MLB Playoffs Same Game Parlay: Padres vs. Cubs – It’s an elimination same game parlay at Wrigley Field between the Padres and Cubs
The Wild Card series between the San Diego Padres and the Chicago Cubs is tied 1–1 heading into the decisive Game 3 at Wrigley Field. Our best bet for this elimination game includes a correlated same-game parlay. The Cubs open as slight favorites (−115), and the total is set at 7.5 runs.
Both games have been low-scoring affairs so far (3–0, 3–1), and the manager’s bullpen usage suggests that starters may not go deep, which is reflected in the prop markets, especially in strikeout lines.
But we see some value here. Let’s jump into this same game parlay as we search for the best bets!
MLB Playoffs Same Game Parlay: Padres vs. Cubs
Leg 1: Cubs Moneyline ( -115)
- Game predictions lean toward the Cubs, with several models simulating Chicago at a win probability of ~59%. It’s an elimination day game at Wrigley. As much as I respect the Padres, it’s hard to fade the Cubs here.
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Home field advantage at Wrigley, bullpen weariness on both sides, and the Cubs’ offensive potential in a small window all favor Chicago in a close game.
Leg 2: Jameson Taillon Over 3 Strikeouts (−113)
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Taillon’s season K totals and strikeout rate make this look very appealing, including if he has a shortened start. Even a 4-5 inning start would likely eclipse 3 Ks.
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Because both managers may lean early to bullpens, this moderate K target offers equity without overreaching. We see value, not risk.
The Cubs season is on the line tomorrow and Jameson Taillon is set to get the start.
In 6 games since returning from the IL he has a 1.57 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP. pic.twitter.com/ma92VXovYH
— The Wrigley Wire (@TheWrigleyWire) October 2, 2025
| Leg | Pick | Line / Odds* |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cubs Moneyline | −115 |
|   2 |   Jameson Taillon Over 3 Strikeouts | −113 |
| Estimated Combined Odds | +240Â | |
| *Odds are subject to change; confirm live pricing before betting. | ||
Jameson Taillon last gave up more than 2 ER in a start on…
June 24th.
Yes, he was injured for a long time, but he’s been effective since returning! Let’s go, Jamo! pic.twitter.com/3bZebUipUQ
— Windy Conditions (@WindyConds) October 2, 2025
Taillon is capable of racking up strikeouts early, which usually indicates success in his outing, fewer baserunners, and less stress on the defense. That supports the Cubs’ chances in a tight, low-scoring Game 3 scenario. The ML + K combo is a standard correlated play in postseason baseball betting.
This Game 3 SGP marries a modest favorite pick (Cubs ML) with a low-threshold strikeout prop (Taillon 3+ Ks) grounded in DK’s own prop listings and matchup logic. In a decisive playoff game where scoring has been scarce, this is where we see some value. I think Taillon can get five innings in today, and if he does, he will surpass three strikeouts. Best of luck!
