Key Highlights
- 33% chance Sabrina Carpenter joins Season 4 of The White Lotus
- Succession’s Brian Cox given a 20% shot to return to HBO in a new role
- Zendaya and Tom Holland among top favorites to appear as a couple
Odds to Join the Cast of The White Lotus Season 4
| Celebrity | Odds (US Format) | Odds (UK Format) | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sabrina Carpenter | +200 | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| Zendaya | +300 | 3/1 | 25.0% |
| Tom Holland | +350 | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| Brian Cox | +400 | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| Michael B. Jordan | +400 | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| Mahershala Ali | +450 | 9/2 | 18.2% |
| Jenna Ortega | +500 | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| Nicole Kidman | +500 | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| Mark Strong | +500 | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| Pedro Pascal | +550 | 11/2 | 15.4% |
| Stephen Graham | +550 | 11/2 | 15.4% |
| Bella Ramsey | +600 | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Don Cheadle | +600 | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Javier Bardem | +650 | 13/2 | 13.3% |
| Barry Keoghan | +700 | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Woody Harrelson | +900 | 9/1 | 10.0% |
| Anne Hathaway | +1200 | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Meryl Streep | +1400 | 14/1 | 6.7% |
| Emma Stone | +1600 | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| Jodie Foster | +1600 | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| Brad Pitt | +2000 | 20/1 | 4.8% |
| Julia Roberts | +2000 | 20/1 | 4.8% |
With production details for The White Lotus Season 4 still under wraps, speculation over casting is starting to take shape. A fresh batch of odds has placed Sabrina Carpenter as the early favorite to join the show, followed closely by Zendaya, Tom Holland, and other A-list talent. The betting lines offer a glimpse into which names our expert team of traders and fans are keeping an eye on.
Sabrina Carpenter’s Acting Momentum Could Land Her a White Lotus Role
With an implied probability of 33 percent, Sabrina Carpenter leads the pack as the most likely new The White Lotus cast member. Known for her dual success in music and acting, Carpenter’s recent pop culture rise makes her a smart bet for a series that values young talent with built-in fanbases.
She’s recently appeared in Netflix films and high-profile campaigns, giving her the type of multi-platform exposure The White Lotus has embraced before. Her casting would follow in the footsteps of stars like Sydney Sweeney, who gained significant career traction after their time on the show.
Zendaya & Tom Holland Could Bring Real-Life Chemistry to the White Lotus
Zendaya sits at +300 (25%), with Tom Holland not far behind at +350 (22%). A casting of both would instantly become one of the most high-profile TV pairings of the year.
Zendaya already has a strong relationship with HBO through Euphoria, while Holland’s recent push into serious roles makes him a logical addition.
If producers want to make a splash and tap into younger audiences, pairing this real-life couple in an ensemble role would accomplish that quickly.
Brian Cox Back on HBO?
Brian Cox is listed at 4/1 to make his return to the HBO lineup. After wrapping up Succession, the Emmy-winning actor is now available, and fans of the network would likely welcome him in any capacity.
His presence would tilt the tone of the show more mature and intense, but that’s worked before. Season 2 leaned heavily on performances from established actors like F. Murray Abraham and Michael Imperioli, so a pivot toward Cox would be a familiar move.
Other Names in the Mix
Further down the list, you’ll find a wide range of talent. There are Oscar winners like Meryl Streep (+1400), Mahershala Ali (+450), Nicole Kidman (+500), and Javier Bardem (+650) to younger breakout stars like Jenna Ortega (+500) and Bella Ramsey (+600). The White Lotus has never stuck to a single casting formula, and the diversity in style, age, and experience across these odds reflects that unpredictability.
Also worth watching are Michael B. Jordan (+400) and Pedro Pascal (+550) as both bring proven star power and versatility. Anne Hathaway, Emma Stone, and Julia Roberts all appear as longshots, but with this show, longshots have a habit of turning into on-screen surprises.
Commentary
SportsCasting’s Head of News, Nick Raffoul commented on the odds:
“Every season of The White Lotus has delivered unexpected casting choices, and that makes the speculation all the more exciting. Sabrina Carpenter is having a moment right now, and her blend of charm and screen presence makes her a real contender to join the next season’s ensemble.”
“Zendaya and Tom Holland would be a dream double act for fans, and given their established relationship with HBO and Hollywood in general, we think there’s a solid chance producers could go big. Brian Cox, meanwhile, is fresh off Succession and could easily slip into another deliciously sharp role.”
“With so many names in the mix — from Meryl Streep to Pedro Pascal — it’s hard to rule anyone out. The White Lotus thrives on surprise, and our oddsmakers will be keeping a close eye on any casting news in the coming months.”
