Betting analyst at Covers James Eastham has identified Over 3.5 goals at +122 as the headline pick for Netherlands vs Tunisia.
Covers Netherlands vs Tunisia Best Bets Summary
- Best Bet: Over 3.5 Total Goals (+122) – BetOnline
- Spread Pick: Netherlands -2.5 (+105) – BetOnline
- Goal Scorer Pick: Cody Gakpo to Score (-120) – BetOnline
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Covers Netherlands vs Tunisia Prediction: Over 3.5 Goals (+122)
Both teams involved here have already featured in high-scoring matches. Tunisia conceded five against Sweden and four against Japan. Netherlands put five past Sweden themselves.
“With seven goals from two games, the Netherlands look good enough to clear the Over 3.5 line on its own,” Eastham said.
Netherlands also have a tactical incentive pushing them toward goals. Japan is level on four points in Group F, playing simultaneously against Sweden.
On the other side, Tunisia are eliminated and directionless. Eastham noted that “their morale is rock-bottom and, as nothing is at stake, there is no reason to expect they will be properly motivated.”
The Dutch attacking unit is one of the most dangerous in this tournament – Cody Gakpo, Crysencio Summerville, and Brian Brobbey each have two goals.
Covers Netherlands vs Tunisia Prediction: Netherlands -2.5 (+105)
The spread sits at -2.5 at +105 via BetOnline, meaning bettors are being offered a slight premium to back a three-goal Netherlands win.
Eastham put the case bluntly. “If you are looking to win big, you could not possibly ask for more compliant opponents than Tunisia.”
The Dutch are undefeated in three prior meetings with Tunisia across all competitions. They arrive in form. Tunisia arrive broken.
Covers Netherlands vs Tunisia Prediction: Cody Gakpo to Score (-120)
Cody Gakpo scored three goals at the Qatar 2022 World Cup, three more at Euro 2024, and has two from 175 minutes at this tournament. He is the definition of a big-stage performer.
Eastham called him “adept at timing his runs from the left wing into scoring positions” with the ideal skill set to exploit those gaps.
Gakpo also converted two penalties in a pre-tournament friendly and is the primary penalty taker for Netherlands. At -120, the odds reflect his status but not necessarily his ceiling.
Netherlands vs Tunisia Odds
- Netherlands Moneyline: -1100
- Tunisia Moneyline: +2700
- Draw: +950
- Over 3.5 Total Goals: +122
- Under 3.5 Total Goals: -150
- Netherlands -1.5 Spread: -290
- Tunisia +1.5 Spread: +240
- Netherlands Over 1.5 First-Half Goals: +132
- Both Teams to Score (No): -135
How to Watch Netherlands vs Tunisia
- Date: Thursday, June 25, 2026
- Kickoff: 7:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
- TV: FOX (English), Telemundo (Spanish)
