Why Patrick Mahomes Doesn’t Have History on His Side in the Super Bowl

The Kansas City Chiefs will take on the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl LIV. The Chiefs can thank one man, in particular, quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Over the last two seasons, he’s evolved into a dangerous offensive weapon. Mahomes can make throws from nearly anywhere on the field.

But at least one historical indicator spells trouble for Mahomes’ Chiefs. Let’s look at why the quarterback may not have history on his side in Super Bowl LIV.

Patrick Mahomes’ 2019-20 season

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes, offensive tackles Cameron Erving and Eric Fisher celebrate late in the fourth quarter of the AFC Championship game
Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes and offensive tackles Cameron Erving and Eric Fisher | Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Last season, the now-24-year-old was outstanding, leading the Chiefs to the AFC championship game and earning the MVP Award. This season, Mahomes took things a step further. Here are his stats from this season via CBS Sports: 

  • 26 touchdowns
  • 4,031 passing yards
  • 11-3 win-loss record
  • 8.3 yards per attempt
  • Pro Bowl selection 

Mahomes will likely come up short in the MVP race to Lamar Jackson. But the QB has already advanced his team farther than last year’s Chiefs squad. 

There are two major reasons why Mahomes may not have history on his side in Super Bowl LIV. One has to do with Mahomes (more on that in a bit). The other has to do with the team he faces.

How 49ers quarterbacks fare in the Super Bowl 

The 49ers have been very successful in the Super Bowl. San Francisco has defeated the following teams in the big game, according to Sporting News

  • Super Bowl 16: 49ers 21, Cincinnati Bengals 16
  • Super Bowl 19: 49ers 38, Miami Dolphins 16
  • Super Bowl 23: 49ers 20, Cincinnati Bengals 16
  • Super Bowl 24: 49ers 55, Denver Broncos 10
  • Super Bowl 29: 49ers 49, San Diego Chargers 26

The 49ers also lost Super Bowl 47 to the Ravens, 34-31 — the only time they’ve allowed an opposing quarterback to notch over 30 points. While the other games occurred in a bygone era when teams didn’t score as much, the current 49ers defense is ferocious. Mahomes has his work cut out for him. 

There’s another indicator that the Chiefs’ leader may experience a less-than-stellar performance in Super Bowl LIV.

Why Mahomes may not have history on his side in the Super Bowl 

The other factor working against Mahomes is his age. The 24-year-old will be the fifth-youngest quarterback to start a Super Bowl. The other QBs younger than him didn’t fare very well: 

  • A 23-year-old Dan Marino and his Miami Dolphins lost to the 49ers In Super Bowl XIX. 
  • In Super Bowl XL, 23-year-old Ben Roethlisberger’s Steelers beat the Seattle Seahawks, though Roethlisberger played poorly. 
  • One of the worst championship performances ever, 23-year-old David Woodley’s Dolphins lost to the Redskins in Super Bowl XVII.
  • In Super Bowl LIII, the Los Angeles Rams’ Jared Goff struggled to muster much offense as the Patriots yielded only three points to LA. 

It’s unclear why the aforementioned quarterbacks failed to play well. Maybe the pressure got to them. It’s a big moment and all of them were in their first — and in some cases, only — Super Bowl appearance.

It’s unlikely Mahomes will shrink in the big game, however. He consistently turned in great performances in both the regular season and postseason so far.

Mahomes found his Chiefs down 21-0 to Houston in the divisional round and down 17-7 in the AFC championship game. Kansas City won both games as blowouts. Mahomes shouldn’t have any problems with nerves. Both teams should be in for a classic game.