{"id":69034,"date":"2025-11-01T03:45:02","date_gmt":"2025-11-01T03:45:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/?p=69034"},"modified":"2025-11-08T06:39:12","modified_gmt":"2025-11-08T06:39:12","slug":"november-handicap-runners-stats-doncaster-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/november-handicap-runners-stats-doncaster-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Huge November Handicap Stat Why The Two Favourites CAN’T Win"},"content":{"rendered":"

Saturday’s Doncaster November Handicap runners will see a big field of 23 going to post in what will be the final race of the 2025 British turf flat season – with Castle Cove and Hopewell Rock two of the big fancies in the betting.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

However, if you fancy either of these two horses – you might want to think twice before backing them.<\/p>\n

Why?<\/p>\n

They both have a HUGE November Handicap stat against them – one that has seen a ZERO return since 2007<\/p>\n

ALL November Handicap Winners Since 2007 Were Drawn 8 Or HIGHER\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n

The key November Handicap stat in question revolves around the draw.<\/p>\n

Yes, with the race run over 1m4f, punters might not be paying too much attention to the starting gates – after all, there is a mile and a half for the horses to travel.<\/p>\n

But, history tells us a different story ahead of Saturday’s big ITV Racing<\/a> contest at Doncaster.<\/p>\n

EVERY winner since 2007 came from a draw EIGHT or higher.<\/p>\n

With no race in 2019, this is a sample size of 17 renewals – and not a single winner hailed from draws 1-7.<\/p>\n

In fact, 14 of the last 17 winners (82%) also started in gates 10+.<\/p>\n

Last year’s winner Lord Melbourne, who runs again on Saturday, won from stall 8 in 2024.<\/p>\n

He’s also one of Andy Newton’s Saturday’s ITV Racing tips<\/a>, with all 10 LIVE races covered from Doncaster, Wincanton and Aintree.<\/p>\n

Two Big November Handicap Fancies Fall Down On Draw Stat<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Which is why anyone backing two of the big fancies CASTLE COVE<\/strong> and HOPEWELL ROCK<\/strong> might want to think twice.<\/p>\n

Castle Cove<\/strong> has been handed STALL 4.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Hopewell Rock<\/strong> has been handed STALL 1.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Meaning if this draw stat carries on into 2025, we can put a line through SEVEN of the 23 runners (see below).<\/p>\n

Including these these two runners that the bookies are making favourite.<\/p>\n

Leaving you with 16 horses to pick from.<\/p>\n

November Handicap Winners Since 2007 and The Draw<\/strong><\/h2>\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Year<\/b><\/td>\nWinner<\/b><\/td>\nDraw<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2024<\/td>\nLord Melbourne<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2023<\/td>\nOnesmoothoperator<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2022<\/td>\nMetier<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2021<\/td>\nFarhan<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2020<\/td>\nOn To Victory<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2019<\/td>\nNo Race\u00a0<\/em><\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2018<\/td>\nRoyal Line<\/td>\n23<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2017<\/td>\nSaunter Boy<\/td>\n14<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2016<\/td>\nPrize Money<\/td>\n12<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2015<\/td>\nLitigant<\/td>\n12<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2014<\/td>\nOpen Eagle<\/td>\n18<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2013<\/td>\nConduct<\/td>\n21<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2012<\/td>\nArt Scholar<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2011<\/td>\nZuider Zee<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2010<\/td>\nTimes Up<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2009<\/td>\nCharm School<\/td>\n14<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2008<\/td>\nTropical Strait<\/td>\n22<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2007<\/td>\nMalt Or Mash<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

<\/div>\n

Note: The 2023 running was staged at Newcastle (AW)<\/em><\/p>\n

What Other 2025 November Handicap Runners Are Draw Low?<\/strong><\/h2>\n

As well as Castle Cove and Hopewell Rock coming from low stalls – we’ve also got FIVE other horses drawn between 1-7.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n
    \n
  • <\/i> Draw 1 – HOPEWELL ROCK<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> Draw 2 – TASHKHAN<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> Draw 3 – ATHERSTONE WARRIOR<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> Draw 4 – CASTLE COVE<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> Draw 5 – METIER<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> Draw 6 – MASTER BUILDER<\/li>\n
  • <\/i> Draw 7 – PLATOON<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    <\/div>\n

    84% Of The Last 25 Winners Aged 5 Or Younger<\/strong><\/h3>\n

    You can also whittle down the runners further by knowing 21 of the last 25 winners were aged 5 or younger.<\/p>\n

    Which would be a negative for Adjuvant, Oneforethegutter, Majestic, Tashkhan and Metier, who are all aged 6+.<\/p>\n

    Why Has The November Handicap Draw Been So Important In Recent Years?<\/strong><\/h2>\n

    The 1m4f start at Doncaster is just before Rose Hill – so as soon as the race starts, the runners are facing a left-hand turn in less than a furlong.<\/p>\n

    Which is slightly odd as you’d think those on the inside and drawn lower might have the edge getting to the bend first.<\/p>\n

    However, with a big field – unless very quick away, which is then dangerous as you’ll be using up a lot of early energy that horses will pay for in the closing stages – those on the inside tend to get shuffled back in the pack early on.<\/p>\n

    This then means when they eventually get round the long bend and into the home straight, those drawn low are either way back or have to deal with traffic issues.<\/p>\n

    The other reason is that the race is often run in softer ground and in these conditions horses tend to come up the stands side in the straight.<\/p>\n

    Which would favour those drawn slightly higher – as those lower would, at some point, has to tack over.<\/p>\n

    Last Year’s Winner Lord Melbourne Drawn 13\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n
    \"Lord
    Lord Melbourne Bidding To Win The November Handicap Again in 2025<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

    In contrast, to Castle Cove and Hopewell Rock, one horse that’s been given an okay draw is last year’s winner Lord Melbourne.<\/strong><\/p>\n

    This Ralph Beckett runner has been given gate 13.<\/p>\n

    Three winners since 2007 had gate 13, while a massive 7 of the last 17 (41%) came between 12-14.<\/p>\n

    He’s only raced once since taking this prize 12 months ago, but that was a smooth 4 1\/4 length success at Epsom at the end of September.<\/p>\n

    As a result, he’s up 13lbs from last year and 9lbs from that Epsom win.<\/p>\n

    But connections are helping him again, but booking a claiming rider in Jack Dace.<\/p>\n

    Oh, did you know – three of the last eight November Handicap winners were ridden by a claiming jockey.<\/p>\n

    2025 November Handicap Runners and Draw\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n
    <\/p>\n
      \n
    • <\/i> Grey Cuban – Stall 18<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Stressfree – Stall 9<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Lord Melbourne – Stall 13<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Tashkhan – Stall 2<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Maxi King – Stall 15<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Insanity – Stall 19<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Chemistry – Stall 23<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Hopewell Rock – Stall 1<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Tiernan – Stall 22<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Majestic – Stall 12<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Metier – Stall 5<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Platoon – Stall 7<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Oneforthegutter – Stall 20<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Hot Fuss – Stall 8<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Castle Cove – Stall 4<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Master Builder – Stall 6<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Miss Dolly Rocker – Stall 17<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Atherstone Warrior – Stall 3<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Miller Spirit – Stall 10<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Great Bedwyn – Stall 16<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Castle Stuart – Stall 21<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Master Vinttner – Stall 11<\/li>\n
    • <\/i> Adjuvant – Stall 14<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      <\/div>\n

      November Handicap 2025 Race Details<\/h2>\n

      \ud83d\udcc5Date: Saturday 8th November 2025
      \n\u231aTime: 3:45pm<\/span><\/span>
      \n\ud83c\udfc7Racecourse: Doncaster
      \n\ud83d\udcb0Winner: \u00a336,078
      \n\ud83d\udcfa TV: ITV4 \/ Sky Sports Racing<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      Saturday’s Doncaster November Handicap runners will see a big field of 23 going to post in what will be the final race of the 2025 British turf flat season – with Castle Cove and Hopewell Rock two of the big fancies in the betting.\u00a0 However, if you fancy either of these two horses – you […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":355,"featured_media":69044,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69034","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-horse-racing"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nHuge November Handicap Stat Against The Favourites<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"There is a big Doncaster 2025 November Handicap stat that stretches back to 2007 against Castle Cove and Hopewell Rock.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, 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