As Hollywood prepares for the fall festival season, contenders in the Best Actor category will begin to emerge. Who are the names to keep an eye on? Below are the odds for Best Actor at the 2026 Oscars.
Timothée Chalamet Headlines Best Actor Odds
Josh Safdie's MARTY SUPREME starring @RealChalamet. Coming soon pic.twitter.com/9ko3uu0IsC
— A24 (@A24) July 15, 2024
Timothée Chalamet is on a heater.
Last year, Chalamet portrayed Bob Dylan in the musical biopic A Complete Unknown. The 29-year-old garnered critical acclaim for his performance, winning the SAG Award for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role.
Chalamet also picked up his second acting nomination at the 2025 Oscars.
How did Chalamet celebrate his success? He spent his time sitting courtside during the New York Knicks’ playoff run.
History could repeat itself, as Chalamet is the star of another Oscar hopeful at the end of the year, Marty Supreme. Directed by Josh Safdie, Chalamet plays the titular character in Marty Supreme. Marty Reisman, an American and world champion ping pong player, inspired Chalamet’s character. Reisman also started out as a ping pong hustler in Manhattan, who would challenge people to money games.
Little is known about Marty Supreme because A24 has not released an official photo or trailer for the movie. With a $70 million budget, Marty Supreme will be A24’s most expensive film ever.
Is Marty Supreme an Oscars-worthy movie? Again, it’s unknown. The movie will likely be a dramedy set in the world of table tennis.
A24 gave Marty Supreme an awards-friendly release date — December 25, 2025 — and will surely go all-out in the marketing and press leading up to the premiere.
Chalamet is why Marty Supreme could be an awards play later this year.
2026 Oscars: Best Actor Odds
| 2026 Oscars: Best Actor | Odds |
|---|---|
| Timothée Chalamet, Marty Supreme | +180 |
| Robert Pattinson, Mickey 17 | +240 |
| Oscar Isaac, Frankenstein | +300 |
| Denzel Washington, Highest 2 Lowest | +375 |
| Dwayne Johnson, The Smashing Machine | +500 |
| Daniel Day-Lewis, Anemone | +600 |
| Austin Butler, Caught Stealing | +1000 |
| George Clooney, Jay Kelly | +1000 |
Odds via BetOnline on 7/14/25 at 3 p.m. ET
After Chalamet, BetOnline has Robert Pattinson (+240) in Mickey 17 as the second favorite. Do yourself a favor and forget about Pattinson in this category because I guarantee he will not be one of the five nominees next year. Mickey 17 had a March release date and flopped at the box office. Warner Bros. wants to move on.
Oscar Isaac (+300) in Frankenstein is a name to watch because the movie’s director, Guillermo del Toro, is an Oscar winner and Academy favorite.
Dwayne Johnson (+500) is the name that might surprise people. Johnson will play Mark Kerr in Benny Safdie’s The Smashing Machine. The Academy loves a physical transformation of a real person, which is what Johnson did for the movie. Johnson’s awards season success hinges on the reviews.
Names not listed above that will be in consideration include Michael B. Jordan in Sinners, Leonardo DiCaprio in One Battle After Another, Jesse Plemons in Bugonia, Paul Mescal in Hamnet, Wagner Moura in The Secret Agent, and Jeremy Allen White in Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere.
