The Heisman Trophy picture is tightening as we enter November. The latest odds show four quarterbacks separating from the pack — Julian Sayin, Fernando Mendoza, Ty Simpson, and Marcel Reed — all leading top-10 teams with playoff ambitions.
Current Heisman Odds (Week 10)
| Player | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Julian Sayin (QB, Ohio State) | +175 | 36.4% |
| Fernando Mendoza (QB, Indiana) | +220 | 31.3% |
| Ty Simpson (QB, Alabama) | +350 | 22.2% |
| Marcel Reed (QB, Texas A&M) | +700 | 12.5% |
| Gunner Stockton (QB, Georgia) | +2500 | 3.8% |
| Jeremiah Smith (WR, Ohio State) | +3300 | 2.9% |
| Jeremiyah Love (RB, Notre Dame) | +4000 | 2.4% |
| Diego Pavia (QB, Vanderbilt) | +4000 | 2.4% |
| Trinidad Chambliss (QB, Ole Miss) | +4000 | 2.4% |
| Dante Moore (QB, Oregon) | +5000 | 2.0% |
| Haynes King (QB, Georgia Tech) | +7500 | 1.3% |
| CJ Carr (QB, Notre Dame) | +10000 | 1.0% |
Julian Sayin (Ohio State) +175
Favorite for the 2025 Heisman according to top sportsbooks, Sayin has been lights out for No. 1 Ohio State, leading the country in QBR (90.9) and throwing for 23 touchdowns against just three interceptions.
His command of the Buckeyes’ offense and performances in statement wins over Texas and Wisconsin have made him the betting favorite.
Surrounded by elite receivers like Jeremiah Smith and Carnell Tate, Sayin has the balance of numbers, efficiency, and spotlight moments that Heisman voters tend to reward.
Fernando Mendoza (Indiana) +220
Mendoza’s story is the ultimate breakout. The former Cal quarterback transferred to Indiana and turned the Hoosiers into an unbeaten contender.
With 25 touchdown passes, a top-three QBR, and a revitalized offense, Mendoza’s play has fueled one of the biggest surprises of the season.
If Indiana keeps winning and breaks into the playoff mix, Mendoza could close the gap fast.
Ty Simpson (Alabama) +350
Simpson has been a steadying force for Alabama, guiding the Tide back into playoff relevance.
He’s thrown for 2,184 yards with a 20–1 TD–INT ratio and ranks 12th in QBR.
His consistency and clean play are the hallmarks of a Nick Saban quarterback, and if Alabama runs the table in November and takes the SEC, Simpson could overtake Sayin late.
Marcel Reed (Texas A&M) +700
Reed’s dual-threat skillset has transformed Texas A&M into a legitimate SEC threat.
He’s passed for nearly 2,000 yards and added over 300 on the ground with six rushing touchdowns.
The Aggies remain undefeated, and Reed’s highlight plays, especially on the move, have kept him in the Heisman mix. If A&M stays perfect, his odds will shorten quickly.
Who’s Leading Right Now?
Heisman Stat Comparison (Week 10)
| Player | Team (Record) | Pass Yds | TD–INT | QBR (Rank) | Rush TD | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Sayin | Ohio State (8–0) | 2,188 | 23–3 | 90.9 (1st) | — | +175 |
| Fernando Mendoza | Indiana (9–0) | 2,124 | 25–4 | 90.0 (3rd) | 4 | +220 |
| Ty Simpson | Alabama (7–1) | 2,184 | 20–1 | 81.6 (12th) | 2 | +350 |
| Marcel Reed | Texas A&M (8–0) | 1,972 | 17–6 | 76.9 (21st) | 6 | +700 |
As of early November, Julian Sayin is the frontrunner. He’s been the most efficient quarterback in the country, leading an unbeaten Ohio State team and producing in marquee games.
Fernando Mendoza is a close second, helped by the undefeated Indiana storyline, while Ty Simpson and Marcel Reed lurk within striking distance.
If Sayin slips or the Buckeyes lose, Mendoza’s narrative could become irresistible. The race remains tight, and one big performance down the stretch could flip it overnight.
