Lamar Jackson Has 15% Chance Of Being Traded In 2026, Says Polymarket

Updated
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Lamar Jackson readies to throw ball.

The Baltimore Ravens’ 2025 season came to a gut-wrenching end in Week 18, and suddenly the idea of Lamar Jackson being traded this offseason isn’t as far-fetched as it sounded just months ago.

Will The Ravens Consider Trading Lamar Jackson?

Sports prediction market Polymarket currently places about a 15% chance that Jackson could be on the move this offseason, a notable figure given his stature as a two-time MVP and franchise cornerstone.

Baltimore’s regular season finale against the Pittsburgh Steelers was meant to be a dramatic coronation, a chance to clinch the AFC North and salvage a disappointing 8-9 year. Instead, the Ravens fell 26-24 in a back-and-forth battle that saw five lead changes and a stunning last-second miss from rookie kicker Tyler Loop that sealed Baltimore’s fate and kept them out of the playoffs.

Jackson put on a heroic performance in that game, throwing for 238 yards and three touchdowns while engineering multiple critical drives in the fourth quarter. Yet even that wasn’t enough to erase the season’s unfortunately negative narrative. For just the second time since 2017, the Ravens will be on the outside of the postseason looking in.

Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson leaps over a player.

The Ravens’ collapse has reignited whispers about Jackson’s future in Baltimore, especially as questions swirl about the organization’s direction. Jackson, who missed several games this season due to injury and has dealt with recurring back and hamstring issues, was visibly devastated by the loss and has remained tight-lipped on his future.

Polymarket Gives 15% Chance To The Possibility

For someone who has a history of being in the headlines for potentially leaving for a new city, the situation is worth paying attention to. Polymarket released its “betting” odds on Lamar Jackson being traded in 2026, and the designation sits at 15% midway through the day on Monday. Interestingly, before the game against the Steelers, the figure was listed at 18%, and there weren’t any changes upon the Ravens coming up short after the final whistle.

Baltimore has had one of the more stable franchises in the NFL over the past couple of decades, but they could be in for some major changes this offseason. Not only are there rumors surrounding their quarterback, but the future of their head coach had been in question all regular season long, and a considerable shakeup could be in the cards given the Ravens’ inability to make it over the hump in recent years.

Polymarket’s 15% figure doesn’t guarantee anything, but it does reflect a shift in how the market perceives Baltimore’s quarterback situation. In a league where big moves often follow disappointment, even a double-digit probability is worth watching closely as the offseason unfolds.