It’s widely agreed that quarterback is the single most important position on any football team. They are drafted the highest, and they usually get a lot of the credit (and money) when their teams win. Because of that, QBs are overwhelmingly the choice for NFL Most Valuable Player. Since 1957, 43 QBs won the award with only 18 non-QBs winning the award. The NFL MVP will more than likely be a QB in 2019 as well. Let’s take a look at the five QBs with the best odds to take home the award this year.
5. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers: 12-1
Aaron Rodgers is probably the best QB on this list. He’s so good that his spot on this list should almost be assured annually. This year represents a major turning point in his career, however.
Speculation ran rampant last season that Rodgers and former coach Mike McCarthy did not see eye to eye. With a new coach in Matt LaFleur, the pressure will be on both LaFleur and Rodgers to turn things around.
Rodgers certainly isn’t in danger of losing his job any time soon, but if Green Bay continues to struggle for the next few seasons, it could impact his legacy.
3. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints: 10-1
Brees took the Saints within one missed pass interference call of winning the NFC Championship last year for a dream matchup against the Patriots in the Super Bowl. Despite his advanced age, he’s shown no signs of slowing down. He’ll turn his attention this season to getting back to the Super Bowl as well as adding to his place in the record books. Brees already has a Hall of Fame-worthy career and plenty of accolades, but NFL MVP is one of the only awards he doesn’t have.
3. Tom Brady, New England Patriots: 10-1
Brady’s been so good throughout his career, and over the past few seasons specifically, he’s become something of a thought experiment: how long can a QB start in the NFL while playing at a high level?
Brady wants to play until he’s 45. Like Brees, he’s shown no signs of decreasing play. With the Patriots qualifying for the last four Super Bowls and winning three of them, he’s as good a bet as almost anyone to be in the discussion for NFL MVP, and award he’s won three times before.
2. Andrew Luck, Indianapolis Colts: 9-1
Since being taken as the first overall pick in the 2012 NFL draft, Andrew Luck has had something of a roller coaster career: Incredible highs (playoff appearances, great statistics) and dismal lows (a couple of injury-plagued seasons). A spectacular season last year indicates he might have righted the ship.
The Colts are in a great position to contend for a championship in 2019. They play in a relatively weak division, so another playoff berth should not be an issue. Luck is smack dab in the middle of his prime years. If he’s going to win an NFL MVP award, it’ll likely be sometime in the next few seasons, and 2019 could be that season.
1. Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs: 6-1
Mahomes had an outstanding sophomore season last year, getting the Chiefs to the AFC Championship while putting up jaw-dropping numbers along the way. He’s emerged as one of the best QBs to enter the league in the last decade. Mahomes won last year’s MVP as well.
No one was surprised he played well, but that well? No one saw that coming.
The Chiefs seem poised for another deep playoff run this year. Mahomes will likely only get better with another year of experience under his belt. Andy Reid is a whiz when it comes to tutoring young QBs. Barring a major injury or some other kind of setback, Mahomes will have another big year and the Chiefs’ success will put him in consideration for another NFL MVP trophy.