Has 42-year-old Aaron Rodgers played his final game of his illustrious NFL career? You can wager on whether the veteran quarterback will retire this offseason, and the oddsmakers are leaning heavily towards “yes”.
Aaron Rodgers Has 91% Chance Of Retiring This NFL Offseason, Say Oddsmakers
BetOnline has listed a handful of Rodgers-related lines on their betting sheet. There is a “weekly special” on the site that asks where Rodgers will be during Week 1 of the 2026 season, and “Retired” comes in at -1000. That implies a roughly 91% probability, making it one of the most sure bets that you’ll find anywhere, on any topic.
Rodgers, 42, came to Pittsburgh for what many expected was a final hurrah in the league, signing a one-year deal with the Steelers for the 2025 campaign. After an iconic 21-year NFL career, Rodgers brought leadership and experience to a Steelers roster that had struggled to find a consistent franchise quarterback since the departure of Ben Roethlisberger.
His tenure in Pittsburgh saw solid regular-season production, including over 3,322 passing yards, 24 touchdowns, and a 65.7% completion rate this season. Yet the jubilation was short-lived: Pittsburgh was eliminated in the first round of the playoffs, a 30–6 loss to the Houston Texans that potentially marked the end of Rodgers’ playing days.
Tomlin’s Departure Makes A Return Even Less Likely
The larger story this week isn’t just Rodgers’ uncertain future, but also the departure of longtime Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin, who stepped down after 19 seasons in Pittsburgh. Players, including Rodgers, were visibly emotional in the wake of Tomlin’s resignation, making it even less likely that the QB will come back to play under a new regime.
Breaking: After a historic 19-season run in Pittsburgh, Mike Tomlin just informed his team that he is stepping down as the Steelers head coach, sources tell @JFowlerESPN and me.
The Steelers now will be looking for only their fourth head coach since 1969. pic.twitter.com/KvkPv3lA1W
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) January 13, 2026
There are a couple of other bets on the board regarding the topic. If you want to wager that Rodgers will be the Steelers starting quarterback in Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season, the payout is +450. Playing for another team entirely is listed at +800.
Given Rodgers’ age, his loyalty to the organization that gave him one last shot, and now Tomlin’s exit, it’s easy to see why sportsbooks are pricing retirement as a near lock.
