{"id":53883,"date":"2025-06-27T10:15:28","date_gmt":"2025-06-27T10:15:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/?p=53883"},"modified":"2025-06-27T20:00:27","modified_gmt":"2025-06-27T20:00:27","slug":"northumberland-plate-trends-stats-newcastle-racecourse-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/northumberland-plate-trends-stats-newcastle-racecourse-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Northumberland Plate Trends 2025: FOUR Standout Horses Based On Key Age, Draw and Last Run Stats"},"content":{"rendered":"

We can expect a large field in the Newcastle feature race on Saturday, so to help whittle down the runners we’ve got the key Northumberland Plate trends. You can apply these stats to the final entries to help find the horses with the best profiles based on previous winners of the 2m 1\/2f handicap.<\/strong><\/p>\n

For example – 96% of the last 23 winners finished in the top five in their last race, while 78% of winners over this same period were also aged 6 or younger.<\/p>\n

We’ll also shortlist the FOUR horses that tick the most Northumberland Plate trends below.<\/p>\n

Northumberland Plate Trends Point To Horses Aged 6 Or Younger<\/strong><\/h2>\n

The first of the key Northumberland Plate trends to have on side is age.<\/p>\n

This is because 78% (18 of the last 23) winners were aged 6 or younger.<\/p>\n

Yes, we’ve seen two 7 year-olds win since 2019 (Who Dares Wins and Calling The Wind) and a 9 year-old (Nicholas T) in 2021.<\/p>\n

So, a small word of caution. As this stat might be turning, but it’s still worth noting the race generally goes to horses aged 6 or younger.<\/p>\n

While since 1985 only one winner has been aged 9+ – which would be a negative for the Jim Goldie runner Faylaq at 9 years-old.<\/p>\n

We’ve also got the 2023 runner-up Golden Rules back for more – but he’s now aged 8.<\/p>\n

Look For Horses With A Top Five Finish In Last Race\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n

This Saturday’s Northumberland Plate will be shown live on ITV Racing<\/a> at 3:15pm from Newcastle racecourse and if the key stats are to be believed we must look for horse with a ‘top five’ finish last time out.<\/p>\n

Why? Well, the Northumberland Plate trends tell us a massive 22 of the last 23 winners (96%) came into the race having finished fifth (or better) in their most recent outing.<\/p>\n

Most of the main players will tick this stat, but there are a few at the top of the market – like East India Dock (6th) and Duke Of Oxford (UP) – who fall down.<\/p>\n

You can also take this ‘last-time-out’ Northumberland Plate trend a bit further.<\/p>\n

As 19 of the last 23 (83%) winners actually finished in the top three last time and seven of the last 23 (30%) won their most recent start.<\/p>\n

How Have The Northumberland Plate Favourites Fared?<\/strong><\/h2>\n

For a race with a maximum of 20 runners, the Northumberland Plate favourites record isn’t too bad.<\/p>\n

Over the last 23 runners the race has produced six winning market leaders. With the most recent the classy Trueshan in 2022, who shouldered the welter-burden of 10-8 to victory.<\/p>\n

While since 2018, Caravan Of Hope and Withhold were other winning jollies.<\/p>\n

Northumberland Plate Trends and Stats \ud83d\udcc8<\/strong><\/h3>\n