Movies
Black Bag Opening Weekend Box Office Predictions & Odds
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Get to know Dan Girolamo betterPublished13 Mar 2025
After releasing a movie in January, Steven Soderbergh returns with his second project of the year, Black Bag. Below are the predictions and odds for Black Bag’s opening weekend box office.
What Is Black Bag About?
Welcome to the world of spies in Black Bag.
Michael Fassbender and Cate Blanchett star as intelligence agents George Woodhouse and Kathryn St. Jean. Despite their espionage occupations, George and Kathryn are a married couple.
How can two spies be in a committed relationship? “You each know what you know, and you know what you’ll do, and you never discuss things again,” George says in the trailer.
George’s marriage is threatened when Kathryn is accused of treason. George becomes the agent who must investigate the breach and find Kathryn. If not, thousands of innocent people will die.
Is Kathryn innocent or guilty? This is what George must find out, and fast.
When push comes to shove, will George be able to eliminate his wife if it means saving the country?
Besides Fassbender and Blanchett, Black Bag stars Regé-Jean Page, Marisa Abela, Naomie Harris, Tom Burke, and Pierce Brosnan.
Soderbergh directs Black Bag from a screenplay by David Koepp. This marks the third collaboration — 2022’s Kimi, 2025’s Presence, and 2025’s Black Bag — between Soderbergh and Koepp since 2022.
Focus Features will release Black Bag in theaters on March 14, 2025.
Black Bag Opening Weekend Box Office Odds
| Black Bag Opening Weekend Box Office: Domestic | Odds |
|---|---|
| Less than $3 million | +9999 |
| $3 million-$5 million | +809 |
| $5 million-$7 million | -144 |
| Over $7 million | +245 |
Odds via Polymarket on 3/13/25 at 6 p.m. ET
According to the odds, the likely opening for Black Bag will fall between $5 million and $7 million (-144).
Black Bag is another box office test for Soderbergh. In January, Soderbergh’s horror, Presence, opened to $3.3 million domestically.
Presence grossed $9 million worldwide against a $2 million budget.
Black Bag will need to do better numbers than Presence to be profitable, considering the movie carries a $50 million budget.
Black Bag will face some competition at the box office from other new movies, including Novocaine and Opus.
