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MLB Best Bets for June 29: Phillies-Braves Under, Tigers RL, and Yankees-A’s Total

Colin Lynch Written by Sports EditorColin Lynch
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MLB Best Bets for June 29: Phillies-Braves Under, Tigers RL, and Yankees-A’s Total

Sunday’s MLB best bets target Tigers on the run line, Reds moneyline, and two key game totals—highlighted by Phillies-Braves under.

Sunday’s baseball slate features a full 15-game schedule, and with every team in action, it’s a day full of opportunity. From early-afternoon matchups with elite pitching to prime-time games where bullpens may decide the outcome, sharp bettors have several angles to exploit.

Today’s top plays focus on two standout pitching matchups that should stay under the total, a red-hot ace backing Detroit’s run line, and a bounce-back spot for the Reds at home. We’ve also got eyes on one of the most surprising trends in baseball—New York’s ongoing streak of unders. Let’s break down the top MLB picks for Sunday, June 29.

Phillies vs. Braves: Under 8.5 Is the Smart Side

Spencer Strider and Ranger Suárez headline one of Sunday’s marquee pitching matchups, and both arms are trending in the right direction. Suárez has a 2.08 ERA this season and has allowed one or fewer earned runs in six of his last seven starts. He’s also working deep into games, going at least seven innings in each of his last four.

Strider, meanwhile, has seen his ERA drop from 5.40 to 4.07 over his last four starts and just gave up four runs over his last three outings combined. While the Braves aren’t the same offensive force they’ve been in years past—they rank 24th in runs scored—they’re still among the league’s best at limiting scoring, going 45-32-5 to the under this year.

With two in-form pitchers, a slumping Atlanta offense, and a low-variance Sunday spot, this total feels a run too high.

✅ Pick: Phillies-Braves Under 8.5 (-115)

Tigers vs. Twins: Back Detroit and Skubal to Cover

There might not be a more bankable starting pitcher right now than Tarik Skubal. The Tigers are 12-4 in his starts this season and 9-0 against the run line in his last nine outings. His ERA sits at 2.29 with a WHIP under 0.90, and his only recent blemish came in a rare four-run outing.

Detroit is facing Chris Paddack, who’s struggled throughout June, allowing 18 total runs over his last three starts. His ERA has climbed nearly a full point in that time, and he’ll now face a confident Tigers lineup that’s creating separation in the AL Central.

The Tigers have dominated when Skubal takes the ball, and with a favorable pitching edge again here, we’re betting they win this one comfortably.

✅ Pick: Tigers -1.5 (-135)

Yankees vs. A’s: Under 10 Despite Questionable Starters

The Yankees have hit the under in 16 straight games, and it’s not just a fluke trend—it’s become part of their identity. Their offense has sputtered, and they’ve leaned on one of MLB’s better bullpens (3.53 ERA) to secure low-scoring wins.

Marcus Stroman makes his return for New York after a knee injury and a brutal start to the season. He’ll face Luis Severino, who’s coming off a rough June (7.14 ERA). While that might scream “over,” both lineups have gone cold, ranking 25th (A’s) and 26th (Yankees) in runs scored over the past 15 days.

Add in the fact that both teams have been shut out in this series, and we’re still seeing inflated totals? It’s another good spot to ride the under-trend.

✅ Pick: Yankees-A’s Under 10 (-106)

Reds vs. Padres: Lodolo Leads a Home Bounce-Back

The Reds dropped Saturday’s game in frustrating fashion, blowing a late lead after Andrew Abbott gave them five strong innings. But Cincinnati has a strong bounce-back opportunity in the series finale with Nick Lodolo on the mound.

Lodolo has allowed just three runs over his last two starts (10.1 IP) and draws a favorable matchup against a Padres lineup that’s noticeably less effective against left-handed pitching. San Diego started the season hot but has since cooled, falling out of wild-card position.

On the other side, Stephen Kolek has posted decent surface numbers (3.95 ERA), but his 5th percentile hard-hit rate and low strikeout rate make him a risky play against a patient and power-capable Reds lineup.

With Lodolo in form and the Reds needing a win to take the series, Cincinnati is worth backing here.

✅ Pick: Reds ML (-130)

Sunday’s MLB Best Bets Recap

  • Phillies vs. Braves Under 8.5 (-115)
    Two in-form starters and a slumping Braves offense point toward a low-scoring series finale in Atlanta.

  • Tigers -1.5 (-135) vs. Twins
    Detroit has covered the run line in all nine of Skubal’s June starts. Paddack’s struggles make this another strong spot.

  • Yankees vs. A’s Under 10 (-106)
    New York has gone under in 16 straight games. With cold bats and strong bullpens, the trend remains your friend.

  • Reds ML (-130) vs. Padres
    Nick Lodolo is locked in, and the Reds should bounce back against Stephen Kolek and a fading San Diego lineup.

Colin Lynch Written by Sports EditorColin Lynch
Colin Lynch covers the NFL, MLB and WNBA for Heavy.com, with a focus on the New England Patriots. His sports coverage has been featured on The Sports Daily and Basketball Insiders, as well as FanSided's Chowder & Champions. A New Hampshire native and former D1 baseball player at St. John's University, Colin was drafted by the San Diego Padres in 2008 and enjoyed a four-year professional baseball career.
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