Cooper Flagg Spurs Draft Odds: How Likely Are Wemby and Flagg to Dominate NBA?

Key Highlights

• Cooper Flagg has a 5.9% chance of being drafted by the San Antonio Spurs (+1600).
• He has a 44.4% chance of winning 2+ MVPs in his career (+125).
• There’s a 47.6% chance he wins 3+ NBA championships before he retires (+110).

Cooper Flagg NBA Draft Odds & More

• Drafted by SA Spurs: +1600 (5.9%)
• To win 2+ MVPs: +125 (44.4%)
• To win 2+ Finals MVPs: +150 (40.0%)
• To win an NBA championship by 2030: -120 (54.5%)
• To win 3+ NBA championships in his career: +110 (47.6%)
• To win 5+ NBA championships in his career: +350 (22.2%)

*Odds are for entertainment purposes only

Will the Spurs Draft Cooper Flagg?

At +1600, the odds suggest it’s unlikely, but the situation is more complicated. The Spurs are expected to finish with one of the league’s worst records, which gives them a strong chance at a top draft pick. They also hold Atlanta’s unprotected 2025 first-rounder, which could further improve their lottery odds.

The biggest factor is Victor Wembanyama’s injury. With the 7’4″ star shut down for the season due to deep vein thrombosis in his right shoulder, the Spurs are trending toward another high lottery selection. If they get the No. 1 pick, Flagg would be a natural choice, given his two-way impact and ability to fit alongside Wembanyama. But even if they land outside the top spot, San Antonio could package assets to move up.

Right now, oddsmakers view teams like the Washington Wizards, New Orleans Pelicans, and Charlotte Hornets as more likely landing spots. But if the Spurs get lucky in the lottery, this number will drop significantly.

How Likely is Flagg to Win Multiple MVPs?

At +125 (44.4%), oddsmakers are giving Flagg a legitimate shot at becoming a multiple-time MVP. That’s a big statement, considering how difficult it is to win even one. Only a handful of players in NBA history have won multiple MVPs—LeBron James, Michael Jordan, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, and Giannis Antetokounmpo among them.

For Flagg to hit this mark, he’ll need to become a dominant offensive force while anchoring a winning team. His defensive versatility already projects to be elite, but MVP voters tend to favor players who can carry an offense. If his scoring and playmaking evolve at the NBA level, he has the all-around talent to get there.

Playing in San Antonio with Wembanyama could actually help his case. If the Spurs become title contenders, Flagg would get the exposure needed to rack up MVP votes, especially if he’s putting up high-scoring, all-around stat lines while leading an elite defense.

Will Cooper Flagg Win 3+ Championships?

At +110 (47.6%), the odds suggest Flagg has a near coin-flip chance of winning at least three NBA titles in his career. That’s an aggressive number, given that even great players struggle to win multiple championships. For comparison, Kevin Durant has two rings, and Nikola Jokić is still chasing his second.

However, oddsmakers are likely factoring in the possibility that he lands in the right situation. If Flagg goes to a team like the Spurs, where he can grow alongside Wembanyama and potentially another top-tier playmaker, the foundation for multiple championships would be there. Gregg Popovich’s system has already helped develop all-time greats, and while he won’t coach forever, the Spurs’ ability to build sustainable winners is well-documented.

Even if Flagg doesn’t start his career on a title-caliber team, superstars today have more control than ever. The recent trend of player movement suggests that if he’s as good as advertised, he’ll eventually find himself in a championship situation. That alone makes this bet intriguing.

Commentary

Nick Raffoul, Head of News at SportsCasting commented on the odds:

“The odds on Cooper Flagg paint a picture of a player with franchise-changing potential. He’s being given a real shot at multiple MVPs, multiple titles, and a long, dominant career. But as always, where he lands will decide everything.”