{"id":65118,"date":"2025-10-02T16:00:03","date_gmt":"2025-10-02T16:00:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/?p=65118"},"modified":"2025-10-03T07:31:32","modified_gmt":"2025-10-03T07:31:32","slug":"longchamp-going-weather-forecast-prix-de-larc-triomphe-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/longchamp-going-weather-forecast-prix-de-larc-triomphe-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"How EVERY Prix de l&#8217;Arc Triomphe Runner Has Performed On Soft and Heavy Ground"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>-With the current Prix de l&#8217;Arc Triomphe going already &#8216;soft&#8217; and weather experts predicting more rain in Paris over the weekend &#8211; we look at the Longchamp going and the horses that have proven form when the mud is flying.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Plus, we also reveal the Friday, Saturday and Sunday Longchamp weather forecast &#8211; so racing fans can get a better idea of what to expect come Arc Day on Sunday.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Longchamp Going For Prix de l&#8217;Arc Triomphe &#8211; How EVERY Horse Has Acted On Softer Ground \ud83c\udf27\ufe0f<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>With the 2025 Longchamp going expected to be soft, very soft or even heavy we look at the winning form for EVERY Prix de l&#8217;Arc Triomphe runner with give underfoot.<\/p>\n<div class=\"su-table su-table-responsive su-table-alternate\"><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><b>Horse <\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>Soft<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>Very Soft<\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>Heavy<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Giavellotto<\/td>\n<td>\u274e<\/td>\n<td>\u274e<\/td>\n<td>\u274e<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>White Birch<\/td>\n<td>\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<td>\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Arrow Eagle<\/td>\n<td>\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td>\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td>\u274e<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Sosie<\/td>\n<td>\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td>\u274e<\/td>\n<td>\u274e<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Los Angeles<\/td>\n<td>\u274e<\/td>\n<td>\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Byzantine Dream<\/td>\n<td>\u274e<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Estrange (NR)<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<td>\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Quisisana<\/td>\n<td>\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td>\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td>\u274e<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Kalpana<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<td>\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Aventure<\/td>\n<td>\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td>\u274e<\/td>\n<td>\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Daryz<\/td>\n<td>\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td>\u274e<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Leffard<\/td>\n<td>\u274e<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Cualificar<\/td>\n<td>\u274e<\/td>\n<td>\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td>\u274e<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Hotazhell<\/td>\n<td>\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Croix Du Nord<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<td>\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Alohi Alii<\/td>\n<td>\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Minnie Hauk<\/td>\n<td>\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Gezora<\/td>\n<td>\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td>&#8211;<\/td>\n<td>\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><\/div>\n<p><em>Note: The dash in the table means that horse is yet to run on that particular ground.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Only THREE Prix de l&#8217;Arc Triomphe<\/strong> Horses Have Won On Heavy Ground \ud83c\udf27\ufe0f<\/h2>\n<p>If the expected rain hits Paris in the coming days, then the already &#8216;soft&#8217; Longchamp going could easily get worse.<\/p>\n<p>Meaning we could get a repeat of last year&#8217;s race &#8211; when Bluestocking powered home on ground described as &#8216;very soft&#8217;.<\/p>\n<p>Looking at the above table, of the 18 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/prix-de-larc-de-triomphe-runners-guide-2025-longchamp\/\">Prix de l&#8217;Arc Triomphe runners<\/a> &#8211; this tells us only seven have won before on &#8216;very soft&#8217; going.<\/p>\n<p>While JUST THREE horses have winning form on &#8216;heavy&#8217; ground.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Previous &#8216;Very Soft&#8217; Gound Winners \u2614<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>Croix Du Nord<\/li>\n<li>Cualificar<\/li>\n<li>Kalpana<\/li>\n<li>Quisisana<\/li>\n<li>Estrange (NR)<\/li>\n<li>Los Angeles<\/li>\n<li>Arrow Eagle<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><strong>Previous &#8216;Heavy&#8217; Ground Winners \u2614<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li>White Birch<\/li>\n<li>Gezora<\/li>\n<li>Aventure<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4><strong>AVENTURE<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Last year&#8217;s Prix de l&#8217;Arc Triomphe runner-up Aventure certainly won&#8217;t mind the rain.<\/p>\n<p>This Christophe Ferland-trained 4 year-old took the silver 12 months ago on very soft ground (watch below).<\/p>\n<p>While has won on &#8216;soft&#8217; and also bolted up by 7-lengths in the 2023 Prix de Royaumont at Chantilly on &#8216;heavy&#8217;.<\/p>\n<p>His overall form in soft, very soft or heavy reads: 2-1-1-2-2.<\/p>\n<p>While if going off as market leader &#8211; the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/prix-de-larc-de-triomphe-trends-2025\/\">Prix de l&#8217;Arc Triomphe trends<\/a> tell us seven of the last 23 favourites have won.<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"FULL RACE: Qatar Prix de l&#039;Arc de Triomphe\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/F5EEEqFQ7hE?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h4><strong>GEZORA<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>This Francis-Henri Graffard trained 3 year-old was last seen running second to Aventure in the Prix Vermeille last month on &#8216;good-to-soft&#8217; Longchamp going (watch below).<\/p>\n<p>But could easily eat into that 1 1\/2 length defeat if the ground turns softer.<\/p>\n<p>Why?<\/p>\n<p>Well, this Almanzor filly has won of &#8216;soft&#8217; in the past and also tasted victory on &#8216;heavy&#8217; ground in the 2024 Darley Prix des Reservoirs at Deauville last October.<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"AVENTURE DAZZLES IN THE PRIX VERMEILLE! | Aventure is joint-favourite for the Arc after Group 1 romp\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/HNKEc9rlbxw?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h4><strong>WHITE BIRCH<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>The only other 2025 Prix de l&#8217;Arc Triomphe runner with winning form on heavy ground is the Irish raider White Birch.<\/p>\n<p>This grey won the Mooresbridge Stakes on soft ground in 2024 and has also recorded two &#8216;heavy&#8217; ground wins in his career.<\/p>\n<p>One at the Curragh in the Alleged Stakes in 2024 and the other in the Ballysax Stakes at Leopardstown in 2023 (watch below).<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"White Birch stamps Classic credentials in Ballysax  - Racing TV\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/ZbL6CAyp54c?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h2><strong>When Is The <\/strong><strong>Prix de l&#8217;Arc de Triomphe <\/strong><strong>2025?<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>\ud83d\udcc5Date: Sunday 5th October 2025<br \/>\n<span class=\"JCzEY tNxQIb\"><span class=\"CSkcDe\">\u231aTime: 3:05pm<\/span><\/span><br \/>\n\ud83c\udfc7Racecourse: Longchamp<br \/>\n\ud83d\udcb0Winning Purse: \u00a32,361,157<br \/>\n\ud83d\udcfa TV: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/itv-racing-schedule-today\/\">ITV Racing Schedule<\/a> \/ Sky Racing<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Will Favourite Minnie Hauk Like The Soft Longchamp Going?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The expected 2025 Prix de l&#8217;Arc Triomphe favourite will be Minnie Hauk, who is named after a 1800&#8217;s US opera singer &#8211; but will the Longchamp going be to her liking?<\/p>\n<p>She&#8217;s only raced six times (5 wins) and you have to say the jury is out &#8211; with only one win\/run coming on &#8216;soft&#8217;.<\/p>\n<p>This came in her maiden win at Leopardstown last October, while her most recent win in the Yorkshire Oaks came on &#8216;good-to-firm&#8217; (watch below).<\/p>\n<p>She&#8217;s by wonder horse Frankel, who only raced twice on soft &#8211; but won both times.<\/p>\n<p>While her dam Multilingual only raced once (6th good-to-firm).<\/p>\n<p>Minnie Hauk was supplemented for the race on Wednesday for \u00a3120k. She&#8217;ll join last year&#8217;s third Los Angeles as the two <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/aidan-obrien-prix-de-larc-de-triomphe-runners-and-race-record\/\">Aidan O&#8217;Brien Prix de l&#8217;Arc Triomphe runners<\/a> this year.<\/p>\n<p>Trainer Aidan O&#8217;Brien does seem to like nine years between his Arc winners though &#8211; winning in 2007 (Dylan Thomas) and 2016 (Found).<\/p>\n<p>So maybe this trend will carry on in 2025?<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"MINNIE HAUK lands third consecutive Group One with Yorkshire Oaks triumph\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/7a7NELOv8JA?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Prix de l&#8217;Arc Triomphe Going An Unknown For Japanese Raider Byzantine Dream<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>We are yet to see a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/japan-prix-de-larc-de-triomphe-runners-and-results\/\">Japanese winner of the Prix de l&#8217;Arc Triomphe<\/a> &#8211; but this year they have a good chance of putting that right.<\/p>\n<p>They&#8217;ve three leading fancies in Croix Du Nord, Alohi Alii and Byzantine Dream, who Oisin Murphy has been booked to ride.<\/p>\n<p>But will they like the softer Longchamp going?<\/p>\n<p>Croix Du Nord should be fine &#8211; having won the Prix du Prince d&#8217;Orange on &#8216;very soft&#8217; ground (watch below).<\/p>\n<p>But he&#8217;s been handed a wide draw in 17.<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"2025 Prix du Prince d&#039;Orange\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/w-7dd6jnmtQ?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Alohi Alii has won on soft ground too &#8211; when taking the G2 Prix Guillaume d&#8217;Ornano back in August at Deauville.<\/p>\n<p>Draw 4 looks great for this Japanese raider too with 18 of the last 23 coming from 8 or lower.<\/p>\n<p>However, anyone liking Byzantine Dream might have to take him handling the ground on trust.<\/p>\n<p>Yes, he beat last year&#8217;s Arc favourite Sosie last time in the Prix Foy on &#8216;good-to-soft&#8217; (watch below) &#8211; but all his other runs have been on much quicker ground.<\/p>\n<p>While draw 15 for this Oisin Murphy-ridden Far East runner is not ideal.<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"BYZANTINE DREAM STRIKES FOR JAPAN! | Byzantine Dream rattles home to land the Group Two Prix Foy!\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/p5vHIxGudL8?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Prix de l&#8217;Arc Triomphe<\/strong> Going and Weather Forecast 2025<\/h2>\n<p>See below the expected Longchamp and Prix de l&#8217;Arc Triomphe weather forecast for Friday, Saturday and Sunday.<\/p>\n<p>The current Longchamp going is described as &#8216;SOFT&#8217; &#8211; but this could change with more rain on Friday and Saturday.<\/p>\n<p>But the better news is &#8211; come Arc day things could dry up.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Friday 3rd October 2025 &#8211; <\/strong><strong>Longchamp Weather Forecast: <\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-65129 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/10\/Longchamp-Friday.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"696\" height=\"364\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/10\/Longchamp-Friday.jpg 696w, https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/10\/Longchamp-Friday-560x293.jpg 560w, https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/10\/Longchamp-Friday-350x183.jpg 350w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 696px) 100vw, 696px\" \/><\/p>\n<h4><strong>Saturday 4th October 2025 &#8211; <\/strong><strong>Longchamp Weather Forecast: <\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-65130 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/10\/Longchamp-Sat.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"696\" height=\"363\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/10\/Longchamp-Sat.jpg 696w, https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/10\/Longchamp-Sat-560x292.jpg 560w, https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/10\/Longchamp-Sat-350x183.jpg 350w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 696px) 100vw, 696px\" \/><\/p>\n<h4><strong>Sunday 5th October 2025 &#8211; <\/strong><strong>Longchamp Weather Forecast: <\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-65142 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/10\/arc-Sunday-weather.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"696\" height=\"382\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/10\/arc-Sunday-weather.jpg 696w, https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/10\/arc-Sunday-weather-560x307.jpg 560w, https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/10\/arc-Sunday-weather-350x192.jpg 350w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 696px) 100vw, 696px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Prix de l&#8217;Arc Triomphe Going &#8211; The Last Five Years\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>See below the Prix de l&#8217;Arc Triomphe and Longchamp going over the last five years.<\/p>\n<p>With four of the last five being &#8216;very soft&#8217; or &#8216;heavy&#8217;.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>2024 &#8211; Very Soft (Bluestocking)<\/li>\n<li>2023 &#8211; Good-to-Soft (Ace Impact)<\/li>\n<li>2022 &#8211; Very Soft (Alpinsita)<\/li>\n<li>2021 &#8211; Heavy (Torquator Tasso)<\/li>\n<li>2020 &#8211; Heavy (Sottsass)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><strong>WATCH: Alpinista Winning The 2022 Prix de l&#8217;Arc Triomphe On Heavy Ground<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><iframe title=\"Amazing! ALPINISTA wins the Qatar Prix de l&#039;Arc de Triomphe!\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/YFD-mnPIKD8?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>-With the current Prix de l&#8217;Arc Triomphe going already &#8216;soft&#8217; and weather experts predicting more rain in Paris over the weekend &#8211; we look at the Longchamp going and the horses that have proven form when the mud is flying.\u00a0 Plus, we also reveal the Friday, Saturday and Sunday Longchamp weather forecast &#8211; so racing [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":355,"featured_media":65126,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-65118","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-horse-racing"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - 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