{"id":72779,"date":"2025-12-10T10:49:38","date_gmt":"2025-12-10T10:49:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/?p=72779"},"modified":"2025-12-10T10:49:38","modified_gmt":"2025-12-10T10:49:38","slug":"liverpool-probabilities-champions-league-knockouts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/liverpool-probabilities-champions-league-knockouts\/","title":{"rendered":"Liverpool The Biggest Movers As Probabilities For Champions League Knockouts Revealed"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Liverpool were the biggest movers in the race for the Champions League top eight on Tuesday after their impressive victory over Inter Milan.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The Reds headed to the San Siro faltering in Europe, with pressure on manager Arne Slot and under the cloud of Mo Salah&#8217;s sensational outburst.<\/p>\n<p>They turned in a gritty, disciplined display and relied on a slice of luck after Dominik Szoboszlai buried his strike from the penalty spot after a contentious VAR call.<\/p>\n<p>Liverpool, who are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/uefa-champions-league-winner-betting-odds-2025-2026\/\">10\/1 to win the Champions League<\/a>, now sit eighth in the table with four victories from six matches.<\/p>\n<h2>Champions League qualification probabilities<\/h2>\n<p>According to Football Meets Data, Liverpool now have a 57% chance of finishing in the top eight and thus earning an automatic spot in the Round of 16.<\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s a 28% increase compared to before their victory over the Serie A title challengers.<\/p>\n<p>They could drop out of the top eight on Wednesday night if Borussia Dortmund beat Bodo\/Glimt at home or Manchester City defeat Real Madrid.<\/p>\n<p>However, with games against Marseille and Qarabag to follow, Liverpool will fancy their chances of picking up maximum points.<\/p>\n<p>Arsenal have all-but sealed their top eight spot with a perfect record in Europe as they prepare to take on Club Brugge on Wednesday.<\/p>\n<p>As it stands, Manchester City have a 59% chance of a top eight finish, but much will depend on the outcome of their clash at the Bernabeu.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">[\ud83d\udd35 UCL race for Top 8\/24 &#8211; as of 9 Dec]\n<p>\ud83d\udd1d Change in Top 8:<\/p>\n<p>\ud83d\udcc8 IN: \ud83c\udff4\udb40\udc67\udb40\udc62\udb40\udc65\udb40\udc6e\udb40\udc67\udb40\udc7f Liverpool, \ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Atalanta, \ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddf8 Atleti<br \/>\n\ud83d\udcc9 OUT: \ud83c\udde9\ud83c\uddea Dortmund, \ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Inter, \ud83c\udff4\udb40\udc67\udb40\udc62\udb40\udc65\udb40\udc6e\udb40\udc67\udb40\udc7f Chelsea<\/p>\n<p>\ud83d\udd1d Change in Top 24:<\/p>\n<p>\ud83d\udcc8 IN: \ud83c\udde7\ud83c\uddea Club Brugge<br \/>\n\ud83d\udcc9 OUT: \ud83c\udde7\ud83c\uddea Union SG<\/p>\n<p>\ud83d\udc49 Full probabilities and scenarios available in our \ud83d\udcca FMD\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Gbf4w4u6k7\">pic.twitter.com\/Gbf4w4u6k7<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Football Meets Data (@fmeetsdata) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/fmeetsdata\/status\/1998645115103945130?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 10, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>A defeat will see them sit two points adrift of Liverpool, but they will fancy themselves to pick up six points in their remaining matches against Bodo\/Glimt and Galatasaray at home.<\/p>\n<p>Tottenham, Newcastle and Chelsea are all on course to finish in the top 24 and book their place in a two-legged play-off, but an automatic qualification appears unlikely.<\/p>\n<p>Chelsea&#8217;s defeat away at Atalanta had a detrimental impact on their chances and now have a 26% chance of a top-eight finish.<\/p>\n<p>A favourable clash against Pafos awaits before a challenging trip to Napoli.<\/p>\n<p>Tottenham have been given a 21% chance of a top eight finish and Newcastle just 15%. The Toon still have a daunting trip to Paris Saint-Germain to come.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">\ud83d\udcc9 Inter \ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 and Chelsea\ud83c\udff4\udb40\udc67\udb40\udc62\udb40\udc65\udb40\udc6e\udb40\udc67\udb40\udc7f suffer a blow in Top 8 race, dropping at least -30% in one night!<\/p>\n<p>\ud83d\udcc8 Liverpool \ud83c\udff4\udb40\udc67\udb40\udc62\udb40\udc65\udb40\udc6e\udb40\udc67\udb40\udc7f, Atalanta \ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9, Atletico Madrid \ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddf8 all add over +24% to their Top 8 chances!<\/p>\n<p>\ud83d\udc49 Full probabilities and scenarios available in our \ud83d\udcca FMD Simulator <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/uCGlbAzurz\">pic.twitter.com\/uCGlbAzurz<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Football Meets Data (@fmeetsdata) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/fmeetsdata\/status\/1998523640481198131?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 9, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2>Arsenal injury scare ahead of Champions League contest<\/h2>\n<p>Mikel Arteta is facing a selection dilemma ahead of their clash with Club Brugge after <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/arsenal-declan-rice-injury-club-brugge\/\">Declan Rice emerged as an injury concern.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The England midfielder, alongside Leandro Trossard and William Saliba all missed team training on Tuesday.<\/p>\n<p>Rice played the full 90 minutes in their defeat against Aston Villa at the weekend, while Trossard was forced off despite being introduced to the game at half-time.<\/p>\n<p>Given Arsenal&#8217;s faultless results in the Champions League this season, Arteta could be afforded the opportunity to rest a number of his key players.<\/p>\n<p>Mikel Merino may drop back into midfield to fill Rice&#8217;s role, which could mean a start for striker Viktor Gyokeres.<\/p>\n<p>Christian Norgaard remains an option, while Gabriel Martinelli may start ahead of Trossard on the left.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Liverpool were the biggest movers in the race for the Champions League top eight on Tuesday after their impressive victory over Inter Milan.\u00a0 The Reds headed to the San Siro faltering in Europe, with pressure on manager Arne Slot and under the cloud of Mo Salah&#8217;s sensational outburst. They turned in a gritty, disciplined display [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":456,"featured_media":25840,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[105,97,50,1321,74,70,58,116],"class_list":["post-72779","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-football","tag-arsenal","tag-champions-league","tag-chelsea","tag-football","tag-liverpool","tag-manchester-city","tag-newcastle","tag-tottenham"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Liverpool boost as Champions League knockout chances revealed<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Liverpool were the biggest movers in the race for the Champions League top eight on Tuesday after their impressive victory over 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