MLB Playoffs Same Game Parlay: Blue Jays vs. Yankees +290

MLB Playoffs Same Game Parlay: Blue Jays vs. Yankees – The Yankees look to avoid the sweep in the Bronx on Tuesday night. 

Game 3 in the ALDS shifts to Yankee Stadium, where Carlos Rodón takes the mound for New York and former Cy Young winner Shane Bieber counters for Toronto. We’re looking to follow up a night where we went 3-0 on SGP’s! 

Here’s what we’re looking at tonight: Rodón has struggled previously against the Blue Jays; he allowed six hits on July 21 and five hits in just five innings on June 30. This lineup handles lefties well, and maybe no one better than Guerrero Jr. who has dominated the lefty in his career. Vlad comes in 10/17 off of Rodon with four extra base hits, including a home run. With all of this info, a correlated same game parlay becomes clear: Rodón 5+ hits allowed + Guerrero 2+ total bases.

Let’s get into it!

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. vs. Carlos Rodón is a key matchup in #ALDS Game 3 tonight.

Vladdy has faced Rodón 21 times and has NEVER struck out 👀 pic.twitter.com/hlFvBpi2a6

— MLB (@MLB) October 7, 2025

MLB Playoffs Same Game Parlay: Blue Jays vs. Yankees

Leg 1 — Carlos Rodón 5+ Hits Allowed 

• “Rodón 5+ Hits Allowed ” is one of our favorite props in this game, and we’re building into a correlated SGP.

• In prior matchups against Toronto, Rodón allowed at least five hits in both starts (8 hits / 4 ER over 10 innings combined), and this Jays lineup smells blood in the water. 

• The Blue Jays have crushed left-handed pitching all season, which plays aggressively against Rodón’s offerings, making the “5+ hits” threshold reasonable. The Blue Jays ranked 3rd in BA vs LHPs in the regular season and are hitting .429 in the postseason vs lefties.

Carlos Rodon’s 2 starts against the Jays this year were almost identical, 5IP, 4Ks, 2ER, and 5/6 hits. He walked 3 in one of the starts and he walked 5 in another. That is a recipe for getting swept against this Jays team. Cannot give them bases. He needs to step up tomorrow. pic.twitter.com/5pz7F1HsIU

— Waldos World (@BigSevyForMayor) October 6, 2025

Leg 2 — Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2+ Total Bases

• While we’re fading Rodon, we’re looking for a bat to back, and it’s clearly Vladdy. Guerrero Jr. 2+ total bases is the prop that jumps in Yankee Stadium.

• Guerrero is 6-for-9 (.667) so far in the series, and Rodón has allowed him 10 hits in 17 career at-bats (1.608 OPS)

• As a high-leverage bat usually in the middle of the order facing an overmatched arm, the 2+ total bases mark is one of the cleaner correlates in this spot.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is 6-9 with 2 HR’s in the first two games of the ALDS….

He went 10-59 (.172) with a .190 slugging percentage over the last 15 games of the regular season….

Vlad used the muscles of motor tract 5 on his left side to close out the season….

He’s using the… pic.twitter.com/3cUwGImqQR

— Prehension Athletics (@tommym8) October 6, 2025

If Rodón gives up 5+ hits, that suggests traffic and breach of control, conditions that help Guerrero’s prop. Meanwhile, Guerrero’s success historically against Rodón strengthens the probability that one of his extra-base hits or multiple singles will clear the 2-base threshold. The two legs support one another in a contact-heavy script. I love this play tonight.