{"id":68443,"date":"2025-11-02T22:33:51","date_gmt":"2025-11-02T22:33:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/?p=68443"},"modified":"2025-11-04T01:22:16","modified_gmt":"2025-11-04T01:22:16","slug":"melbourne-cup-runners-2025-soft-ground-form","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/melbourne-cup-runners-2025-soft-ground-form\/","title":{"rendered":"Soft Ground Record For EVERY 2025 Melbourne Cup Runner"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>With Flemington racecourse hit with a lot of rain over the last few days &#8211; and more on the way, we look at which of the 2025 Melbourne Cup runners have form on soft ground with conditions for <em>&#8216;The Race That Stops The Nation&#8217;<\/em> expected to be very testing this year.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Melbourne Cup Runners 2025: Soft Ground Record For EVERY Entry \u2614<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>See below the 24 Melbourne Cup runners for 2025 and their winning form on soft (or worse) ground.<\/p>\n<p>Of this year&#8217;s entries heading to post &#8211; there are a massive TEN horses that are yet to win a race on ground described as &#8216;soft&#8217; or &#8216;heavy&#8217;.<\/p>\n<p>You can use this information alongside the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/melbourne-cup-trends-and-stats-2025\/\">Melbourne Cup trends<\/a> to help narrow down your search for Tuesday&#8217;s big Flemington winner.<\/p>\n<div class=\"su-table su-table-responsive su-table-alternate\"><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><b>Horse <\/b><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\"><b>Won On Soft <em>(or worse)<\/em><\/b><\/td>\n<td><b>Odds<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>1. AL RIFFA<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">5\/1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>2. BUCKAROO<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">8\/1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>3. ARAPAHO<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">40\/1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>4. VAUBAN<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">20\/1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>5. CHEVALIER ROSE<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">\u274e<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">33\/1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>6. PRESAGE NOCTURNE<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">7\/1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>7. MIDDLE EARTH<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">\u274e<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">40\/1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>8. MEYDAAN<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">\u274e<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">20\/1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>9. ABSURDE<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">16\/1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>10. FLATTEN THE CURVE<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">18\/1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>11. LAND LEGEND<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">\u274e<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">50\/1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>12. SMOKIN&#8217; ROMANS<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">66\/1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>13. CHANGINGOFTHEGUARDS<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">66\/1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>14. HALF YOURS<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">6\/1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>15. MORE FELONS<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">\u274e<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">50\/1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>16. ONESMOOTHOPERATOR<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">\u274e<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">28\/1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>17. FURTHER<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">\u274e<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">22\/1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>18. PARCHMENT PARTY<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">\u274e<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">50\/1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>19. ATHABASCAN<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">\u274e<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">80\/1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>20. GOODIE TWO SHOES<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">33\/1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>21. RIVER OF STARS<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">\u274e<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">14\/1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>22. ROYAL SUPREMACY<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">25\/1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>23. TORRANZINO<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">33\/1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>24. VALIANT KING<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">\u2714\ufe0f<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center\">7\/1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><\/div>\n<p><em>Note: All Melbourne Cup betting odds are subject to change<\/em><\/p>\n<h2><strong>How Much Rain Has Fallen At Flemington Ahead Of The 2025 Melbourne Cup?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>As of 3pm Monday (local time) the Flemington Park track had seen 23mm of rain &#8211; with more on the way.<\/p>\n<p>Due to the wet conditions and this latest Melbourne Cup weather forecast, the track has been downgraded to &#8216;soft&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>Weather experts are predicting another 10mm of rain on Tuesday &#8211; the day of the race, with showers expected to fall all through the day.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Flemington Weather Forecast for 2025 Melbourne Cup\u00a0<\/strong><\/h3>\n<figure id=\"attachment_68461\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-68461\" style=\"width: 696px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-68461 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/11\/Melbourne-Weather.jpg\" alt=\"Melbourne Cup Weather Forecast 2025\" width=\"696\" height=\"781\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/11\/Melbourne-Weather.jpg 696w, https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/11\/Melbourne-Weather-499x560.jpg 499w, https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/11\/Melbourne-Weather-312x350.jpg 312w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 696px) 100vw, 696px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-68461\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Melbourne Cup Weather Forecast 2025<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><strong>Melbourne Cup 2025 Details and Date<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>\ud83d\udcc5Date: Tuesday 4th November 2025<br \/>\n<span class=\"JCzEY tNxQIb\"><span class=\"CSkcDe\">\u231aTime: 4:00am (GMT)<\/span><\/span><br \/>\n\ud83c\udfc7Racecourse: Flemington (2m)<br \/>\n\ud83d\udcb0Winning Purse: <span class=\"NA6bn BxUVEf ILfuVd\" lang=\"en\"><span class=\"hgKElc\">$4,500,000 AUS<\/span><\/span><br \/>\n\ud83d\udcfa TV: Sky Sports Racing<\/p>\n<p>Full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/2024-melbourne-cup-prize-money-breakdown\/\">Melbourne Cup prize money<\/a> breakdown for 2025 &#8211; from 1st to 24th, plus what the jockey and trainer win.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Melbourne Cup Runners 2025 &#8211; Detailed Look At Their &#8216;Soft Ground&#8217; Form<\/strong><\/h2>\n<h4><strong>1. AL RIFFA<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Top-weight, so the softer ground won&#8217;t help on that score &#8211; but on a plus this Joseph O&#8217;Brien Melbourne Cup runner won&#8217;t have any excuses on the deeper ground.<\/p>\n<p>Won the G1 National Stakes on soft ground back in 2022 at the Curragh and also ran the classy City Of Troy to a length on soft ground in the 2024 Coral-Eclipse at Sandown.<\/p>\n<p><em>Soft Ground Rating: 8\/10<\/em><\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"FULL RACE: Coral-Eclipse\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/xBqzYvmk5Qg?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h4><strong>2. BUCKAROO<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Used to be trained in Ireland by Joseph O&#8217;Brien and during that time won on heavy ground at the Curragh and Leopardstown.<\/p>\n<p><em>Soft Ground Rating: 8\/10<\/em><\/p>\n<h4><strong>3. ARAPAHO<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p class=\"rp-raceTimeCourseName__title\">This Bjorn Baker-trained veteran has winning form on soft ground &#8211; when landing the Quayclean Zipping Classic at Caulfield in November 2024.<\/p>\n<p><em>Soft Ground Rating: 7\/10<\/em><\/p>\n<h4><strong>4. VAUBAN<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Former Willie Mullins-trained hurdler that was 11th in the Melbourne Cup last year.<\/p>\n<p>Beat another Melbourne Cup runner Valiant King on soft ground at Naas in the Ballyroan Stakes in 2023. Plus also won twice when trained in France on soft ground.<\/p>\n<p><em>Soft Ground Rating: 7\/10<\/em><\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"VAUBAN books Melbourne Cup ticket with Group Three Ballyroan Stakes success\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/1Vvs6FlvCn0?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h4><strong>5. CHEVALIER ROSE<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Ground could be an issue here for this Japanese raider &#8211; with his last two wins coming on &#8216;good-to-firm&#8217; and has done most of this racing on good (or quicker).<\/p>\n<p><em>Soft Ground Rating: 2\/10<\/em><\/p>\n<h4><strong>6. PRESAGE NOCTURNE<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>French Melbourne Cup runner that will be fine on the ground &#8211; this grey has won on heavy in his homeland and also took the G3 Prix de Barbeville at Longchamp on &#8216;good-to-soft&#8217;.<\/p>\n<p><em>Soft Ground Rating: 8\/10<\/em><\/p>\n<h4><strong>7. MIDDLE EARTH<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Used to be trained by the Gosden team in the UK, but has only won on good-to-soft in the past &#8211; with the bulk of his runs since moving to Australia on good.<\/p>\n<p><em>Soft Ground Rating: 5\/10<\/em><\/p>\n<h4><strong>8. MEYDAAN<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>UK raider from the Crisford camp &#8211; but ground is an unknown.<\/p>\n<p>All his best runs to date have been on quicker &#8211; with his only try on soft seeing him running down the field at Longchamp in 2024.<\/p>\n<p><em>Soft Ground Rating: 4\/10<\/em><\/p>\n<h4><strong>9. ABSURDE<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Will be flying the flag for Breeders&#8217; Cup winning trainer Willie Mullins &#8211; former hurdler that won the 2024 County Hurdle on heavy ground, so conditions will be fine.<\/p>\n<p>The bigger worry is the draw (4) &#8211; with 19 of the last 21 winners coming from gates 5+.<\/p>\n<p><em>Soft Ground Rating: 8\/10<\/em><\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"Full Race: BETMGM County Handicap Hurdle at Cheltenham | ITV Racing\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/_uQFmQppYdw?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h4><strong>10. FLATTEN THE CURVE<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Ground should be no issue for this Henk Grewe Melbourne Cup runner &#8211; having won on soft and heavy in the past.<\/p>\n<p><em>Soft Ground Rating: 8\/10<\/em><\/p>\n<h4><strong>11. LAND LEGEND<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Formerly trained in the UK with James Ferguson, and now with the powerful Chris Waller yard in Australia.<\/p>\n<p>But ground would be a worry &#8211; his best form is on quicker and has been well beaten on his last two runs on soft and very soft.<\/p>\n<p><em>Soft Ground Rating: 3\/10<\/em><\/p>\n<h4><strong>12. SMOKIN&#8217; ROMANS<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p class=\"rp-raceTimeCourseName__title\">Ran second in the Quayclean Zipping Classic in 2024 and Catanach&#8217;s Jewellers MRC Foundation Cup at Caulfield in 2022 on soft ground &#8211; so conditions should be okay.<\/p>\n<p><em>Soft Ground Rating: 6\/10<\/em><\/p>\n<h4><strong>13. CHANGINGOFTHEGUARD<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Trained by Aidan O&#8217;Brien in the past in Ireland so no shock to see he&#8217;s won on soft ground in the past &#8211; including the 2022 Chester Vase.<\/p>\n<p><em>Soft Ground Rating: 8\/10<\/em><\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"Ryan Moore masterclass! Changingoftheguard storms to Chester Vase glory!\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/s7NSOiEKQAE?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h4><strong>14. HALF YOURS<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>One of the big fancies for the race after landing the 2025 Caulfield Cup, but that came on good ground.<\/p>\n<p>However, this Melbourne Cup runner will be fine on the ground &#8211; he won a maiden at Geelong on soft ground back in July 2024.<\/p>\n<p>Plus was 3rd in the Mounties Group Handicap at Rosehill on good-to-soft back in August.<\/p>\n<p><em>Soft Ground Rating: 7\/10<\/em><\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"Half Yours wins 2025 Caulfield Cup | History for McEvoys &amp; Jamie Melham\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/YFn86v1EzlU?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h4><strong>15. MORE FELONS<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Has won on yielding ground when trained in Ireland with Aidan O&#8217;Brien &#8211; but really since then his outings have been on quicker, so suggest the ground would be a worry.<\/p>\n<p><em>Soft Ground Rating: 3\/10<\/em><\/p>\n<h4><strong>16. ONESMOOTHOPERATOR<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Won the Moonee Valley Gold Cup last time out and was 12 in the Melbourne Cup last year.<\/p>\n<p>But all wins have been on a quicker surface than he&#8217;s likely to get in the Melbourne Cup this week. Is yet to race on anything softer than &#8216;good-to-soft&#8217;.<\/p>\n<p><em>Soft Ground Rating: 2\/10<\/em><\/p>\n<h4><strong>17. FURTHUR<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Trained by Andrew Balding in the UK and ground is a small worry. Lightly-raced but all wins to date have been on good or faster. Has tried heavy and soft once each and been beaten both times.<\/p>\n<p><em>Soft Ground Rating: 4\/10<\/em><\/p>\n<h4><strong>18. PARCHMENT PARTY<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>US runner and no shock that the ground would be a big worry &#8211; with all runs coming on firm or quicker for this Bill Mott Melbourne Cup runner.<\/p>\n<p><em>Soft Ground Rating: 2\/10<\/em><\/p>\n<h4><strong>19. ATHABASCAN<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Second to Onesmoothoperator last time out at Moonee Valley &#8211; has won on good-to-soft in the past, but ideally you&#8217;d think would not want it too soft.<\/p>\n<p><em>Soft Ground Rating: 4\/10<\/em><\/p>\n<h4><strong>20. GOODIE TWO SHOES<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Recent wins have been on good ground &#8211; but this Joseph O&#8217;Brien runner, who is also owned by JP McManus, has won on yielding\/soft ground in the past.<\/p>\n<p><em>Soft Ground Rating: 6\/10<\/em><\/p>\n<h4><strong>21. RIVER OF STARS<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Used to be housed with Ralph Beckett in the UK &#8211; and has okay form on good-to-soft, soft and heavy &#8211; but is yet to win on any of these.<\/p>\n<p>That said did run a close second in the G1 Qatar Prix de Royallieu at Longchamp on soft (2024), so you feel she should be okay.<\/p>\n<p><em>Soft Ground Rating: 7\/10<\/em><\/p>\n<h4><strong>22. ROYAL SUPREMACY<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Won the Bella Group Wyong Cup Prelude on soft ground back in August, so conditions should be fine.<\/p>\n<p><em>Soft Ground Rating: 7\/10<\/em><\/p>\n<h4><strong>23. TORRANZINO<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Landed this season&#8217;s Geelong Cup on soft ground last month &#8211; beating the King&#8217;s Gilded Water by 1\/2 a length.<\/p>\n<p><em>Soft Ground Rating: 7\/10<\/em><\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"Geelong Cup 2025 - TORRANZINO (3YO+ Hcp G3) Group 3 Geelong 23 October\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/-OVnMbeOq_M?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h4><strong>24. VALIANT KING<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Another trained before in Ireland (Joseph O&#8217;Brien) &#8211; and won on soft ground at Navan over there back in May 2023. Has also run well (3rd) on good-to-soft at Randwick this season.<\/p>\n<p><em>Soft Ground Rating: 7\/10<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With Flemington racecourse hit with a lot of rain over the last few days &#8211; and more on the way, we look at which of the 2025 Melbourne Cup runners have form on soft ground with conditions for &#8216;The Race That Stops The Nation&#8217; expected to be very testing this year.\u00a0 Melbourne Cup Runners 2025: [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":355,"featured_media":68505,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68443","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-horse-racing"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - 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