Horse Racing
ChatGPT Predicts the 2025 Kentucky Derby Winner
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ChatGPT has predicted the 2025 Kentucky Derby based on detailed research into each of the runners in this year’s edition of the Run for the Roses. With speed, stamina, and running styles all factored in, this year’s race looks primed for a closer to wear down the front-runners late.
Journalism leads the betting as the clear favorite with top sportsbooks, but others like Sovereignty and Sandman offer serious value if the race falls apart in the stretch. Here’s how the pace is expected to unfold, who should be finishing strongest, and which horses are projected to fill the top three places in this year’s Kentucky Derby.
Kentucky Derby 2025: Date, Time, Prizes and More
- 📅 Date: Saturday, May 3, 2025
- 📍 Venue: Churchill Downs, Louisville, Kentucky
- 🕒 Time: 18:57 ET
- 🏇 Distance: 1¼ miles (10 furlongs)
- 📺 How to Watch: NBC and Peacock
- 💰 Prizes: 1st: $3.1 million | 2nd: $1 million | 3rd: $500,000
- 🎯 Odds: Journalism (+275), Sovereignty (+600)
ChatGPT 2025 Kentucky Derby Prediction
How the race should unfold:
Journalism will break sharply and take the early lead. Expect Citizen Bull, Owen Almighty, and Coal Battle to press him through the first 1/2 mile or so keeping the pace honest but not suicidal. Horses like Burnham Square, Rodriguez, and Grande will sit just behind that group, saving ground and waiting for their move. Meanwhile, proven closers — Sandman, Sovereignty, and Final Gambit — will settle in the back half of the pack early, biding their time.
As they swing into the final 1/4 mile, Journalism should still be leading but starting to tire. This is where the race opens up: Sovereignty will launch his big move widest of all, Sandman will grind through the middle, and Burnham Square will cut the corner saving every inch of ground. Journalism will fight but ultimately get swallowed up late.
Predicted Top 3 Finishers:
🥇 1st — Sandman (+1000)
Hardy, battle-tested, and proven over distance. He’ll have enough left to outstay the flashier closers once the leaders collapse.
🥈 2nd — Sovereignty (+600)
Will make a brilliant late run down the outside but might flatten out slightly in the final few yards as the distance stretches him.
🥉 3rd — Burnham Square (+1400)
Tough and consistent. Won’t match the flash of the big closers but could save every meter under Brian Hernandez Jr. and hang on for a minor placing.
Summary:
I expect Sandman to outstay Sovereignty in the final strides, with Burnham Square grinding his way into third after getting the best trip behind the speed.
If you want to bet, you can back Sandman to win at +1000 with BetOnline.
