{"id":6513,"date":"2024-09-11T14:27:11","date_gmt":"2024-09-11T14:27:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/?p=6513"},"modified":"2024-09-11T14:27:11","modified_gmt":"2024-09-11T14:27:11","slug":"racing-tips-andrew-mounts-thursday-picks-september-12th","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/racing-tips-andrew-mounts-thursday-picks-september-12th\/","title":{"rendered":"Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Thursday Picks – September 12th"},"content":{"rendered":"

Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Andrew heads to Carlisle (Flat) and Worcester (jumps) for his three stats-based picks on Wednesday, September 11th…<\/p>\n

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EPSOM 2.00<\/h2>\n

BOLD IMPACT (system \u2013 Ralph Beckett, first-time blinkers)<\/h3>\n

Since the beginning of 2016, Ralph Beckett has a 32 from 168 record with his first-time blinkers runners (19.1% strike-rate) for a lovely profit of \u00a394.10 to a \u00a31 level stake at SP. BOLD IMPACT<\/strong> has been beaten at odds on the last twice but the soft ground won\u2019t inconvenience him and the headgear can make the difference.<\/p>\n

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NEWCASTLE 8.00<\/h2>\n

DC FLYER (system \u2013 Kevin Ryan, Washington DC)<\/h3>\n

Kevin Ryan does well with the progeny of sire Washington DC, scoring with 11 of the 76 qualifiers (14.5% strike-rate) for a profit of \u00a347.63 to a \u00a31 level stake at SP (expected winners = 7.78, A\/E = 1.41). DC FLYER<\/strong> contributed two of those wins and his two runs here at Newcastle have produced an 11-2 win and a 9-2 close-up second of 14. Hollie Doyle is an interesting booking and the three-year-old gelding can be backed to make all.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

NEWCASTLE 8.30<\/h2>\n

WILLINGLY (system \u2013 Hot Streak, 5f on the AW, not Polytrack)<\/h3>\n

Progeny of the sire Hot Streak have a good record over 5f on Tapeta or Fibresand, landing 29 of their 168 starts (17.3% strike-rate) for a huge profit of \u00a3112.46 to a \u00a31 level stake at SP (expected winners = 18.92, A\/E = 1.53). WILLINGLY<\/strong>, trained by in-form Mark Usher, has a 0-9 record on synthetic surfaces but all those runs came on Polytrack over 6f-1m2f, and she looks a likely improver not running over the minimum trip on Tapeta for the first time. I\u2019ve saved on HOWZAK<\/strong>, who has a good record in the autumn.<\/p>\n

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