Looking for MLB player props on July 4? We break down three top bets, including Andrew Abbott’s earned run prop, Juan Soto’s RBI value, and Bryan Woo’s strikeout upside against the Pirates.
As fireworks light up the sky across America this Fourth of July, there’s no better way to celebrate the national pastime than locking in a few well-researched MLB player props. With all 30 teams in action and day baseball taking center stage, Friday’s schedule offers several sharp angles on some red-hot players.
Today’s betting board features a dominant lefty, a superstar slugger finding his rhythm, and a rising arm with strikeout upside in a juicy matchup.
Here are three MLB player props to consider for July 4:
Andrew Abbott Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-114)
Game Time: 1:05 p.m. ET
Where to Watch: FDSNOH, NBCSP
Andrew Abbott continues to evolve into the ace of the Cincinnati Reds’ rotation. Through 14 starts, he owns a 7–1 record with a 1.79 ERA, and he’s been lights-out on the road with a minuscule 1.42 ERA in six outings.
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Opponents are hitting just .203 against Abbott in 2025.
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He posted a 2.20 ERA in June, allowing just one earned run in each of his last three starts.
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In his last outing, Abbott shut down San Diego’s powerful lineup over five strong innings.
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He’s limited the Phillies to a .172 batting average across 29 career at-bats.
Facing another potent offense in Philadelphia, the matchup is no walk in the park. But the southpaw has consistently delivered on the road, and recent form backs another solid outing. Expect him to keep this game in check and cash the under on earned runs.
I’m not saying Abbott is better than Skenes.
But the numbers being as close as they are jarring. No one in baseball is talking about how good Andrew Abbott has been. Lights out. pic.twitter.com/2bc2LmVXqx
— Dugs (@yuggs513) June 22, 2025
Juan Soto Over 0.5 RBIs (+155)
Game Time: 3:10 p.m. ET
Where to Watch: YES, SNY, MLBN
Juan Soto is heating up, and in a big way. After a slow start following his massive $765 million contract, the Mets’ right fielder exploded in June:
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.322 average, 11 home runs, 20 RBIs in just 90 at-bats.
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Now up to 48 RBIs on the season.
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He’s 3-for-10 lifetime with three RBIs against Marcus Stroman, today’s Yankees starter.
Soto has driven in a run in three of his last six games, and with revenge on his mind in the second Subway Series of the season, he’s poised to do damage. Backing the over at this price is excellent value.
Not to alarm anyone, but Juan Soto is sending a ball to Mars today. Feels right. pic.twitter.com/99WB7qDaFk
— John Hyslop (@sloprules) July 4, 2025
Bryan Woo Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+122)
Game Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
Where to Watch: SNP, RSNW
Seattle’s pitching staff has been inconsistent, but Bryan Woo has emerged as a bright spot. The right-hander boasts a 7–4 record with a 2.93 ERA and 96 strikeouts in 101.1 innings.
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9 strikeouts in back-to-back starts vs. Texas and Minnesota.
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Faces the Pirates, a team that ranks Top 10 in MLB in strikeout rate.
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Woo is especially effective at home with a 2.08 ERA and 33 Ks in 39 innings.
Pittsburgh’s contact issues, combined with Woo’s recent swing-and-miss form, make this a great plus-money play.
Bryan Woo, Innings Pitched In Each 2025 Start:
6, 6, 7, 7, 6, 6⅓, 6, 6⅓, 7, 6, 6⅔, 6, 6, 7, 6, 6Only three pitchers in MLB history have had longer streaks of games pitching between 6 and 7 innings. pic.twitter.com/7wF4Z36lwu
— Codify (@CodifyBaseball) June 30, 2025
Recap: July 4 MLB Player Props
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Andrew Abbott Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-114)
On the road vs. Philly, Abbott’s elite form makes this a strong under spot. -
Juan Soto Over 0.5 RBIs (+155)
Soto’s bat is scorching again, and Stroman is a familiar and hittable foe. -
Bryan Woo Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+122)
A great home matchup vs. a strikeout-prone Pirates team keeps Woo’s K streak alive.
Whether you’re catching a game with friends or tracking your tickets between barbecues and fireworks, these player props offer smart, targeted value on a holiday slate full of action. Let the bats and your bankroll fire up this Fourth of July.
