{"id":6303,"date":"2024-09-11T07:47:18","date_gmt":"2024-09-11T07:47:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/?p=6303"},"modified":"2024-09-11T07:47:18","modified_gmt":"2024-09-11T07:47:18","slug":"racing-tips-andrew-mounts-wednesday-picks-september-11th","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/racing-tips-andrew-mounts-wednesday-picks-september-11th\/","title":{"rendered":"Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Wednesday Picks – September 11th"},"content":{"rendered":"

Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Andrew heads to Carlisle (Flat) and Worcester (jumps) for his three stats-based picks on Wednesday, September 11th…<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

CARLISLE 2.20<\/h2>\n

MAID OF KILLYBEGS (system \u2013 Charlie Johnston, 2yo debutantes in sprints)<\/h3>\n

Charlie Johnston has had a disappointing season but the yard\u2019s record with female newcomers in two-year-old sprints (5f-6f) \u2013 56 winners form 249 runners since 2012 (22.5% strike-rate, +\u00a395.11 to a \u00a31 level stake at SP) \u2013 suggests that MAID OF KILLYBEGS could run a big race on her debut. The score is seven from 25 since Charlie held the licence in his own name (+\u00a330.83), including six from ten over today\u2019s 6f trip (+\u00a341.83). The daughter of Acclamation is a half-sister to five winners including Killybegs Warrior who made a winning debut in these colours in July 2022.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

CARLISLE 2.50<\/h2>\n

CUGINI (system \u2013 Land Force, soft or heavy going)<\/h3>\n

Progeny of the sire Land Force have a solid record on soft or heavy going (based on race times, not the official verdict), with nine of the 37 qualifiers scoring for a profit of \u00a363.00 to a \u00a31 level stake at SP. \u00a0CUGINI<\/strong> drops in class after a respectable 50-1 12th<\/sup> of 17 at York\u2019s Ebor meeting last month and could improve now encountering deep ground for the first time.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

WORCESTER 4.03<\/h2>\n

MOODOFTHEMOMENT (system – Matt Sheppard, second run for yard, chasers, recent run)<\/h3>\n

Matt Sheppard has a modest record at the first time of asking with horses he takes over from other yards but they it\u2019s a different story on their second start for the stable, especially with the chasers who had the benefit of a recent run (within four weeks). He\u2019s scored with eight of the 28 qualifiers since 2015 (28.6%% strike-rate) for a profit of \u00a374.08 to a \u00a31 level stake at SP. MOODOFTHEMOMENT<\/strong>, a four-time point-to-point winner and second at 10-1 over course and distance on last month\u2019s yard debut, is taken to go one better.<\/p>\n

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