NBA Record Watch: Thunder Have 30% Chance Of Winning 74 Games

Updated
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Oklahoma City Thunder Jalen Williams To Make Season Debut Friday Against Suns

The Oklahoma City Thunder are not just off to a historic start. Instead, they’re chasing NBA immortality. With a 24-1 record through the first 25 games of the season, the Thunder have matched the best start in league history, tying the 2015-16 Golden State Warriors’ 24-1 pace on the way to an unprecedented sprint toward 74 regular-season wins.

Could The Thunder Win An NBA Record 74 games?

That has sportsbooks buzzing. At their current odds of +325 to finish with 74 victories or more, the implied probability of OKC rewriting the record books sits around 30%.

Oklahoma City is undeniably a budding dynasty. Reigning MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is operating at another level, averaging historic scoring efficiency and anchoring an offense that consistently outpaces opponents by double digits. The Thunder’s defense has been equally elite, allowing among the lowest opponent scoring rates in the league and giving them a net rating that eclipses even legendary teams of the past.

Beyond SGA, the roster depth led by Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, and a deep supporting cast has kept the Thunder rolling even through minor injuries and lineup shifts. That continuity has translated into blowout wins and a lethal chemistry that rarely falters.

From a historical perspective, OKC’s position is staggering. Only two teams in NBA history have ever broken the 70-win barrier, with the 1995-96 Chicago Bulls (72-10) and the 2015–16 Warriors (73-9) being alone at the top. In order to break the record and finish with 8 losses or fewer, the Thunder would have to go 50-7 to finish out the regular season.

Whether OKC ultimately claims 74 wins or narrowly misses it, their early campaign has already forced a league-wide reckoning. As the season unfolds, every win and loss will be magnified, with fans and critics alike watching closely to see if the Thunder can truly rewrite the record books.