Wimbledon Day 3 Best Bets: Predictions and Picks for Wednesday’s Key Matches

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Wimbledon Day 3 Best Bets: Predictions and Picks for Wednesday’s Key Matches

Check out Wimbledon Day 3 predictions and best bets, including value plays on Jan-Lennard Struff and Nicolas Jarry in Wednesday’s action.

As the first week of Wimbledon hits its stride, Day 3 features a mix of proven veterans, emerging talents, and intriguing betting angles. With key matchups set for Wednesday, bettors will find value in both the handicaps and exact score markets. Two matches in particular, Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Jan-Lennard Struff and Nicolas Jarry vs. Learner Tien, offer compelling case studies in form, history, and surface-specific trends.

Here’s a breakdown of the top betting picks for Wednesday’s slate at the All England Club.

Jan-Lennard Struff (+4.5 games -110) vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime

It’s rarely straightforward with Felix Auger-Aliassime at Grand Slams, and Wimbledon is no exception.

  • Auger-Aliassime needed five sets to outlast James Duckworth in the first round, adding another marathon match to his growing list on the big stage.

  • The Canadian has won only one match in straight sets at Wimbledon, a 2021 victory over clay-court specialist Thiago Monteiro.

  • He’s failed to cover a 4.5-game spread in six straight Wimbledon appearances, including matches against players ranked outside the Top 50.

  • Jan-Lennard Struff, meanwhile, is a dangerous floater. He dispatched Filip Misolic in four sets and faced just one break point the entire match.

  • Struff has won two of their five career meetings, though none have been on grass. Still, his flat-hitting style and consistent first serve translate well to the surface.

The Bet:
✅ Jan-Lennard Struff +4.5 games
With both players prone to tiebreaks — FAA has seen one in six of his last seven Wimbledon matches; Struff in 11 of his last 14 — this figures to be a tight affair where even in defeat, the German can cover the number.

Nicolas Jarry to Win 3-0 (+360) vs. Learner Tien

Nicolas Jarry’s comeback win over Holger Rune on Monday was a serving masterclass, and his game looks tailor-made for a deep run at Wimbledon.

  • Jarry blasted 31 aces and won 94% of first-serve points in his Round 1 match.

  • He already owns a straight-set victory over Tien, having beaten the American 6-3, 6-4 just weeks ago in Halle qualifying.

  • In that match, Jarry faced zero break points and dominated both first and second serve metrics.

  • Tien, while promising, doesn’t have the physical tools or return game yet to handle a power server like Jarry on grass.

  • The Chilean has increased confidence and momentum — a dangerous combination when paired with a booming serve and grass-friendly game.

The Bet:
✅ Nicolas Jarry to Win 3-0 (Set Betting)
At +320 odds, the straight-sets play offers excellent value given how dominant Jarry was in their last meeting and how fresh he looked against Rune.

The middle rounds of a Slam can be tricky to navigate, especially when established names like Auger-Aliassime are often overvalued in the markets. Struff presents both a cover opportunity and a possible upset threat, while Jarry continues to look like a serious threat in the bottom half of the draw, particularly against players still learning how to compete on grass.

The surface, form, and historical matchups all point toward value on these Wednesday plays.