{"id":65623,"date":"2025-10-09T13:27:14","date_gmt":"2025-10-09T13:27:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/?p=65623"},"modified":"2025-10-10T06:17:20","modified_gmt":"2025-10-10T06:17:20","slug":"fillies-mile-trends-stats-newmarket-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/fillies-mile-trends-stats-newmarket-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Fillies’ Mile Trends 2025: Do The Main Players Fit The Newmarket Stats?"},"content":{"rendered":"

This Friday we get the chance to see some of the star fillies of the future strutting their stuff at Newmarket in the Group One Fillies’ Mile – a race that last year produced this season’s 1,000 Guineas winner – Desert Flower.<\/strong><\/p>\n

We look at the key Fillies’ Mile trends and stats – that include the best trainers to look for, form and the excellent record the the favourites in recent years.<\/p>\n

The race is also part of this week’s ITV Racing schedule<\/a> – with the ‘free-to-air’ channel covering both days of the Newmarket Future Champions Festival.<\/p>\n

Fillies’ Mile Trends and Stats 2025\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n
<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

    \n
  • <\/i> 21\/21 – First three last time out<\/span><\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 21\/21 \u2013 Raced in the last 4 weeks<\/span><\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 19\/21 – Still to win a Group 1<\/span><\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 19\/21 \u2013 Foaled in Feb or later<\/span><\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 19\/21 \u2013 Won over 7f or 1m before<\/span><\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 18\/21 \u2013 Placed the first two last time out<\/span><\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 17\/21 \u2013 Won between 2-3 times before<\/span><\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 17\/21 \u2013 Favourites that finished in the top three<\/span><\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 16\/21 \u2013 5\/1 or shorter in the betting<\/span><\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 15\/21 \u2013 Won a Group race before<\/span><\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 14\/21 \u2013 Won last race<\/span><\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 13\/21 – Foaled in Feb or March<\/span><\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 11\/21 – Favourites (or joint)<\/span><\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 9\/21 – Ran at Doncaster last time out<\/span><\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 8\/21 \u2013 Irish-trained winners<\/span><\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 8\/21 \u2013 Irish bred<\/span><\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 5\/21 \u2013 Won by trainer John Gosden (6 in total)<\/span><\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 5\/21 – Trained by Aidan O\u2019Brien (5 of last 11) (6 in total)<\/span><\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 4\/21 \u2013 Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
    \n<\/span><\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 3\/21 \u2013 US bred<\/span><\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 2\/21 – Trained by Joseph O’Brien (2 of the last 7)<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 3 of the last 10 winners from stall 10<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 7 of the last 10 winners stall 5+<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> No winner from stall 1 in the last 10 years<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> 6 of the last 11 winners have been Irish-trained <\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    <\/div>\n

    When Is The <\/strong>Fillies’ Mile <\/strong>2025?
    \n<\/strong><\/h2>\n

    \ud83d\udcc5Date: Friday 10th October 2025
    \n\u231aTime: 2:57pm<\/span><\/span>
    \n\ud83c\udfc7Racecourse: Newmarket
    \n\ud83d\udcb0Winning Purse: \u00a3299,854
    \n\ud83d\udcfa TV: ITV Racing \/ Racing TV<\/p>\n

    Fillies’ Mile Trends Say A Top Three Finish Last Time Is A Must-Have<\/strong><\/h2>\n

    Most of the 2025 Fillies’ Mile runners will fit the bill here – especially the main players,<\/p>\n

    But it’s still worth noting that ALL of the last 21 winners finished in the top three last time out (95%).<\/p>\n

    With 18 of the last 21 (86%) came here off a top two finish last time and 14 (67%) winning their most recent race.<\/p>\n

    Of the main fancies though, Godolphin’s Dance To The Music falls down on this Fillies’ Mile trend – having been only 4th in her last race in Woodbine, Canada.<\/p>\n

    Top Three Finish Last Race\u00a0<\/strong><\/h4>\n
    <\/p>\n

    <\/p>\n

      \n
    • <\/i> Precise<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Legacy Link<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Moon Target<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Queen Of Hawaii<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Composing<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Moments Of Joy<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Evolutionist<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Sugar Island<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Amora Queen<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      <\/div>\n

      Look For Horses In Stalls 5+ and Gate 10<\/strong><\/h2>\n

      Now we know the Fillies’ Mile draw it’s certainly worth looking at in more detail.<\/p>\n

      Why?<\/p>\n

      Well, anything from gate 10 should be respected with three wins since 2015 – which might be a plus this year for Sugar Island.<\/p>\n

      The race has also seen 70% of the last 10 winners hail from stalls 5+ and there’s not been in a winner from stall 1 in the last ten runnings either.<\/p>\n

      This year’s stall 1 horse is Amora Queen.<\/p>\n

      While those drawn 5+ are Moments Of Joy, Dance To The Music, Evolutionst, Venetian Lace, Composing, Sugar Island and Queen Of Hawaii.<\/p>\n

      Trainers Joseph O’Brien, John Gosden and Aidan O’Brien Have Dominated\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n
      \"John
      John Gosden and Aidan O’Brien Have Top Records In The Fillies’ Mile<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

      When it comes to trainers to note for the Fillies’ Mile – two (well three really) names leap off the page – Gosden and O’Brien.<\/p>\n

      John Gosden and Aidan O’Brien have both won the race six times and are also equal with Sir Henry Cecil.<\/p>\n

      While Joseph O’Brien has been making inroads into their haul – with two wins since 2018 (Iridessa) and in 2020 (Pretty Gorgeous).<\/p>\n

      Gosden’s first win came in 2000 with Crystal Music and his most recent Commissioning in 2022.<\/p>\n

      Aidan O’Brien’s debut success was before Gosden though – in 1998 with Sunspangled. With his most recent coming in 2023 with Ylang Ylang.<\/p>\n

      Aidan O’Brien’s Fillies’ Mile Wins\u00a0<\/strong><\/h4>\n
      <\/p>\n

      <\/p>\n

        \n
      • <\/i> Sunspangled (1998)<\/span><\/li>\n
      • <\/i> Listen (2007)<\/span><\/li>\n
      • <\/i> Together Forever (2014)<\/span><\/li>\n
      • <\/i> Minding (2015)<\/span><\/li>\n
      • <\/i> Rhododendron (2016)<\/span><\/li>\n
      • <\/i> Ylang Ylang (2023)<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

        <\/p>\n

        <\/div>\n

        John Gosden Fillies’ Mile Wins\u00a0<\/strong><\/h4>\n
        <\/p>\n
          \n
        • <\/i> Crystal Music (2000)<\/span><\/li>\n
        • <\/i> Playful Act (2004)<\/span><\/li>\n
        • <\/i> Nannina (2005)<\/span><\/li>\n
        • <\/i> Rainbow View (2008)<\/span><\/li>\n
        • <\/i> Inspiral (2021)<\/span><\/li>\n
        • <\/i> Commissioning (2022)<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

          <\/div>\n

          John Gosden, Aidan O’Brien and Joseph O’Brien Fillies’ Mile Runners 2025\u00a0<\/strong><\/h3>\n
          <\/p>\n
            \n
          • <\/i> Precise (Aidan O’Brien)<\/li>\n
          • <\/i> Legacy Link (John and Thady Gosden)<\/li>\n
          • <\/i> Queen Of Hawaii (Joseph O’Brien)<\/li>\n
          • <\/i> Moments Of Joy (Aidan O’Brien)<\/li>\n
          • <\/i> Composing (Aidan O’Brien)<\/li>\n
          • <\/i> Sugar Island (Aidan O’Brien)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

            <\/div>\n

            Fillies’ Mile Favourites Have A Good Recent Record<\/strong><\/h2>\n

            Desert Flower was another winning Fillies’ Mile favourite in 2024 and in recent years the market leaders have fared well.<\/p>\n

            They’ve won 11 of the last 21 runnings (52%) and we’ve also seen a winning jolly in five of the last six years.<\/p>\n

            Precise is the expected Fillies’ Mile favourite this year (2025).<\/p>\n

            Group Winning Form Is Another Plus For Finding The Fillies’ Mile Winner\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n

            The Fillies’ Mile is a Group One contest, but having winning form at any Group level has been another positive.<\/p>\n

            Before winning this 12 months ago, Desert Flower had won the G2 May Hill Stakes at Doncaster.<\/p>\n

            In fact, nine of the last 21 winners had raced at Doncaster last time, so this is worth checking too.<\/p>\n

            These horses race at Donny in their last race – Sugar Island and Venetian Lace.<\/p>\n

            But 19 of the last 21 hadn’t won already at Group One level.<\/p>\n

            So, in short we are probably looking for Group 2 and 3 winners that are stepping up in grade.<\/p>\n

            Precise won the Group One Moyglare Stud Stakes last time out (watch below).<\/p>\n

            But Legacy Link is yet to race in a Group race – let along win one.<\/p>\n

            She’s stepping up from winning a Novice Stakes race at Haydock last time out.<\/p>\n

            These horses have won Group 2 or Group 3 races only – Dance To The Music, Queen Of Hawaii and Composing.<\/p>\n