{"id":81208,"date":"2026-03-12T10:46:26","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T10:46:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/?p=81208"},"modified":"2026-03-12T11:06:10","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T11:06:10","slug":"horse-racing-cheltenham-festival-st-patricks-thursday-tips-2026-ai-gemini-grok-claude","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/news\/horse-racing-cheltenham-festival-st-patricks-thursday-tips-2026-ai-gemini-grok-claude\/","title":{"rendered":"Cheltenham Festival St.Patrick’s Thursday 2026 Betting Tips: What AI Models Gemini, Grok and Claude Are Backing Today"},"content":{"rendered":"

Thursday 12 March 2026 | Cheltenham Racecourse | St Patrick’s Thursday | New Course | Going: Good to Soft, Good in places<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

Cheltenham St Patrick’s Thursday 2026: The Big Races and Favourites<\/b><\/h2>\n

St Patrick’s Thursday is one of the most celebrated days in the jump racing calendar \u2014 a riot of colour, atmosphere and Grade 1 quality that traditionally draws the biggest Irish contingent of the entire Cheltenham Festival. <\/span><\/p>\n

Day Three delivers three Grade 1s, three competitive handicaps and a Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle opener that looks set to produce a future star, with the going riding Good to Soft, Good in places on the New Course.<\/span><\/p>\n

The undisputed headline act is the Grade 1 Ryanair Chase at 4:00pm, where the reigning champion Fact To File (4\/5 favourite, Willie Mullins) attempts to defend his title against a resurgent Jonbon, Banbridge, Impaire Et Passe and others in a race that looked straightforward on paper but has been complicated by several late entries. <\/span><\/p>\n

Immediately before it, the Grade 1 Paddy Power Stayers’ Hurdle at 3:20pm poses a mouthwatering puzzle: can Teahupoo (7\/2) regain the crown he lost to Bob Olinger in 2025, or will Kabral Du Mathan (4\/1), Honesty Policy or Impose Toi (12\/1) spring a surprise? <\/span><\/p>\n

The third Grade 1 on the card is the Close Brothers Mares’ Hurdle at 2:40pm, where Gordon Elliott’s Wodhooh heads the market at 4\/5.<\/span><\/p>\n

We asked three of the world’s leading AI models \u2014 Google’s Gemini, Elon Musk’s Grok and Anthropic’s Claude \u2014 to study the form for every race on today’s card and deliver their selections with full reasoning. <\/span><\/p>\n

Here is what they came up with for St Patrick’s Thursday 2026.<\/span><\/p>\n

1:20pm Ryanair Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle 2026 Tips \u2014 Who Wins the Thursday Opener?<\/b><\/h2>\n

The Ryanair Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle over 2m1f on the New Course is the traditional opener on St Patrick’s Thursday and a race with a superb recent record of producing top-class mares. <\/span><\/p>\n

The market is headed by Bambino Fever (Willie Mullins), last year’s Champion Bumper winner who has looked very classy on her hurdling debut, making all at Fairyhouse to beat a field including several future winners by a dozen lengths. <\/span><\/p>\n

Her most obvious rival is Oldschool Outlaw, who actually finished ahead of Bambino Fever when the pair met at Naas in December 2025, and has Grade 3 form to her name. Carrigmoornaspruce (12\/1) is respected by several tipsters after a strong Grade 1 Leopardstown run.<\/span><\/p>\n

Gemini’s tip: Bambino Fever @ Evens<\/b><\/h3>\n

Gemini points to the Champion Bumper winner’s Fairyhouse hurdling debut \u2014 twelve lengths clear of four future winners \u2014 as the most compelling piece of recent novice hurdle form in the race. <\/span><\/p>\n

That performance, combined with her preference for a quick surface (the ground today is on the right side of soft), her excellent Festival course record and the Mullins machine behind her, makes Gemini confident she translates bumper brilliance to hurdles at the highest level. Bambino Fever is Gemini’s confident selection.<\/span><\/p>\n

Grok’s tip: Oldschool Outlaw (each-way) @ 5\/1<\/b><\/h3>\n

Grok is willing to take on the jolly. Oldschool Outlaw has the crucial piece of form that matters most here: she beat Bambino Fever at Naas in December, and Grok’s value algorithm notes that she is likely to go off at a far more attractive price. <\/span><\/p>\n

With 22 runners in the field, Grok argues that backing the horse with the strongest head-to-head form rather than the hottest favourite offers much better expected value, particularly for each-way punters. Grok’s selection is Oldschool Outlaw, each-way.<\/span><\/p>\n

Claude’s tip: Bambino Fever @ Evens<\/b><\/h3>\n

Claude sides with Gemini on Bambino Fever. While the Naas defeat to Oldschool Outlaw is noted, Claude highlights that Bambino Fever was arguably less fit than her rival on that occasion, having been given a later start to the season. <\/span><\/p>\n

The subsequent Fairyhouse demolition job \u2014 a performance that Claude’s form analysis ranks as the strongest novice hurdle run by a mare in Britain or Ireland this season \u2014 is more than enough to restore faith. Bambino Fever is Claude’s selection for the opener.<\/span><\/p>\n

2:00pm Jack Richards Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase 2026 Tips \u2014 A Tactical Test Over 2m4f<\/b><\/h2>\n

The Jack Richards Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase over 2m4f is a Grade 2 contest for novice chasers and a race that rewards horses with strong jumping technique and tactical versatility. <\/span><\/p>\n

Harry Cobden has spoken glowingly about Regents Stroll \u2014 “I wouldn’t swap him for anyone else in the race” \u2014 who he believes could be a graded horse running in a handicap. <\/span><\/p>\n

With 18 runners declared, this is a fiercely competitive heat on the New Course. Sixmilebridge was a non-runner due to the ground, removing one of the leading fancies before the off.<\/span><\/p>\n

Gemini’s tip: Regents Stroll @ 6\/1<\/b><\/h3>\n

Gemini cannot ignore Harry Cobden’s enthusiasm for Regents Stroll. When a top Festival jockey says publicly he wouldn’t swap his mount for any other runner in the race, Gemini’s pattern-recognition flags that as a high-confidence booking. <\/span><\/p>\n

Cobden described Regents Stroll as going the right way throughout the season and potentially operating below his true level given his handicap mark. With a jockey booking of that calibre, Gemini is on Regents Stroll.<\/span><\/p>\n

Grok’s tip: Regents Stroll @ 6\/1<\/b><\/h3>\n

Grok agrees. The jockey angle is compelling, but Grok also notes the profile of the race: this is a novice limited handicap, which means the weights are compressed and the advantage of having a truly well-handicapped horse is amplified. <\/span><\/p>\n

Grok’s data shows that horses described by their jockeys as potentially above their grade in Festival novice handicaps have an above-average strike-rate. Regents Stroll is Grok’s selection too.<\/span><\/p>\n

Claude’s tip: Regents Stroll @ 6\/1<\/b><\/h3>\n

All three AI models land on Regents Stroll. Claude notes that in a wide-open 18-runner handicap, having a strong opinion about one runner is valuable \u2014 and Harry Cobden’s endorsement represents exactly that. <\/span><\/p>\n

Claude adds that the New Course, with its searching uphill finish, tends to suit horses with a powerful galloping style rather than pure speed, which aligns with Cobden’s description of Regents Stroll as a progressive stayer. Claude’s selection is Regents Stroll.<\/span><\/p>\n

2:40pm Close Brothers Mares’ Hurdle 2026 Tips \u2014 Wodhooh’s Race to Lose?<\/b><\/h2>\n

The Grade 1 Close Brothers Mares’ Hurdle over 2m4f has been dominated by Willie Mullins for over a decade \u2014 he has won eleven of the eighteen renewals \u2014 but this year it is Gordon Elliott’s Wodhooh who heads the market at a short 4\/5. <\/span><\/p>\n

Wodhooh has been exceptional this season and, according to Harry Cobden, “is very good and she will win.” The Willie Mullins challenger is Jade De Grugy at 7\/2, a mare with plenty of ability who could capitalise if the favourite fails to fire. <\/span><\/p>\n

With only seven runners declared, this is one of the smaller fields of the week.<\/span><\/p>\n

Gemini’s tip: Wodhooh @ 10\/11<\/b><\/h3>\n

Gemini backs the market leader. With only seven runners in the race, the form analysis is more straightforward than in larger fields, and Wodhooh’s season has been simply outstanding. <\/span><\/p>\n

The quality of her form figures, the trainer-in-form angle with Gordon Elliott looking for a Cheltenham winner, and the confidence emanating from connections all point in one direction. Gemini makes her a confident selection despite the short odds.<\/span><\/p>\n

Grok’s tip: Jade De Grugy (each-way) @ 15\/8<\/b><\/h3>\n

Grok takes a more contrarian view. At 7\/2, Jade De Grugy offers genuine each-way value in a seven-runner race where only two places are paid. <\/span><\/p>\n

Grok notes that Willie Mullins winning this race eleven times out of eighteen is a stat that cannot be ignored \u2014 and Jade De Grugy gives him his best chance of adding to that tally in 2026. <\/span><\/p>\n

Grok’s value-seeking algorithm flags that backing Mullins at 7\/2 rather than Elliott at 4\/5 is a sensible angle in a race the Irish champion trainer owns statistically. Grok’s selection is Jade De Grugy, each-way.<\/span><\/p>\n

Claude’s tip: Wodhooh @ 10\/11<\/b><\/h3>\n

Claude respects the Mullins statistics but sides with Wodhooh. <\/span>The 4\/5 price reflects a genuine gap in quality between the favourite and the rest, and Claude’s form assessment of Wodhooh’s season \u2014 which includes some dominant display at the highest level \u2014 suggests she is one of the most straightforward betting propositions of the entire week. Claude’s selection is Wodhooh.<\/span><\/p>\n

3:20pm Paddy Power Stayers’ Hurdle 2026 Tips \u2014 Can Teahupoo Regain His Crown?<\/b><\/h2>\n

The Grade 1 Paddy Power Stayers’ Hurdle over 3m is the first of two championship races on St Patrick’s Thursday and one of the most intriguing puzzles of the week. <\/span><\/p>\n

Teahupoo (7\/2) is attempting to regain the crown he lost to Bob Olinger in 2025, and was in brilliant form at Leopardstown over Christmas, reversing Stayers’ Hurdle form with his conqueror. Bob Olinger, the defending champion, is not declared for 2026. <\/span><\/p>\n

The market is therefore led by Kabral Du Mathan (4\/1, Dan Skelton\/Harry Skelton) and Teahupoo, with Honesty Policy and Impose Toi (12\/1) both attracting each-way interest. Ma Shantou carries Harry Cobden’s saddle for Emma Lavelle.<\/span><\/p>\n

Gemini’s tip: Kabral Du Mathan @ 15\/4<\/b><\/h3>\n

Gemini focuses on Kabral Du Mathan as the ideal profile for this race. At 4\/1, he represents the best odds of the leading market players and his Dan Skelton-trained profile \u2014 a progressive younger horse improving with every run \u2014 mirrors the typical arc of Stayers’ Hurdle winners. <\/span><\/p>\n

Gemini notes that horses who are still on the ascent of their form curve outperform those trying to recapture a title they’ve lost, which nudges it away from Teahupoo and towards the Skelton stable’s exciting prospect. Gemini’s tip is Kabral Du Mathan.<\/span><\/p>\n

Grok’s tip: Impose Toi (each-way) @ 15\/2<\/b><\/h3>\n

Grok identifies Impose Toi (12\/1, Nicky Henderson) as the outstanding each-way value in the race. <\/span><\/p>\n

A horse who won the Grade 1 Long Walk Hurdle with his trademark turn of foot and who handles good ground comfortably, Grok’s algorithm highlights the Henderson yard’s record of bringing fresh horses to the Stayers’ Hurdle and producing big-priced winners. <\/span><\/p>\n

At double-figure odds in an 11-runner field where the favourite could be vulnerable, Grok makes Impose Toi the most attractive each-way bet of the day.<\/span><\/p>\n

Claude’s tip: Teahupoo @ 3\/1<\/b><\/h3>\n

Claude backs the comeback king. Teahupoo’s Christmas Hurdle win at Leopardstown, beating the horse who denied him in 2025, is the form cornerstone of this renewal, and Claude’s assessment is that a horse returning that kind of performance is the one to beat. <\/span><\/p>\n

He was a four-length winner of this race in 2024 and the Cheltenham New Course \u2014 where the Stayers’ Hurdle is now run \u2014 has no obvious negative connotations for him. Claude’s selection is Teahupoo.<\/span><\/p>\n

4:00pm Ryanair Chase 2026 Tips \u2014 Can Fact To File Make It Back-to-Back?<\/b><\/h2>\n

The Grade 1 Ryanair Chase over 2m4f is the undisputed showpiece of St Patrick’s Thursday \u2014 a championship race for the chasers who fall between the two-mile Champion Chase and the Gold Cup in terms of stamina requirements. <\/span><\/p>\n

Fact To File (4\/5 favourite, Willie Mullins\/Mark Walsh) is the defending champion, having won last year’s renewal by nine lengths, and dropped back from the Paddy Power Irish Gold Cup \u2014 which he also won \u2014 to defend his Festival crown. <\/span><\/p>\n

But what looked a straightforward title defence has been complicated by some serious rivals. Jonbon (confirmed runner despite Nicky Henderson initially suggesting Aintree), Banbridge (loved the good ground in the King George), Impaire Et Passe (a previous Festival winner with four Grade 1 victories to his name) and Heart Wood all line up in what is now reduced to eight runners after Croke Park was ruled out with a bruised foot.<\/span><\/p>\n

Gemini’s tip: Fact To File @ Evens<\/b><\/h3>\n

Gemini makes Fact To File its headline selection of the day. A nine-length win in last year’s Ryanair Chase followed by victory in the Irish Gold Cup represents a sequence of form that is almost impossible to oppose. <\/span><\/p>\n

Gemini’s form algorithm places significant weight on the margin of last year’s Festival win, and notes that a horse who travels as powerfully as Fact To File \u2014 rarely ever off the bridle in a big race \u2014 tends to be even more formidable when defending a title over a course he has already mastered. Fact To File is Gemini’s nap of the day.<\/span><\/p>\n

Grok’s tip: Jonbon (each-way) @ 4\/1<\/b><\/h3>\n

Grok takes on the favourite. Jonbon’s inclusion in this race is the most intriguing development of the entire Cheltenham week \u2014 a horse of Champion Chase quality who has been retargeted here following some jumping issues at Cheltenham in previous years. <\/span><\/p>\n

Grok acknowledges the jumping concern but points to the fact that Jonbon was only beaten a length and a half in the Champion Chase last season and has subsequently won comfortably at Ascot. <\/span><\/p>\n

If he jumps cleanly today, Grok’s form analysis suggests he is capable of troubling Fact To File significantly. At a bigger price than the favourite, Grok selects Jonbon each-way.<\/span><\/p>\n

Claude’s tip: Fact To File @ Evens<\/b><\/h3>\n

Claude is firmly in the Fact To File camp. The worry about Jonbon’s jumping around Cheltenham is a real one \u2014 the horse has made jumping errors at the Festival in previous years \u2014 and Claude’s assessment is that a horse with a clean jumping record over this course is worth a significant premium. Fact To File jumps fluently and travels powerfully, two qualities that are decisive in a run-to-the-last race like the Ryanair. Claude’s nap of the day is Fact To File.<\/span><\/p>\n

4:40pm Pertemps Network Final Handicap Hurdle 2026 Tips \u2014 The Big Qualifier Payoff<\/b><\/h2>\n

The Pertemps Network Final Handicap Hurdle over 3m1f is the Festival handicap that all qualifier-race punters have been targeting since November. <\/span><\/p>\n

A maximum field of 24 runners creates a uniquely wide-open betting heat, and the stats make for sobering reading: the average winning price is over 20\/1 and favourites have a miserable record. <\/span><\/p>\n

Harry Cobden is sweet on Absolutely Doyen, who has won all of his starts this season \u2014 although he has gone up 20lb in the handicap. Cobden also mentions Supremely West (Dan Skelton) as a danger, a horse who has been heavily backed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Gemini’s tip: Absolutely Doyen (each-way) @ 10\/1<\/b><\/h3>\n

Gemini acknowledges the weight rise but cannot ignore a horse who has won every single race he has entered this season.<\/span><\/p>\n

Absolutely Doyen’s unbeaten record is the most compelling form angle in the race, and Gemini’s pattern analysis shows that horses arriving at the Pertemps Final unbeaten in their qualifiers tend to outperform market expectations. <\/span><\/p>\n

Even with a 20lb rise, Gemini argues that a horse who wins with that kind of authority has untapped improvement to find. Absolutely Doyen, each-way, is Gemini’s selection.<\/span><\/p>\n

Grok’s tip: Supremely West (each-way) @ 10\/3<\/b><\/h3>\n

Grok goes with the heavily-backed Supremely West from Dan Skelton’s yard. Substantial market support at a Cheltenham handicap is one of the most reliable signals available in horse racing betting, and Grok’s algorithm puts a strong positive weighting on a horse who has been one of the most consistently backed runners in ante-post markets all week. <\/span><\/p>\n

Skelton’s handicap record at the Festival has been superb in recent years, and a horse who has been set up all season for this race is a compelling proposition. Supremely West, each-way.<\/span><\/p>\n

Claude’s tip: Supremely West (each-way) @ 10\/3<\/b><\/h3>\n

Claude joins Grok on Supremely West. The Skelton yard’s Festival handicap record speaks for itself, and the clear intent from connections \u2014 backed up by a market move that suggests those closest to the horse believe he is ahead of his mark \u2014 is the clearest signal in this notoriously difficult race. <\/span><\/p>\n

Claude notes that finding a horse with a defined plan and stable confidence in a 24-runner handicap is genuinely rare, and Supremely West appears to tick that box. Supremely West, each-way, is Claude’s selection.<\/span><\/p>\n

5:20pm Rosconn Group Kim Muir Challenge Cup 2026 Tips \u2014 Amateur Riders’ Handicap<\/b><\/h2>\n

The Rosconn Group Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Handicap Chase closes St Patrick’s Thursday with the Festival’s traditional amateur riders’ handicap over 2m4f. <\/span><\/p>\n

It is a race full of intrigue \u2014 amateur jockeys, competitive weights and a field of potential improvers make it one of the hardest races of the week to assess. Harry Cobden namechecks Kim Roque (9\/1), a horse he has ridden before and thinks well of. <\/span>A 24-runner field is expected.<\/span><\/p>\n

Gemini’s tip: Kim Roque (each-way) @ 11\/2<\/b><\/h3>\n

Gemini takes Cobden’s endorsement at face value and backs Kim Roque each-way. A horse spoken well of by a top professional jockey, even in an amateur race, is a clear market signal. <\/span><\/p>\n

Gemini notes that Kim Roque ran with credit at Cheltenham earlier in the season and has the New Course form to back up an each-way selection at 9\/1 or bigger.<\/span><\/p>\n

Grok’s tip: An Irish-trained improver (each-way)\u00a0<\/b><\/h3>\n

Grok recommends looking beyond the named selections and targeting an Irish-trained horse with a strong recent Cheltenham run at a double-figure price. <\/span><\/p>\n

The Kim Muir has a strong record for unexposed improvers from leading Irish yards, and the race has been won by horses rated in the 120s and 130s with notable regularity. <\/span><\/p>\n

Grok’s strategy is to take an each-way position on the best-bred, best-formed Irish runner at the biggest price available.<\/span><\/p>\n

Claude’s tip: Kim Roque (each-way) @ 11\/2<\/b><\/h3>\n

Claude joins Gemini on Kim Roque. The Harry Cobden endorsement is a compelling reason to include him, and at 9\/1 he represents a genuine each-way price in a 24-runner heat. <\/span><\/p>\n

Claude adds that amateur jockey races at Cheltenham often favour horses who can lead or sit close to the pace \u2014 the larger fields and less polished riding make it harder to make up ground late \u2014 and Kim Roque’s profile fits the bill. Claude’s selection for the closer is Kim Roque, each-way.<\/span><\/p>\n

Cheltenham St Patrick’s Thursday 2026 \u2014 AI Tips Summary<\/b><\/h2>\n

Three AI models, seven races, three very different approaches to the form. Here is a quick-glance summary of each model’s nap and key selection of the day:<\/span><\/p>\n

Gemini’s Nap: <\/b>Fact To File (Ryanair Chase, 4:00pm)<\/span><\/p>\n

Grok’s Nap: <\/b>Fact To File (Ryanair Chase, 4:00pm)<\/span><\/p>\n

Claude’s Nap: <\/b>Fact To File (Ryanair Chase, 4:00pm)<\/span><\/p>\n

For once, all three AI models are unanimous on the nap of the day: Fact To File to defend his Ryanair Chase crown. <\/span><\/p>\n

The Willie Mullins-trained powerhouse is the one horse on the entire St Patrick’s Thursday card that Gemini, Grok and Claude are all comfortable backing at odds-on, with the weight of Festival form, trainer pedigree and jumping quality making him the standout selection. <\/span><\/p>\n

Grok takes a contrarian each-way position on Jonbon but still acknowledges Fact To File’s class. <\/span><\/p>\n

Beyond the feature race, the AI panel backs Bambino Fever in the opener, is united on Regents Stroll in the novice handicap chase, and splits between Wodhooh and Jade De Grugy in the Mares’ Hurdle.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Thursday 12 March 2026 | Cheltenham Racecourse | St Patrick’s Thursday | New Course | Going: Good to Soft, Good in places Cheltenham St Patrick’s Thursday 2026: The Big Races and Favourites St Patrick’s Thursday is one of the most celebrated days in the jump racing calendar \u2014 a riot of colour, atmosphere and Grade […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":484,"featured_media":81210,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[46,8],"tags":[2365],"class_list":["post-81208","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-betting-tips","category-horse-racing","tag-cheltenham-betting-tips"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nCheltenham Festival Thursday St.Patrick's Day 2026 Betting Tips: What AI Models Gemini, Grok and Claude Are Backing<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Our AI tipping panel \u2014 Google's Gemini, Elon Musk's Grok and Anthropic's Claude \u2014 deliver their Cheltenham Festival St Patrick's Thursday tips 2026 for all seven races including the Ryanair Chase, Stayers' Hurdle and Mares' Hurdle.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sportscasting.com\/uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81208\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Cheltenham Festival Thursday St.Patrick's Day 2026 Betting Tips: What AI Models Gemini, Grok and Claude Are Backing\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Our AI tipping panel \u2014 Google's Gemini, Elon Musk's Grok and Anthropic's Claude \u2014 deliver their Cheltenham Festival St Patrick's Thursday tips 2026 for all seven races including the Ryanair Chase, Stayers' Hurdle and Mares' Hurdle.\" 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