Raiders vs. Chiefs Predictions, Odds, & Free Expert Picks for NFL Week 7

Updated
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Patrick Mahomes throws the ball.

After an impressive performance on Sunday Night Football, the Kansas City Chiefs (3-3) will look to continue their winning ways against the Las Vegas Raiders (2-4). Here are the predictions, odds, and free expert picks for Raiders vs. Chiefs.

Raiders vs. Chiefs: Game Information

  • 🏈 Game: Raiders vs. Chiefs
  • 🗓️ Date: Oct. 19
  • 🕗 Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • 🏟 Location: Arrowhead Stadium — Kansas City, Missouri
  • 📺 TV Channel: CBS
  • 💻 Live Stream: Paramount+NFL+

Raiders vs. Chiefs Odds and Predictions

If the Raiders had any hopes of saving their season, they had to win their Week 6 matchup against the Titans.

The Raiders defeated the Titans 20-10 with 75 yards rushing and one touchdown from Ashton Jeanty.

Quarterback Geno Smith, who leads the league in interceptions, only threw one interception in the win. Considering Smith has three games with at least two interceptions, one pick is progress.

The Raiders are one of the few teams to give the Chiefs trouble in the Patrick Mahomes era. When Mahomes is a favorite of 7.5 points or more, he’s 36-2 SU. The two losses came against the Raiders — a 40-32 defeat in 2020 and a 20-14 loss on Christmas in 2023.

Mahomes is also 13-21-1 ATS as a 7.5-point favorite or more.

Speaking of Mahomes, is the Chiefs offense back to its old ways? The offense is definitely trending in the right direction — 28 points or more in three straight games. One of those was a loss — a 31-28 defeat to the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Mahomes looks like his old self over these last three games — 845 passing yards, eight touchdowns, and one interception.

The Chiefs’ offense will welcome back Rashee Rice to the lineup. Rice served a six-game suspension to start the season.

The last three matchups between the Raiders and Chiefs have been one-possession games. With Rice back in the lineup, that changes on Sunday, as the Chiefs roll.

Pick: Chiefs -12 (-110)

Raiders vs. Chiefs Prop

The Chiefs should win on Sunday. However, the Chiefs have not run the ball efficiently unless it’s Mahomes.

The Raiders are 13th in run stop win rate (31%), while the Chiefs are 26th in run block win rate (69%). Plus, the Raiders are 10th in run defense (95.3 yards per game).

Isiah Pacheco had his best game last season with 51 rushing yards. Pacheco has less than 45 yards in four games. Against a tough Raiders defense, I’ll fade Pacheco’s rushing total.

Pick: Isiah Pacheco Under 45.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

*Odds as of Oct. 15. Lines are subject to change. Please verify with your sportsbook before placing bets.