World Cup Outright Odds 2026: France Still Favorites After Quarter Final Win

Updated
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With the World Cup quarter-finals now underway, punters have just one burning question: who will lift the prestigious trophy at the tournament’s conclusion?

The stakes have never been higher, and the remaining eight heavyweights will all hope they have what it takes to etch their name into the history books after the final in New Jersey on July 19.

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Current World Cup Outright Winner Betting Odds

The World Cup outright odds have been fairly steady in recent days, with very little movement at the top of the board.

France are unsurprisingly continuing to lead the way.

The latest futures lines from our bookmakers reflect both recent international form and deep tournament pedigree:

  • France @ +180
  • Spain @ +370
  • Argentina @ +390
  • England @ +480
  • Norway @ +1400
  • Morocco @ +2700
  • Belgium @ +3000
  • Switzerland @ +33

(Odds are subject to change)

France Still The Big Favourites

France sit at the top of the market at +175, and the reasons why are straightforward. Didier Deschamps’ side breezed past Sweden in the Round of 32 and then ground out a narrow win over Paraguay, courtesy of a Kylian Mbappe penalty.

The result: resounding back-to-back knockout victories without conceding a single goal, and a forward line – Mbappe, Ousmane Dembele and Michael Olise – that has outmatched every opponent so far.

France went on to beat Morocco in the quarter-finals and the latest pricing from multiple bookmakers still reflects heavy confidence in Les Bleus’ likelihood of reaching the final four.

Spain and Argentina Both Strong Contenders

Spain (+370) have once again been one of the tournament’s most complete sides, having not conceded a goal in their first two knockout matches. Their win over Portugal in the last-16 pushed them clear of England on the odds board.

They now face Belgium for a spot in the semi-finals.

Argentina (+390) enter the quarter-finals in controversial fashion; the defending champions clawed their way back from a two-goal deficit to beat Egypt after Enzo Fernandez’s 93rd-minute winner in Atlanta.

Their next test will be Switzerland, who advanced on penalties at the expense of Colombia.

England In With A Shout

England (+480) overcame Mexico 3-2 in the Round of 16 and now face a Norway side built around Erling Haaland, who has been in irrepressible form and single-handedly knocked out Brazil in the previous round.

Further down the odds, Norway (+1400) represents the biggest value play remaining in the field for punters willing to back a team making their first-ever World Cup quarter-final appearance.

Morocco (+2700), Belgium (+3000), and Switzerland (+3300) round out the board as the tournament’s dark horses.

Belgium are unbeaten in 18 straight matches dating back to March 2025 and thrashed the USA 4-1 to reach the quarters, while Morocco carries the recent memory of a run to the 2022 semifinals — with a shot at revenge against France standing in their way this time.

Switzerland, the longest price of the eight, arrive fresh from their spot-kick triumph over Colombia.