{"id":7599,"date":"2024-09-17T17:11:27","date_gmt":"2024-09-17T17:11:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/?p=7599"},"modified":"2024-09-17T17:12:49","modified_gmt":"2024-09-17T17:12:49","slug":"predicted-champions-league-standings","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/predicted-champions-league-standings\/","title":{"rendered":"Maths expert predicts Champions League standings from league phase"},"content":{"rendered":"

A Polish mathematics expert has predicted what the Champions League standings will look like following the completion of the new league phase.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Piotr Klimek’s calculations gave reigning Premier League champions Manchester City<\/a> the greatest chance (89%) of finishing in the top eight, which is required to secure an automatic spot in the last-16.<\/p>\n

The Citizens are the tournament favourites and they’re forecasted to accumulate 18.38 of 24 available points from their eight league phase outings with an expected goal difference of +16.57.<\/p>\n

The second and third spots are occupied by Real Madrid<\/a> and Bayern Munich, whilst Inter Milan, Atalanta, Arsenal, Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona make up the remainder of the coveted eight places.<\/p>\n

The Champions League<\/a> adopts a new format for the 2024\/25 season and beyond, where the teams finishing in ninth to 24th place will compete in two-legged knockout play-off ties to gain a spot in the Round of 16.<\/p>\n

Those who finish 25th or lower will be eliminated from Europe entirely, with no path to the Europa or Conference League<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Maths expert hands Manchester City best chance of top-8 finish in league phase<\/h2>\n

See below Klimek’s full prediction for how the league phase will look for all 36 Champions League teams upon its completion by the end of January:<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Manchester City<\/li>\n
  2. Real Madrid<\/li>\n
  3. Bayern Munich<\/li>\n
  4. Inter Milan<\/li>\n
  5. Atalanta<\/li>\n
  6. Arsenal<\/li>\n
  7. Borussia Dortmund<\/li>\n
  8. Barcelona<\/li>\n
  9. Bayer Leverkusen<\/li>\n
  10. AC Milan<\/li>\n
  11. Stuttgart<\/li>\n
  12. Liverpool<\/li>\n
  13. Atletico Madrid<\/li>\n
  14. RB Leipzig<\/li>\n
  15. Paris Saint-Germain<\/li>\n
  16. PSV<\/li>\n
  17. Aston Villa<\/li>\n
  18. Juventus<\/li>\n
  19. Girona<\/li>\n
  20. Bologna<\/li>\n
  21. Sporting Lisbon<\/li>\n
  22. AS Monaco<\/li>\n
  23. Benfica<\/li>\n
  24. Celtic<\/li>\n
  25. Lille<\/li>\n
  26. Feyenoord<\/li>\n
  27. Stade Brestois<\/li>\n
  28. Club Brugge<\/li>\n
  29. RB Salzburg<\/li>\n
  30. Sparta Prague<\/li>\n
  31. Dinamo Zagreb<\/li>\n
  32. Sturm Graz<\/li>\n
  33. Young Boys<\/li>\n
  34. Shakhtar Donetsk<\/li>\n
  35. Red Star Belgrade<\/li>\n
  36. Slovan Bratislava<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n
    \n

    \ud83d\udea8 Champions League projections.<\/p>\n

    \u2705 Top 8 will enter the Round of 16.<\/p>\n

    \ud83d\udcc8 9th-24th into Play-offs knockouts.<\/p>\n

    \u274c 25th-36th eliminated from Europe.<\/p>\n

    (% per Elo, simulations by @pklimek99<\/a>) pic.twitter.com\/vYi2wkkgW4<\/a><\/p>\n

    — Football Rankings (@FootRankings) September 13, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n