Scottie Scheffler enters the 2026 Open Championship as one of the top players favored by betting markets, though there is no overwhelming favorite. This is a wide-open field where multiple players have competitive odds, making outright winner futures a compelling betting angle.
The final major of the 2026 season is scheduled to take place at Royal Birkdale Golf Club in Southport, England, with championship play expected to run over four days in mid-July. Coverage will be available on various networks including USA Network and Peacock.
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2026 Open Championship Full Field Odds
The following odds have been reported by Bovada Sportsbook ahead of the first round, reflecting competitive prices across many contenders.
| Player | Odds | Implied Probability |
| Scottie Scheffler | +750 | ~11.8% |
| Rory McIlroy | +850 | ~10.5% |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +1800 | ~5.3% |
| Jon Rahm | +2000 | ~4.8% |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | +2000 | ~4.8% |
| Xander Schauffele | +2200 | ~4.3% |
| Wyndham Clark | +2700 | ~3.6% |
| Chris Gotterup | +2700 | ~3.6% |
| Cameron Young | +2700 | ~3.6% |
| Collin Morikawa | +3000 | ~3.2% |
| Ludvig Åberg | +3000 | ~3.2% |
| Robert MacIntyre | +3000 | ~3.2% |
2026 Major Season Context Before Birkdale
Rory McIlroy successfully defended his title at The Masters earlier this year. Aaron Rai then claimed his first career major at the PGA Championship, and Wyndham Clark survived Shinnecock Hills at four under to lift the U.S. Open trophy.
The variance in winners across the first three majors entering the Open Championship reinforces the notion that the field is deep and competitive, rather than dominated by any single player.
Scheffler won last year’s Open Championship at 17 under and holds the world number one ranking entering this week. However, he recently missed the cut at the Scottish Open, which is a notable factor for links form heading into Royal Birkdale.
Royal Birkdale Course Breakdown and Weather Outlook
The last time the Open Championship came to Royal Birkdale was 2017, when Jordan Spieth won at 12 under. The course has changed meaningfully since then.
The original par-3 14th hole has been removed entirely. A new par-5 14th, formerly the 15th, has been introduced with a redesigned challenge. Derek Duncan of Golf Digest wrote that “the entire fairway was shifted 30 yards to the right and now plays closer to the edge of the dunes. Four fairway pot bunkers have been repositioned to make players shape drives into the landing zone, and new bunker configurations also threaten second shots.”
That is not a cosmetic tweak. That is a strategically demanding hole that will separate aggressive drivers from precision players over 72 holes.
Weather adds another layer. Weather.com projects scattered showers for much of the tournament weekend. Links scoring tends to compress dramatically in wind and rain, which flattens the gap between favorites and long shots and creates real value at the top of the mid-range tier.
Best Bet: Tommy Fleetwood at +1800
This is not a fade of Scheffler or McIlroy. This is a calibrated value play on a player whose links credentials may be underpriced at +1800.
Tommy Fleetwood plays links golf with the trajectory control and course management that consistently threatens on this type of layout.
The implied probability on Fleetwood at +1800 is approximately 5.3%. The market prices him as roughly a 70/30 underdog to Scheffler despite his form advantage on links turf. Bettors seeking outright winner value should view this as the sharpest number on the board at a player in this range.
- Bet: Tommy Fleetwood to win the 2026 Open Championship
- Odds: +1800 (FanDuel Sportsbook)
- Key edge: Local knowledge, links form, compressed scoring conditions under weather
Value Tier: Who Else Deserves Action
Robert MacIntyre at +3000 is the other price worth flagging. The player plays links golf at a high level and has a strong game suited to home turf in adverse conditions.
Collin Morikawa at +3000 brings elite ball-striking and a major championship pedigree. If the showers stay light and the course firms up, Morikawa‘s trajectory control off the tee becomes one of the most dangerous weapons in the field.
Jon Rahm at +2000 rounds out the value tier. His aggressive ball-striking style suits links golf well.
TV Schedule: How to Watch the 2026 Open Championship
- Thursday: 1:30–4 a.m. ET on Peacock, 4 a.m.–3:30 p.m. ET on USA Network
- Friday: 1:30–4 a.m. ET on Peacock, 4 a.m.–3:30 p.m. ET on USA Network
- Saturday: 5–7 a.m. ET on USA Network, 7 a.m.–3 p.m. ET on NBC and Peacock
- Sunday: 5–7 a.m. ET on USA Network, 7 a.m.–2 p.m. ET on NBC and Peacock
For the latest tournament odds and major championship betting breakdowns, keep it locked to Sportscasting.
Written by Sports EditorDavid Evans
