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Fever vs. Lynx WNBA Commissioner’s Cup Picks: Player Props to Watch as Caitlin Clark’s Status Remains Uncertain

Colin Lynch Written by Sports EditorColin Lynch
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Fever vs. Lynx WNBA Commissioner’s Cup Picks: Player Props to Watch as Caitlin Clark’s Status Remains Uncertain

Caitlin Clark’s injury clouds the Commissioner’s Cup Final. Here are the top Fever vs. Lynx player prop bets for tonight in WNBA action.

The WNBA’s first marquee showdown of the season tips off Tuesday night at Target Center, where the red-hot Minnesota Lynx will face the Indiana Fever in the 2025 Commissioner’s Cup Final. But all eyes are on one name, and her status is uncertain.

Caitlin Clark, who’s already faced multiple injury setbacks in her rookie campaign, is listed as questionable with a lingering groin issue. Her availability could drastically reshape the flow of this matchup, especially for bettors eyeing player prop markets.

While the Lynx enter with the league’s best record (14-2) and continuity on their side, Indiana’s rise has been fueled by the recent dominance of Aliyah Boston and surges from key contributors like Kelsey Mitchell and Natasha Howard. That said, Clark’s uncertain status creates a vacuum of production that must be filled, making tonight’s props particularly intriguing.

Let’s take a look at the top three player props for the WNBA Commissioner’s Cup Final.

Courtney Williams Over 12.5 Points (-114)

Courtney Williams has quietly emerged as a reliable scoring option for Minnesota, and she’s heating up at the right time. The veteran guard has scored 13 or more in four of her last six outings, and likely would’ve done so again Sunday if not for a blowout win over the Sun that limited her to just 25 minutes.

Williams is shooting a career-best 39% from beyond the arc this season and has hit 12 of her last 24 attempts overall. In a game projected to be high-scoring, both teams rank in the top four in the WNBA in points per game. Williams’ perimeter shooting and ability to drive could play a crucial role, especially with the Lynx looking to secure their first major trophy since 2017.

Aliyah Boston Over 15.5 Points (+100)

With Clark’s status in doubt, the Fever will likely lean even more on second-year forward Aliyah Boston, and recent form suggests she’s ready for the moment. Boston has averaged 21.4 points per game over her last five, including a dominant 31-point effort against Seattle.

Shooting an efficient 60% from the field this season, Boston’s inside presence will be crucial against a Lynx frontcourt that features Napheesa Collier and Jessica Shepard. Even with foul risk factored in, Boston’s consistent usage and efficient scoring make the Over 15.5 a solid value bet, especially at even money.

If Indiana wants to stay within striking distance, let alone contend, Boston will need to be the engine. She’s done it before. Expect her to step up again.

Natasha Howard Under 5.5 Rebounds (-115)

Howard’s rebounding numbers have been volatile all season. Despite a 13-board effort against Dallas last week, she’s finished with five or fewer in seven of her last 10 outings. That trend could continue against a dominant Minnesota rebounding unit.

The Lynx have three players in the WNBA’s Top 25 in rebounding, including Collier, Shepard, and Alanna Smith. They make life tough around the rim, and Howard may find herself on the outside looking in when it comes to collecting second-chance opportunities.

She’s also logged under 25 minutes in four of her past seven games, a workload trend that could reduce her rebound ceiling even further. With scoring needs likely increasing in Clark’s absence, Howard’s impact may shift more toward offense, making the Under an attractive play.

With a trophy on the line and uncertainty swirling around Caitlin Clark’s availability, tonight’s Commissioner’s Cup Final is anything but routine. It’s a perfect storm for value in the player prop market. Whether you’re backing red-hot Courtney Williams, riding the Boston breakout, or fading Howard’s glass game, the opportunities are there, just like the stakes.

Colin Lynch Written by Sports EditorColin Lynch
Colin Lynch covers the NFL, MLB and WNBA for Heavy.com, with a focus on the New England Patriots. His sports coverage has been featured on The Sports Daily and Basketball Insiders, as well as FanSided's Chowder & Champions. A New Hampshire native and former D1 baseball player at St. John's University, Colin was drafted by the San Diego Padres in 2008 and enjoyed a four-year professional baseball career.
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