes Winners<\/strong><\/h4>\n
                \n
              • 2024 \u2013 Haatem (7\/2)<\/li>\n
              • 2023 \u2013 Age Of Kings (22\/1)<\/li>\n
              • 2022 \u2013 Noble Truth (4\/1 fav)<\/li>\n
              • 2021 \u2013 Creative Force (5\/1 jfav)<\/li>\n
              • 2020 \u2013 Molatham (11\/2)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                Jersey Stakes Trends<\/strong><\/h4>\n
                  \n
                • 21\/23 \u2013 Had at least 1 run already that season<\/li>\n
                • 19\/23 \u2013 Had 4 or more career runs<\/li>\n
                • 14\/23 \u2013 Had won a Listed or better class race before<\/li>\n
                • 14\/23 \u2013 Had won over 7f before<\/li>\n
                • 12\/23 \u2013 Finished 1st or 2nd last time out<\/li>\n
                • 11\/23 \u2013 Had run at Ascot before<\/li>\n
                • 10\/23 \u2013 Ran at Newmarket last time out<\/li>\n
                • 9\/23 \u2013 Horses from stall 8 placed<\/li>\n
                • 9\/23 \u2013 Favourites unplaced<\/li>\n
                • 8\/23 \u2013 Returned a double-figure price in the betting<\/li>\n
                • 6\/23 \u2013 Won last time out<\/li>\n
                • 5\/23 \u2013 Favourites<\/li>\n
                • 3\/23 \u2013 Trained by Aidan O\u2019Brien (4 wins in total and 3 in the last 13)<\/li>\n
                • 2\/23 \u2013 Trainer by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 4 runnings)<\/li>\n
                • The Irish have won 4 of the last 13 runnings<\/li>\n
                • The horse from stall 11 has finished 2nd in 5 of the last 17 runnings<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                  5.00 – Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-110) 6f ITV<\/strong><\/h3>\n

                  Wokingham Stakes Recent Winners<\/strong><\/h4>\n
                    \n
                  • 2024 \u2013 Unequal Love (12\/1)<\/li>\n
                  • 2023 \u2013 Saint Lawrence (22\/1)<\/li>\n
                  • 2022 \u2013 Rohaan (18\/1)<\/li>\n
                  • 2021 \u2013 Rohaan (8\/1)<\/li>\n
                  • 2020 \u2013 Hey Jonesy (18\/1)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                    Wokingham Stakes Trends<\/strong><\/h4>\n
                      \n
                    • 25\/25 \u2013 Won before over 6f or 7f<\/li>\n
                    • 23\/25 \u2013 Raced within the last 6 weeks<\/li>\n
                    • 23\/25 \u2013 No more than 4 runs that season<\/li>\n
                    • 22\/25 \u2013 Won a race over 6f before<\/li>\n
                    • 21\/25 \u2013 Finished sixth or better in last race<\/li>\n
                    • 21\/25 \u2013 Aged 4 or 5 years-old<\/li>\n
                    • 16\/25 \u2013 At least 2 runs already that season<\/li>\n
                    • 16\/25 \u2013 Returned a double-figure price in the betting<\/li>\n
                    • 15\/25 \u2013 Had raced at Ascot before (8 had won here)<\/li>\n
                    • 12\/25 \u2013 Raced at either Ascot, Goodwood or Newmarket last time<\/li>\n
                    • 7\/25 \u2013 Won last time out<\/li>\n
                    • 5\/25 \u2013 Favourites<\/li>\n
                    • 12 of the last 19 winners carried 9-3 or less in weight<\/li>\n
                    • 11 of the last 19 winners returned 14\/1 or shorter<\/li>\n
                    • 14 of the last 19 winners came from a double-figure draw<\/li>\n
                    • 13 of the last 15 winners came from a double-figure stall<\/li>\n
                    • 10 of the last 14 runnings – the top 2 finishers both came from double-figure stalls<\/li>\n
                    • Horse from stall 15 has been placed in 4 of the last 13 runnings<\/li>\n
                    • Since 1980 there have been only 9 winning favourites<\/li>\n
                    • Since 1980 there have been 35 winners returning a double-figure price<\/li>\n
                    • Trainer Paul Cole has won the race 3 times<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                      5.35 – Golden Gates Handicap (3yo) 1m2f ITV<\/strong><\/h3>\n
                        \n
                      • Only the 5 previous runnings<\/li>\n
                      • 4 of the last 5 winners came between stalls 13-17 (inc)<\/li>\n
                      • Hand Of God (9\/4 fav) won this race in 2024<\/li>\n
                      • Burdett Road (20\/1) won this race in 2023<\/li>\n
                      • Missed the Cut (5\/2 fav) won this race in 2022<\/li>\n
                      • Foxes Tales (13\/2) won this race in 2021<\/li>\n
                      • Highland Chief (20\/1) won this race in 2020<\/li>\n
                      • Trainer Harry Charlton won this race in 2024<\/li>\n
                      • Trainer George Boughey won this race in 2022<\/li>\n
                      • Trainer Andrew Balding won this race in 2021<\/li>\n
                      • Trainer Paul and Oliver Cole won this race in 2020<\/li>\n
                      • <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                        6.10 – Queen Alexandra Stakes (Conditions Race) (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 2m5f159y ITV4<\/strong><\/h3>\n

                        Queen Alexandra Stakes Recent Winners<\/strong><\/h4>\n
                          \n
                        • 2024 \u2013 Uxmal (2\/1 fav)<\/li>\n
                        • 2023 \u2013 Dawn Rising (2\/1 fav)<\/li>\n
                        • 2022 \u2013 Stratum (10\/1)<\/li>\n
                        • 2021 \u2013 Stratum (4\/1)<\/li>\n
                        • 2020 \u2013 Who Dares Wins (Evs fav)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                          Queen Alexandra Stakes Trend<\/strong>s<\/h4>\n
                            \n
                          • 18\/22 \u2013Unplaced last time out<\/li>\n
                          • 14\/22 \u2013Won over at least 2m on the flat<\/li>\n
                          • 13\/22 \u2013 Had raced at Ascot<\/li>\n
                          • 12\/22 \u2013 Aged 4, 5 or 6 years old<\/li>\n
                          • 9\/22 \u2013 Irish-trained winners<\/li>\n
                          • 9\/22 \u2013 Won by a NH yard<\/li>\n
                          • 6\/22 \u2013 Favourites<\/li>\n
                          • 5\/22 \u2013 Ridden by Ryan Moore (5 of last 15)<\/li>\n
                          • 4\/22 \u2013 Trained by Willie Mullins (4 of last 13)<\/li>\n
                          • 2\/22 \u2013 Trained by the Johnston yard (2 of last 10)<\/li>\n
                          • 2\/22 \u2013 Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 12)<\/li>\n
                          • 2\/22 \u2013 Trained by Gordon Elliott (2 of last 9)<\/li>\n
                          • 2\/22 \u2013 Trained by Joseph O\u2019Brien (last 2)<\/li>\n
                          • 14 of the last 19 winners returned 6\/1 or shorter<\/li>\n
                          • 13 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 9-16 (inc)<\/li>\n
                          • 12 of the last 18 winners came from a double-figure draw<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                            WATCH: All the Royal Ascot Day Five Finishes 2024\u00a0<\/strong><\/h3>\n