New York Giants coach John Harbaugh enters his first season in New Jersey as the favorite for NFL Coach of the Year, priced at +600.
This year’s coaching carousel produced one of the most sweeping overhauls the league has seen in years, with a full ten teams entering 2026 under new leadership.
That turnover has scrambled the Coach of the Year market into one of the more unpredictable boards of the preseason.
2026 NFL Coach of the Year Odds: Full List
- John Harbaugh (New York Giants) +600
- Jesse Minter (Baltimore Ravens) +850
- Kellen Moore (New Orleans Saints) +1200
- Robert Saleh (Tennessee Titans) +1200
- Brian Schottenheimer (Dallas Cowboys) +1400
- Joe Brady (Buffalo Bills) +1400
- Kevin Stefanski (Atlanta Falcons) +1400
- Ben Johnson (Chicago Bears) +1600
- Klint Kubiak (Las Vegas Raiders) +1800
- Jim Harbaugh (Los Angeles Chargers) +2000
- Todd Monken (Cleveland Browns) +2000
- Aaron Glenn (New York Jets) +2200
- Mike McCarthy (Pittsburgh Steelers) +2200
- Kevin O’Connell (Minnesota Vikings) +2500
- Dan Campbell (Detroit Lions) +2500
- Shane Steichen (Indianapolis Colts) +2500
- Liam Coen (Jacksonville Jaguars) +2500
- Zac Taylor (Cincinnati Bengals) +2500
- Dave Canales (Carolina Panthers) +2800
- Dan Quinn (Washington Commanders) +2800
- Kyle Shanahan (San Francisco 49ers) +3000
- Matt LaFleur (Green Bay Packers) +3000
- Mike Macdonald (Seattle Seahawks) +3000
- DeMeco Ryans (Houston Texans) +3300
- Sean McVay (Los Angeles Rams) +3500
- Jeff Hafley (Miami Dolphins) +3500
- Mike LaFleur (Arizona Cardinals) +4000
- Todd Bowles (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) +4500
- Andy Reid (Kansas City Chiefs) +5500
- Nick Sirianni (Philadelphia Eagles) +7000
- Mike Vrabel (New England Patriots) +8000
- Sean Payton (Denver Broncos) +8000
Note: Odds are subject to change and are provided by Lucky Rebel.
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New Faces Top The NFL Coach of the Year Odds
It’s telling that six of the top eight names on this list are first-year head coaches with their current franchises.
Harbaugh’s move from Baltimore to the Giants headlines the group, and voters tend to reward respected veterans who walk into a new situation and produce an immediate turnaround.
His track record speaks for itself, and New York’s roster has enough talent for a quick bounce-back if things click.
Jesse Minter’s leap from Ravens defensive coordinator to head coach comes with obvious continuity advantages, inheriting a roster that’s been a perennial contender.
Robert Saleh’s return to a head chair in Tennessee and Kellen Moore’s third season leading a Saints rebuild round out a group of coaches who all have a real path to exceeding modest external expectations.
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In-House Promotions Carry Their Own Kind of Upside
Buffalo’s decision to promote Joe Brady rather than look outside the building is an interesting bet from a Coach of the Year standpoint.
Voters often gravitate toward coaches who take over a winning roster and avoid any step back, and Brady already has a proven track record calling plays for an MVP-caliber quarterback.
Not only is Brady among the favorites in this market, but his team are also among the leaders in the NFL Super Bowl odds market.
Ben Johnson’s move to Chicago carries similar logic — a highly regarded offensive mind finally getting the keys to a roster with real young talent to work with.
Todd Monken taking over in Cleveland after years as a respected coordinator is another name worth watching, especially if the Browns’ defense stays competitive while the offense finds its footing under his direction.
Aaron Glenn enters his second season with the Jets, no longer a total unknown, which could work in his favor if the roster takes the step many expect.
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The Established Names Still Carry Real Value
Further down the board, plenty of accomplished coaches sit at what looks like inflated value simply because they aren’t new to their jobs — and voters do tend to favor fresh storylines over steady success.
Kyle Shanahan, Sean McVay and Andy Reid have all won this award before, and each remains fully capable of doing it again if their team outperforms preseason expectations.
Dan Campbell and Kevin O’Connell headline a group of coaches who’ve already proven they can get the most out of talented rosters, while names like Mike Vrabel and Sean Payton at +8000 reflect how much harder it is for an established coach with a proven track record to be viewed as a “surprise” candidate, even if their team wins plenty of games.
As always, this market tends to reward the best record relative to preseason expectations rather than the best record outright, so keep an eye on which of these new hires gets off to the hottest start.
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